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000
FXUS64 KMOB 160939
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
439 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 439 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Dry and quiet weather prevails across the forecast area through
Wednesday. Upper ridging over our area today gradually gives way to
more zonal flow aloft as a trough works its way across the Midwest
states Wednesday. Given how far removed the trough is from us, not
expecting anything more than a perhaps a sprinkle or two over far
interior portions of southeastern Mississippi into interior
southwestern Alabama Wednesday afternoon. Despite increased cloud
cover today and Wednesday, it will remain warm with highs generally
in the upper 70`s to lower 80`s, with a few spots touching the
middle 80`s each day. Overnight lows will be warm, with temperatures
only falling into the lower to middle 60`s. A low risk of rip
currents this morning becomes a moderate risk of rip currents this
evening, lasting through at least Wednesday. MM/25

&&

.SHORT/LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 439 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Upper ridging over the Gulf will maintain a zonal flow over the
region and help to deflect systems north of the central Gulf
coast. At the surface, high pressure centered over the western
Atlantic off the Florida east coast ridges back toward the west
and across our area through late week. This will maintain a mostly
onshore low level flow across our area this week, with moisture
gradually increasing, but little if any precipitation is expected
through the week. With the increased low level moisture, some
patchy late night fog is possible at times this week. The upper
ridging weakens this weekend as a weak front moves into the area.
The approaching front along with weaker upper ridging will allow
for increased rain chances over the weekend (30-50%). Rain chances
end by early next week as the front moves east of the area and
drier air moves in. Warm temperatures expected through most of the
week with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. By the end of the
forecast period look for a slight cool down, with highs mainly in
the 70s Sunday and Monday. Sunday night lows will be cooler as
well, mainly in the 50s. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 439 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

No significant impacts are expected for the marine zones through
this weekend. Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow prevails
through the weekend before offshore flow becomes established early
next week. MM/25 /14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      82  65  81  65  82  66  86  66 /   0   0   0   0  10   0   0   0
Pensacola   78  66  79  67  79  67  82  67 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      74  66  77  67  78  68  80  68 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   84  61  84  62  85  63  89  62 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10   0
Waynesboro  84  65  82  64  84  64  88  63 /   0   0  10   0  20  10  10  10
Camden      84  62  81  63  83  64  88  63 /   0   0  10  10  10  10  10  10
Crestview   83  61  82  61  85  62  88  61 /   0   0   0   0  10   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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