Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS51 KBTV 230820
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...Near Red Flag Conditions Today, Then Rain and Cool Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather is expected this afternoon. The core of the lowest
dewpoints will happen this morning and early afternoon. However,
abundant sunshine will warm us into the 60s and allow for large
dewpoint depressions. Vermont and northern New York have not
received a quarter inch of rain in 3 days, but several locations
have at least observed more than a quarter inch in the last 5
days. The minimum RH values are expected to be slightly higher
compared to yesterday, but still likely to dip into the 20 percent
range. Parts of the St. Lawrence Valley may stay above 30 percent
depending on how quickly incoming moisture arrives. Based on our
local red flag criteria, we are expected to hit red flag
conditions (25+ mph winds and RH below 30%) late this morning into
this evening. However, fuels remain sufficiently moist to
prohibit the issuance of a red flag warning. Nevertheless, fine
fuels such as leaf litter and twigs are sufficiently dry to start
a few brush fires.

Rain will return overnight into Wednesday. A sharp cold front will
dive southwards, and temperatures will cool from the 50s down into
the 30s by midday. With widespread wetting rain, fire weather
conditions are not anticipated to pose any concern on Wednesday.

VTZ030-232130-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100
Precip type           None         Rain         Showers
Max/Min Temp          64           45           47
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S 13 G28                  SW  9 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 16 G31     S 14 G27     N 15 G33
Precip amount         0.00         0.06         0.28
Precip duration                    3            9
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          25           91           48
Haines Index          5            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            6980                      5880
Transport wnd (mph)   S 29                      N 26
Ventilation rate      202420                    152880
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-232130-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            50           80
Precip type           None         Rain         Showers
Max/Min Temp          63           43           49
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  6 G19                  S  6
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 13 G24     S 11 G23     NW 13 G31
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.14
Precip duration                    1            8
Precip begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          24           85           52
Haines Index          5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            6980                      4130
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 24                     N 28
Ventilation rate      167520                    115640
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-232130-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            50           80
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
Max/Min Temp          60           41           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  8 G21                  SW  8 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 14 G26     S 13 G26     NW 15 G33
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.22
Precip duration                    1            9
Precip begin                       11 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          25           90           53
Haines Index          5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            7060                      3760
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 25                     NW 29
Ventilation rate      176500                    109040
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-232130-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          61           42           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  9 G25                  S  6
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 14 G27     S 12 G27     NW 13 G31
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.25
Precip duration                    2            10
Precip begin                       11 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          24           89           49
Haines Index          5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            7100                      4890
Transport wnd (mph)   S 26                      N 29
Ventilation rate      184600                    141810
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-232130-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          60           41           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S  9 G24                  S  6
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 14 G26     S 12 G25     NW 12 G28
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.29
Precip duration                    3            11
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          25           91           48
Haines Index          5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            7430                      5120
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 28                     N 29
Ventilation rate      208040                    148480
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-232130-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           100
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          63           43           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S 10 G27                  SW  7 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S 16 G29     S 12 G26     N 14 G31
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.22
Precip duration                    4            9
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          25           96           45
Haines Index          5            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            8240                      5960
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 29                     N 24
Ventilation rate      238960                    143040
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-232130-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            80           100
Precip type           None         Rain         Rain
Max/Min Temp          60           41           42
20ftWnd AM(mph)       SW 11 G27                 W  8 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 16 G31    SW 14 G31    NW 13 G28
Precip amount         0.00         0.11         0.23
Precip duration                    5            8
Precip begin                       8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   5 PM
Humidity (%)          27           97           51
Haines Index          5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            7270                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 30                     N 25
Ventilation rate      218100                    126750
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-232130-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            90           100
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          62           38           42
20ftWnd AM(mph)       SW 13 G27                 W  9 G21
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 18 G31    SW 12 G27    N 12 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.24         0.26
Precip duration                    7            7
Precip begin                       7 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   5 PM
Humidity (%)          26           100          42
Haines Index          5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            8090                      5310
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 32                     N 22
Ventilation rate      258880                    116820
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-232130-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
420 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            100          100
Precip type           None         Rain         Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          65           36           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)       S 14 G28                  NW 10 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 18 G33    SW 13 G28    N 13 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.33         0.23
Precip duration                    8            6
Precip begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   3 PM
Humidity (%)          27           98           33
Haines Index          5            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1
Mixing hgt            8380                      5830
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 33                     N 21
Ventilation rate      276540                    122430
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. North winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool.
Lows in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 70.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


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