Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
203 FLUS44 KTSA 082142 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 442 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091030- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 442 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024 ...SEVERE STORM THREAT THRU THIS EVENING... This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Limited to Elevated. AREA...East of US highway 69. ONSET...Ongoing...ending by mid-evening. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Significant. AREA...East of US highway 69. ONSET...Ongoing...ending by mid-evening. AREA AT GREATEST RISK...West-central and northwest Arkansas and extreme eastern Oklahoma. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Limited. AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing...ending by mid-evening. DISCUSSION... A slow-moving cold front will collide with a very unstable and strongly sheared air mass over eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas to bring scattered strong to severe storms this afternoon and into the evening, primarily east of US highway 69. Very large hail to 2 inches in diameter or greater and isolated damaging wind are the primary threats. Low level shear isn`t particularly strong (especially compared to Monday night`s event), but there is enough to support some tornado threat with the more discrete cells. Locally heavy rainfall may support an isolated flash flood threat, especially across far northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas where storms will have more of a tendency to train over the same areas. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. FRIDAY and SATURDAY...No Hazards. SUNDAY thru TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A slight chance of thunderstorms will remain across far southeast Oklahoma on Thursday with dry and mild weather for areas further north. The quiet weather pattern will continue for late week into the weekend with thunderstorm chances returning by early next week. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$