Text Products for FWS Issued by JKL

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
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FNUS73 KJKL 171206
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Seminary Branch...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson KY
806 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures continue across the
area through Thursday. Breezy south to southwest winds will be the rule
today, particularly around showers and any storms. Morning showers and
stray thunderstorms should clear out by early afternoon but additional,
and stronger, storms will be possible into the evening as a cold front
approaches the area - but most locations including the wildfire site
will likely miss out on these stringer storms later in the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the late morning and
                    afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 3 until
                    1600, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Dewpoint............50 increasing to 55 in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...77.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 21 to 28
                    mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (6400 knot-ft) increasing to good (80900
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 71 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89  87  90  93  95  88  74  66  61
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  50  40  30  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   3   3   1   1
Temp............71  72  71  72  73  74  75  77  77
Dewpoint........49  49  51  55  56  56  55  55  55
RH..............46  44  49  55  55  53  50  47  47
Aparnt tmp (F)..71  72  71  72  73  74  75  77  77
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  13  12  13  12  13  13  14  14
20 FT wind gust.22  22  22  22  21  21  22  21  21
Ridge wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..12  14  13  14  13  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.6 3.4 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  14  18  21  23  24  26  28  26
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   28  43  40  46  50  59  70  71
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   19  30  36  43  48  60  81  87
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............56 increasing to 58 overnight.
Max apparent temp...75.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 22 mph decreasing to 3 to 9 mph
                    early in the evening.
Vent Rate...........Good (54200 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (500
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................50 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........62     43     37     26     57     57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............75     72     68     65     64     62
Dewpoint........55     56     57     58     59     59
RH..............50     57     68     78     84     90
Aparnt tmp (F)..75     72     68     65     64     62
20 ft wind......SW 13  SW 12  SW 8   SW 6   SW 5   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.20     16     15     14     12     12
Ridgetop wind...SW 14  SW 13  SW 9   SW 7   SW 6   SW 5
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   400    400    300    300    200
Transport wind..SW 22  SW 9   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   SW 5
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      5      7
ADI.............50     8      5      3      4      2
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..54     3      2      2      1      1
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............60 decreasing to 52.
Max apparent temp...82.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (600 knot-ft) increasing to poor (27600
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 to 37.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........58        58        23        9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............62        64        74        81
Dewpoint........58        60        59        54
RH..............87        87        59        39
Aparnt tmp (F)..62        64        74        81
20 FT wind......SW 3G9    S 5G8     SW 6G10   SW 8G10
Ridgetop wind...SW 5      S 6       SW 7      SW 9
Mix hgt (ft)....200       500       1500      3600
Transport wind..SW 3      SW 3      SW 6      SW 7
LVORI...........6         6         2         1
ADI.............1         3         11        31
Haines index....4         4         5         5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         2         7         22
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...GREIF
Requested by...Michael Trent
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411203.0/JKL
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kykicc@firenet.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
