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000
FXUS64 KMAF 210346
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1046 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday night)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

The last of the showers and thunderstorms over the Permian Basin
will continue to shift east through the afternoon. Most locations
across the Permian Basin saw a general 0.5" to 1" of very welcome
rain. Temperatures remain chilly across the area with most locations
in the 40s/50s. The cold front has finally made it to the Big Bend,
but not before temperatures peaked in the mid 80s. Expect a chilly
night with most locations in the 40s. While most of the rain will
clear out the low clouds will remain into Sunday. We could even see
some drizzle or light rain tonight with some weak upslope flow.
Sunday looks a bit warmer although highs will remain well below
normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

After a cool weekend, Monday sees temperatures start to rebound
somewhat with most reaching into the 70s. An upper level ridge moves
over the Plains that will bring us back to a warm and dry pattern.
Highs through the middle of the week move back above normal with
upper 80s and low 90s. Parts of the Big Bend return to the upper 90s
and low 100s. An upper low moves across the Four Corners and just
north of our area on Thursday. Breezy conditions take hold, but the
strength of those winds remains to be seen. Another, deeper low
takes shape over the Western US before approaching the area by next
weekend. Cluster analysis and ensembles paint an unsure picture of
the track of this low and any high wind potential over the higher
terrain.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1044 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024

IFR/MVFR cigs and occasionally visibility will persist through
Sunday afternoon, gradually lifting beginning during the morning
hours. All cigs should scatter out to VFR late Sunday afternoon or
early evening as surface winds veer around to light return flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               49  44  59  41 /   0  20  10   0
Carlsbad                 58  46  60  45 /   0  10  10   0
Dryden                   64  52  64  51 /   0  20  10  10
Fort Stockton            56  47  61  46 /   0  20  20   0
Guadalupe Pass           48  43  54  44 /   0   0  10   0
Hobbs                    51  42  58  40 /   0  10   0   0
Marfa                    62  39  62  38 /   0  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport     50  45  58  43 /   0  20  10   0
Odessa                   50  46  58  44 /   0  20  10   0
Wink                     54  46  62  46 /   0  20  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...44