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000
FNUS73 KFGF 221412
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Little Thief Prescribed Burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
912 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Southerly winds will continue this morning into the early
afternoon ahead of a wind shift expected early this afternoon.
Showers are possible (20% chance) ahead of this wind shift, but
wetting rain is very unlikely. Winds will shift to westerly
(260-270), with relative humidity values falling into the 30s (and
possibly low 20s if skies can remain clear behind this). Winds
behind the wind shift will increase with gusts as high as 25 mph. Additional
showers and thunderstorms may develop this afternoon (20% chance
again).

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph. Gusts up to 22
                    mph late in the morning then 23 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....20900 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 99500 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing to
                    (158100 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  88  89  88  73  65  64  63
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW              RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH
Temp............54  56  56  55  57  59  59  60
RH..............41  40  42  46  42  36  33  31
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.20  18  14  14  16  19  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.7 2.7 2.7 4.8 6.2 7.9 8.2
Mixing wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23  21  30  30  81  100 158 172

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers in the evening and overnight, then
                    slight chance of rain showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 22
                    mph shifting to the northwest early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....(68900 knot-ft) decreasing to 17100 knot-ft
                    early in the evening decreasing to 4500 knot-ft
                    late in the night early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     69     73     74     76     79
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
Temp............58     54     46     44     42     41
RH..............36     47     71     76     89     92
20 ft wind......W 10   W 10   W 5    W 10   W 10   NW 10
20 ft wind gust.22     18     12     13     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....6000   1100   700    700    500    500
Mixing wind.....W 25   W 20   W 15   W 10   W 10   NW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..131    17     9      7      5      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then decreasing to around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    early in the morning, then decreasing to around
                    15 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....15500 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 67400 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........82        77        56        25
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............39        37        43        48
RH..............96        89        57        42
20 FT wind......N 10G20   N 20G25   N 15G23   N 10G19
Mix hgt (ft)....1100      2000      3000      4300
Mixing wind.....N 15      NE 25     N 25      N 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..16        41        59        66

$$
Forecaster...AP
Requested by...Kyle Arola
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411721.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.arola@state.mn.us