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000
FXUS62 KTBW 231842
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
242 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 239 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Overall quiet weather pattern expected over the upcoming week. High
pressure continues to build into the region behind the frontal
boundary that swept through the area yesterday. Temperatures today
will remain at or just below average for this time of year, but
going forward through the rest of the week, a substantial warmup is
expected. As the ridge shifts off to the east and the surface high
settles to our east, easterly to southeasterly flow will foster
those warming temperatures. Highs tomorrow will reach the lower to
middle 80s across the CWA, but by Thursday, afternoon highs will top
out in the upper 80s for everyone, with a couple of 90s sprinkled
in. Through the end of the forecast period into early next week,
upper 80s to lower 90s are expected areawide. Very low relative
humidity values will persist during this time period leading to
feels like temperatures near the actual highs for the day. Lower
dewpoints will also allow overnight temperatures to fall into the
lower to middle 60s each night. The stout high pressure will also
keep precipitation chances at bay along with minimal cloud cover.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 239 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

VFR conditions continue through the forecast period. Winds will
briefly turn onshore with the sea breeze later this afternoon.
Otherwise, light easterly flow is expected into Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 239 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

High pressure is expected across the region for the upcoming week
leading to minimal weather concerns. Winds and seas will continue to
diminish today with winds of less than 15 knots and seas falling to
2 feet or less this afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 239 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

High pressure will dominate the weather pattern the next week with
warm and dry conditions expected. Critically low RH values are
expected each afternoon, but winds will remain light negating a
need for a Red Flag Warning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  63  83  66  86 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  62  86  65  87 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  58  85  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  61  85  64  86 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  53  84  57  87 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  67  82  69  84 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...ADavis
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Carlisle