Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 141720
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Spot Forecast for Dry Creek...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1220 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 CDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Tranquil conditions are expected across the burn area today and
tonight. South to southeast winds of 3 to 8 MPH are expected with
min RH falling to near 30 percent. Overnight RH is expected to
recover near 80 percent. Hot conditions continue on Sunday with
min RH values near 30 percent. Light east to southeast winds will
also prevail.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 3 mph.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  36  36  36  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............94  95  95  95  95
RH..............35  33  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 3 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  17  7   7   4   4   6   9   11  8   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............94  92  86  83  80  79  77  76  75  74  72  71
RH..............31  34  40  44  49  54  58  60  62  64  73  73
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  E   SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.            4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  E   SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Haines index....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 3 mph
                    late in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1   1   1   0   1   3   4   8   12  16  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  69  71  78  84  89  92  96  96  97  98  97
RH..............78  81  76  64  53  42  37  32  32  31  29  30
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.                4
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Bain
Requested by...Mitchell Lane
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1915455.0/FWD
.DELDT 09/14/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu



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