Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FNUS73 KMKX 271229
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Badger Prairie Rx...Dane County Parks
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
729 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on March 27.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Skies should clear during the mid morning hours and daytime mixing should
support mixing heights to around 4000 ft by the afternoon. Highs will be in
the mid 40s with min RHs mainly in the mid 40%s, but dips into the high 30%s
can`t be ruled out. Most importanly today, winds will be out of west at the
time of the ignition and will turn marginally west-southwest in the afternoon
and perhaps a bit gusty. Winds will be fairly uniform through the mixed
layer and above, so any smoke plume will be advected off to the
east to east-northeast through today.

Westerly winds are generally expected to persist through Thursday, with winds
becoming southeasterly Friday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........33 at ignition...Max 40.
RH..................58 percent at ignition...Min 45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 13 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 12 to 13 mph with gusts to around 22
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 23 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /83900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /112800 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  44  20  28  29  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............33  36  37  38  39  38
RH..............58  52  50  48  46  48
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  14  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.3 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.24  23  23  24  24  24
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100084  86  93  105 112 113

$$
Forecaster...Kuroski
Requested by...Lars Higdon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408547.0/MKX
.DELDT 03/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL higdon.lars@countyofdane.com


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