Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FXUS65 KRIW 181736
AFDRIW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Riverton WY
Issued by National Weather Service Billings MT
1136 AM MDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 1055 AM MDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Forecast looks largely on track with ridging, clear skies, and dry
weather across the area today. A low pressure system moves into
the Pacific Northwest and digs southeastward into the four corners
region by Thursday night. Clouds and moisture will fill into the
region ahead of this low beginning tonight and continuing through
Thursday. Shower activity should increase over the mountains on
Thursday. Despite increasing cloud cover, most of the region will
see highs into 50s during the afternoon Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 1055 AM MDT Wed Apr 18 2018

As a low pressure system treks across southern Wyoming, winds
should increase in the wind corridor from Rock Springs to the
Green Mountains Thursday night though Friday. Snow and rain
showers most likely in southeastern portions of the state and in
the mountains on Friday into Friday night. This area of precip
will dissipate from northwest to southeast Friday night as the low
pushes into the Plains.

Warm and dry this weekend with temperatures 5-10 degrees above
average. This will cause snowmelt below 7500 feet. Ponding of
water in low-lying areas in the far western valleys will be a
concern where a deep snowpack still exists. However temperatures
reaching freezing/near freezing at night in combination with no
precipitation should keep any low-lying flood issues localized
and minor.

A low-amplitude trough is expected to push across the Northern
Rockies in the Monday/Monday night time frame. Overall models are
a bit strong with this system than 24 hours ago with a strong cold
front pulling south across the area on Monday with a decent shot
of precipitation across much of the area. The 700mb temperatures
and soundings suggest the precip in the lower elevations in wake
of the front would be mainly snow. However, overall confidence is
on the low side, and will only trend toward the cooler temperatures
and higher PoPs. This system should exit the area Tuesday with
drier conditions, and a warming trend commencing. Wednesday of
next week looks to be dry with seasonal to slightly above average
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1055 AM MDT Wed Apr 18 2018

West of the Continental Divide...KJAC, KBPI, KPNA, and KRKS

Clear skies this morning will give way to increased clouds and
mountain obscuration late this afternoon into this evening. VFR
conditions expected through the period.


East of the Continental Divide...KCPR, KCOD, KRIW, KLND, and KWRL

VFR conditions expected to continue. Clouds increase after 00z.
Gusty southeast winds 20 to 30 kts expected Thursday afternoon at
KCPR as low pressure system moves into the region.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued AT 1055 AM MDT Wed Apr 18 2018

High pressure returning to the area for the next two days. Expect a
warming and drying trends in the lower elevations. RHs in areas 277
and 279 do drop below 15 percent Thursday afternoon and have
somewhat gusty winds but strong enough at this time to cause
concern. Rain/snow returns to southern and eastern areas Friday.

&&

.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Walsh
LONG TERM...Murrell
AVIATION...Walsh
FIRE WEATHER...Hulme



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