Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 240744
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for SGL 180 - Shohola 1...Pennsylvania State Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
344 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A large region of dry high pressure, will keep a mostly clear
sky going through Friday, with warming temperatures. Increasing
moisture and an approaching frontal boundary, will result in
chances for showers or thunderstorms over the weekend,
especially Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3500-4700 ft AGL increasing to 4900-6400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon, then decreasing to 3600 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNSET.............. 8:23 PM

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  70  73  76  78  79  79  79
RH..............47  39  34  30  28  28  29  30
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  11  11  10  10  10  10  7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 4.7 5.6 6.2 6.4 5.8 4.9 3.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  16  16  15  13  9
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1000-2300 ft AGL decreasing to 0 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.
Transport winds.....West 1 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
SUNRISE............. 5:36 AM

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  71  68  65  62  61  59  57  56  54  53
RH..............33  37  42  50  54  61  62  67  72  74  80  86
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.6   4                               2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   5   2   1   1   1   2   2   3   5   5   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming west 6 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    5500-7200 ft AGL in the afternoon decreasing to
                    4200 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
SUNSET.............. 8:23 PM

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........5         7         10        15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............53        64        77        84
RH..............89        70        42        34
20 FT wind......W 2       W 5G6     W 8G13    W 8G14
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    1800      5800      6600
Transport wind..W 7       W 13      W 20      W 21
Haines index....4         4         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Gaines
Requested by...Michael Beahms, State Game Warden / Land
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810595.0/BGM
.DELDT 05/24/18
.EMAIL rayguse@smokedgooseconsulting.com



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