Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 151713
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Noon Point...BLM WOD
National Weather Service Riverton WY
1113 AM MDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0300 MDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...West southwest flow aloft ahead of a pacific low
pressure trough will increase over the burn area today and Monday.
Monday will become windy with decreasing Relative humidity and
warming temperatures.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

FORECASTER...C.Baker

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........67-70 percent.
20-foot winds.......Downslope/downvalley 4-7 mph.
Ridge top winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Chc of wetting rain.Less than 5 percent.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....47-51.
Min humidity........41-44 percent.
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 5-9 mph becoming southwest 10
                    to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridge top winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes.
Chc of wetting rain.Less than 5 percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL until 1200, then 8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to excellent in the afternoon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around
11 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers and showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 16 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Colder. Cloudy with numerous snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds around 13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the upper 30s. Winds
generally less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the upper 30s. Winds generally less than 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...C.Baker
Requested by...Grif Cochran
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1806692.0/RIW
.EMAIL gcochran@blm.gov


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