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000
FNUS71 KCTP 250854
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Snake Bucket Prescribed Fire...DCNR Bureau of Forestry District 7
National Weather Service State College PA
454 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 25.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Rain-free conditions today with low humidity courtesy of
seasonably strong Canadian high pressure. MinRH this afternoon is
forecast to drop below 30%. Although winds are generally less than
10mph, with fuel moisture potentially falling below 10% there
could be an elevated risk of wildfire spread during the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 54.
Min Humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph late in the
                    morning becoming light.
Mixing Height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................17 to 25.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  48  42  37  32  28  30  31  33
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  41  44  47  50  52  53  54  54
RH................  41  33  31  29  27  27  26  26
20 FT Wind Dir....  NE  E   E   E   E   NE  NE  E
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   4   3   3   3   3   4   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.5 3.2 3.9 4.7 5.0 5.5 5.7 5.8
Transp Wind Dir...  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE
Transp Wind Spd...  7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  17  17  24  24  24  25  25  25
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 32.
Max Humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the east 5
                    to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 4.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  30  26  23  21  19  18  16  15  13  13  13  13
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  53  52  46  44  42  40  38  37  35  34  34  33
RH................  27  28  37  39  44  48  52  56  59  64  64  66
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  5.5 3.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NE  E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   7   7   7
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 59.
Min Humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 to 43.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  13  13  13  16  19  22  25  28  31  32  32  33
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  35  36  38  42  46  50  52  54  56  57  57  58
RH................  66  61  64  60  53  50  46  41  38  37  37  34
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   5   6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   6   6   8   10  12  12  13  13  13  13
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.7 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  6   6   7   7   9   13  13  14  14  14  13  13
LVORI.............  3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  8   8   8   34  34  34  43  43  43  42  42  42
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Shaun M. Doran
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412346.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shdoran@pa.gov