Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
000
FNUS51 KBTV 230820
FWFBTV
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
...Near Red Flag Conditions Today, Then Rain and Cool Wednesday...
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather is expected this afternoon. The core of the lowest
dewpoints will happen this morning and early afternoon. However,
abundant sunshine will warm us into the 60s and allow for large
dewpoint depressions. Vermont and northern New York have not
received a quarter inch of rain in 3 days, but several locations
have at least observed more than a quarter inch in the last 5
days. The minimum RH values are expected to be slightly higher
compared to yesterday, but still likely to dip into the 20 percent
range. Parts of the St. Lawrence Valley may stay above 30 percent
depending on how quickly incoming moisture arrives. Based on our
local red flag criteria, we are expected to hit red flag
conditions (25+ mph winds and RH below 30%) late this morning into
this evening. However, fuels remain sufficiently moist to
prohibit the issuance of a red flag warning. Nevertheless, fine
fuels such as leaf litter and twigs are sufficiently dry to start
a few brush fires.
Rain will return overnight into Wednesday. A sharp cold front will
dive southwards, and temperatures will cool from the 50s down into
the 30s by midday. With widespread wetting rain, fire weather
conditions are not anticipated to pose any concern on Wednesday.
VTZ030-232130-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 70 100
Precip type None Rain Showers
Max/Min Temp 64 45 47
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 13 G28 SW 9 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 16 G31 S 14 G27 N 15 G33
Precip amount 0.00 0.06 0.28
Precip duration 3 9
Precip begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 6 PM
Humidity (%) 25 91 48
Haines Index 5 4 4
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 6980 5880
Transport wnd (mph) S 29 N 26
Ventilation rate 202420 152880
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ033-035-232130-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 50 80
Precip type None Rain Showers
Max/Min Temp 63 43 49
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 6 G19 S 6
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 13 G24 S 11 G23 NW 13 G31
Precip amount 0.00 0.01 0.14
Precip duration 1 8
Precip begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 6 PM
Humidity (%) 24 85 52
Haines Index 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 6980 4130
Transport wnd (mph) SW 24 N 28
Ventilation rate 167520 115640
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ034-232130-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 50 80
Precip type None Rain Rain
Max/Min Temp 60 41 45
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 8 G21 SW 8 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 14 G26 S 13 G26 NW 15 G33
Precip amount 0.00 0.02 0.22
Precip duration 1 9
Precip begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 6 PM
Humidity (%) 25 90 53
Haines Index 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 7060 3760
Transport wnd (mph) SW 25 NW 29
Ventilation rate 176500 109040
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ032-232130-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 70 100
Precip type None Rain Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp 61 42 45
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 9 G25 S 6
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 14 G27 S 12 G27 NW 13 G31
Precip amount 0.00 0.04 0.25
Precip duration 2 10
Precip begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 6 PM
Humidity (%) 24 89 49
Haines Index 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 7100 4890
Transport wnd (mph) S 26 N 29
Ventilation rate 184600 141810
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ031-232130-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 70 100
Precip type None Rain Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp 60 41 43
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 9 G24 S 6
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 14 G26 S 12 G25 NW 12 G28
Precip amount 0.00 0.05 0.29
Precip duration 3 11
Precip begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Humidity (%) 25 91 48
Haines Index 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 7430 5120
Transport wnd (mph) SW 28 N 29
Ventilation rate 208040 148480
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ205-232130-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 70 100
Precip type None Rain Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp 63 43 45
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 10 G27 SW 7 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph) S 16 G29 S 12 G26 N 14 G31
Precip amount 0.00 0.07 0.22
Precip duration 4 9
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 6 PM
Humidity (%) 25 96 45
Haines Index 5 4 4
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 8240 5960
Transport wnd (mph) SW 29 N 24
Ventilation rate 238960 143040
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ204-232130-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 80 100
Precip type None Rain Rain
Max/Min Temp 60 41 42
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 11 G27 W 8 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph) SW 16 G31 SW 14 G31 NW 13 G28
Precip amount 0.00 0.11 0.23
Precip duration 5 8
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 5 PM
Humidity (%) 27 97 51
Haines Index 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 7270 5070
Transport wnd (mph) SW 30 N 25
Ventilation rate 218100 126750
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ203-232130-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 90 100
Precip type None Rain Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp 62 38 42
20ftWnd AM(mph) SW 13 G27 W 9 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph) SW 18 G31 SW 12 G27 N 12 G21
Precip amount 0.00 0.24 0.26
Precip duration 7 7
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 5 PM
Humidity (%) 26 100 42
Haines Index 5 4 3
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 8090 5310
Transport wnd (mph) SW 32 N 22
Ventilation rate 258880 116820
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ202-232130-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud cover Pcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 100 100
Precip type None Rain Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp 65 36 43
20ftWnd AM(mph) S 14 G28 NW 10 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph) SW 18 G33 SW 13 G28 N 13 G21
Precip amount 0.00 0.33 0.23
Precip duration 8 6
Precip begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 3 PM
Humidity (%) 27 98 33
Haines Index 5 4 4
LAL 1 1 1
Mixing hgt 8380 5830
Transport wnd (mph) SW 33 N 21
Ventilation rate 276540 122430
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. North winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool.
Lows in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 70.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$