Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
066 FNUS54 KMEG 191950 FWFMEG Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth National Weather Service Memphis TN 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 .DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure will bring a continuation of rain free weather and very warm temperatures to the area through Tuesday. Minimum relative humidity values will range between 40-50 percent. Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase Wednesday into the Memorial Day weekend as a cold front weakens and stalls out across the area. ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-201045- Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett- 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) Precip Type None None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 65 (-2) 89 (+1) 69 91 RH % (24h trend) 89 (-9) 40 (-5) 83 41 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 2-6 S 7-11 G21 PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 S 3-7 S 12-16 G23 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 5200 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1700 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5600 5500 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 6 S 11 Transport Wnd (mph) S 14 S 25 Vent Index (m2/s) 10200 18700 Category Day 4 5 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 82 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 6 S 10 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 13 S 23 Dispersion Index 8 34 12 62 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F C Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-201045- Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis- 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) Precip Type None None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 66 (+1) 89 (+1) 68 90 RH % (24h trend) 91 (-8) 41 (-4) 88 44 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G17 PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G20 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5500 5300 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1700 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5700 5500 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 5 S 10 Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 22 Vent Index (m2/s) 8500 17000 Category Day 4 5 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 5 S 9 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 12 S 20 Dispersion Index 8 33 11 55 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI/Haines Index 5 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ001>004-019>022-201045- Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley- 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) Precip Type None None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 61 (0) 88 (+1) 65 90 RH % (24h trend) 99 (-1) 44 (-2) 89 44 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 G19 PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G21 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5400 4800 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5800 5200 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 4 S 9 Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 21 Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 14400 Category Day 3 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 5 S 9 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 11 S 21 Dispersion Index 7 27 10 54 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI/Haines Index 5 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ048>055-088>091-201045- Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson- Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton- 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) Precip Type None None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 61 (0) 88 (+1) 66 90 RH % (24h trend) 99 (0) 44 (-3) 89 46 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 5-9 PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G18 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5400 4900 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5800 5300 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 4 S 9 Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 20 Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 14400 Category Day 3 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 5 S 8 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 10 S 19 Dispersion Index 7 24 10 53 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-201045- Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha- 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear Mclear Precip Chance (%) Precip Type None None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 64 (+2) 90 (+2) 67 90 RH % (24h trend) 92 (-6) 41 (-5) 87 44 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 2-6 Lgt/Var S 7-11 G19 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5900 5100 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6100 5300 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 4 S 8 Transport Wnd (mph) S 9 S 18 Vent Index (m2/s) 7600 12800 Category Day 3 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 82 81 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 4 S 8 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 9 S 17 Dispersion Index 7 23 10 48 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F B F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-201045- Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS- Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union- 250 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Clear Mclear Precip Chance (%) Precip Type None None None None Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration (hrs) Precip Begin Precip End Temp (24h trend) 62 (+1) 89 (+2) 66 90 RH % (24h trend) 98 (-1) 41 (-4) 90 42 AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 3-7 PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5-9 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1500 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5600 4900 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1600 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6000 5400 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 3 S 7 Transport Wnd (mph) S 7 S 16 Vent Index (m2/s) 5400 11200 Category Day 3 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 81 80 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 4 S 7 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 9 S 15 Dispersion Index 6 22 10 41 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 4 Stability Class F A F B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$