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000
FNUS75 KMSO 150306
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Second Chance
National Weather Service Missoula MT
906 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 MDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers are in the area and expected to end between
2100 and 2200 MDT tonight. Peak intensity of the showers is
expected in the next few hours by 1900. With a lack of steering
flow aloft, they have remained stationary with most showers
anchored over the highest terrain, especially south of the burn
area along I-90.

Tomorrow will see an increase in winds through the day and lasting
into Tuesday. Especially near the ridge top, the winds are not
expected to decrease much overnight Monday night into Tuesday.
Temperatures tomorrow will be about 10 to 15 degrees cooler than
today with humidity in the upper 20s near the bottom of the burn
area.

UPDATE as of 2100 MDT, April 14th. The Lolo Portable #2 RAWS
station reports 0.16 inches of rain which agrees well with radar
estimates for that location. Further north near the lat-lon
submitted for this spot forecast the radar estimates 0.03 to 0.08
inches of rain so far this evening.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
  thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and
  thunderstorms overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...50 percent.
* Chance Lightning....30 percent.
* Min Temperature.....38-43.
* Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 7-9 mph shifting to the southwest 7-8
  mph overnight.
* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.20 inches.

.MONDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....45-50.
* Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 8-14 mph increasing to west 20-23
  mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl increasing to 4500 ft agl in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 20 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Leach
Requested by...Josh Stroot
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410639.2/MSO
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.d.stroot@usda.gov