Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
909
FNUS73 KOAX 291207
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Lone Tree Rx...BIA-Winnebago Agency
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
707 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will remain rather low through the week as
we have several chances for showers and storms. Today will be the
dry day with temperatures topping out in the mid mid 60s and RH
values falling into the 40s. Winds will be out of the west at
10-15 mph today, with a few gusts near 20 mph, before weakening in
the early afternoon and becoming southeasterly late this evening.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 20-25 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 35-40 percent
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................85 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 8 to 11 mph with gusts to around 16
mph.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 26
mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise
West winds 12 to 16 mph with gusts to around 21
mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /44900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /83200 knot-ft/.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76 74 77 68 63 62 57 52 46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44 47 49 50 53 55 57 60 61
RH..............85 78 72 71 68 62 57 55 55
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..12 13 13 13 13 15 14 14 12
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 19 19 21 20 20 18
Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.9 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 9
Eye lvl wnd gst.14 14 14 14 14 16 15 15 13
Surface wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W
Surface wnd spd.15 16 16 16 16 19 18 18 15
Surface wnd gst.23 23 23 24 24 26 25 25 22
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.22 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 20
GFDI............0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100045 56 66 72 77 82 83 78 62
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 92 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph shifting to the
northeast late in the evening, then shifting to
the southeast up to 6 mph late in the evening.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 11 to 13 mph shifting to the
southeast 6 to 10 mph late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the
southeast 5 to 9 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph shifting to the northeast
5 to 6 mph late in the evening, then shifting
to the east 7 to 10 mph late in the evening
shifting to the southeast early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (40200 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (600 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........33 6 5 5 13 10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............62 58 51 48 47 45
RH..............52 60 75 77 82 86
20 ft wind......W 10 NW 6 NE 5 E 6 SE 6 SE 7
20 ft wind gust.14 8 6 8 8 10
Eye level wind..W 8 NW 4 NE 4 E 4 SE 4 SE 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.11 6 5 6 6 8
Surface wind....W 13 NW 8 NE 6 E 8 SE 8 SE 9
Surface wnd gst.18 10 8 10 10 13
Mix hgt (ft)....3900 500 400 400 400 400
Transport wind..W 16 NW 7 NE 6 E 8 SE 9 SE 10
GFDI............1 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....3 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100040 11 2 2 3 4
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 76.
RH..................Min 55 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 12 mph with gusts to around 17
mph shifting to the 13 to 16 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph late in the afternoon, then
decreasing to 7 to 8 mph with gusts to around
18 mph late in the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 9 to 20 mph with gusts to around 29
mph shifting to the 21 to 26 mph with gusts to
around 33 mph late in the afternoon, then
decreasing to 11 to 13 mph with gusts to around
30 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 17 mph with gusts to
around 23 mph shifting to the south 18 to 23
mph with gusts to around 26 mph late in the
afternoon, then decreasing to 10 to 12 mph with
gusts to around 24 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph increasing to south 29
to 32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (101700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........21 27 22 40 65 67
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC CHANCE DEFNTE
Temp............45 49 62 69 75 75
RH..............92 87 72 64 57 55
20 ft wind......SE 7 SE 8 SE 13 S 16 S 20 S 17
20 ft wind gust.11 13 19 23 26 26
Eye level wind..SE 5 SE 6 SE 10 S 12 S 15 S 13
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 10 14 17 19 19
Surface wind....SE 9 SE 10 SE 16 S 20 S 25 S 21
Surface wnd gst.14 16 24 29 32 32
Mix hgt (ft)....400 400 1200 2400 4500 3600
Transport wind..SE 10 SE 13 S 20 S 23 S 30 S 31
GFDI............0 0 1 1 2 2
Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/10003 6 20 60 93 100
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 11 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the
mid 60s. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around
13 mph.
$$
Forecaster...KG
Requested by...Duwayne Traversie RXB2
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412677.0/OAX
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL duwayne.traversie@bia.gov