729
FXUS62 KMFL 281359
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
959 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 957 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A quick update targeted at some housecleaning of hazards and
headlines. The Wind Advisory and Gale Warning have been cancelled
with the Small Craft Advisory over the Atlantic in effect now.
Wind gusts have diminished this morning though conditions are
still breezy and some higher gusts (30+ mph) are possible with the
shallow Atlantic showers coming ashore. Otherwise, on and off
showers with the Atlantic moisture overspreading the region today.
No major changes are anticipated through midday. Have a fantastic
Sunday!

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 305 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

High pressure ridging will continue to be dominant over the South
Florida region to end the weekend and enter the early week period
with surface high pressure remaining situated in the Western
Atlantic. This surface high will stay nearly stationary while
beginning to slowly weaken in the next couple days. Simultaneously,
low pressure over the central part of the country will dissolve
and the combination of that with a weakening surface high will
allow windy conditions to slowly subside. Nevertheless, gusty
winds are still expected on Sunday to around 25-30 mph and will
remain breezy often on Monday as well.

Other than that, mostly dry weather will continue with any
isolated shower chances being caused by coastal convergence with
the gusty winds. Temperatures will be mostly in the low to mid 80s
on Sunday and Monday, though west coast areas could see
temperatures rise into the upper 80s especially on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 305 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Models show deep and broad high pressure in firm control of the
area with a mid level ridge lingering over the eastern seaboard
and sfc high pressure keeping a relatively stable air mass over
Soflo through at least the middle of the work week. As the mid
level ridge slowly migrates east into the Atlantic, pressure
gradients across the state will gradually decrease, with current
periods of breezy conditions subsiding by the Tuesday-Wednesday
timeframe. Low-lvl winds gradually veer SE by this time, allowing
for a very modest moisture advection to briefly raise chances of
rain into the teens, mainly over the east coast. But showers in
general will remain very limited through the long term as
relatively dry/stable air stays in place.

Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday are expected to
reach the low-mid 80s near the coasts, and upper 80s to around 90
inland. Then by the end of the work week, the mid level ridge
strengthens and drives high temperatures into the upper 80s near
the coasts and low 90s inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 733 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Generally VFR with a breezy easterly flow. Gusts to around 25-30
kt are possible both around Atlantic showers and outside of
convection today. Brief sub-VFR will be possible with showers that
directly impact a terminal.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 305 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Hazardous marine conditions will be in place on Sunday, especially
in the morning hours as this will be when peak winds and seas are
expected to be observed. Wind gusts to gale force will be possible
through the morning and seas up to 8-10 ft before winds and seas
begin to subside Sunday evening and overnight through Monday.
Calmer conditions should return by the middle of this week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 305 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A high risk for rip currents continues along the Atlantic coast as
gusty onshore winds remain in place on Sunday and into Monday.
These gusty winds will continue to assist in the potential
formation of larger waves in the surf zone up to 7-8 ft, but this
risk should lessen by Sunday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            81  72  82  73 /  20  20  10  20
West Kendall     81  71  83  69 /  20  20  10  20
Opa-Locka        81  72  82  71 /  20  20  10  20
Homestead        80  71  82  71 /  20  20  10  20
Fort Lauderdale  80  72  81  73 /  20  20  10  20
N Ft Lauderdale  80  71  81  72 /  20  20  10  20
Pembroke Pines   81  72  82  71 /  20  20  10  20
West Palm Beach  80  69  81  70 /  20  20  10  10
Boca Raton       80  71  81  71 /  20  20  20  20
Naples           85  68  86  68 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

     High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for AMZ630.

     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Redman
LONG TERM....Redman
AVIATION...RAG