Text Products for FWS Issued by BTV

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
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FNUS71 KBTV 171150
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Steam Mill...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
750 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will result in dry conditions today with
increasing high clouds this afternoon from west to east.
Near critically low relative humidity values between
25 and 35% are anticipated this afternoon, especially in
the valleys below 1500 feet. Winds will be from the north
to northeast at 5 to 10 mph with localized higher gusts
in aligned valleys and exposed ridges. Temperatures will
warm into the mid 50s to lower 60s depending upon elevation
and aspect. Tonight clouds continue to thicken with light
rain showers developing over northern New York. These
showers will slowly spread into Vermont on Thursday,
but precipitation amounts will be light and generally
under a tenth of an inch. However, cooler temperatures
and higher humidity values are expected on Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........20     17     29     62     68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............39     45     49     52     52
RH..............59     49     44     41     44
20 ft wind......NW 6   N 7    NW 6   NW 6   E 5
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2200   2700   2900   2700
Transport wind..N 8    N 8    NW 6   N 6    NE 5
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east 6
                    to 14 mph, then increasing to around 16 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 15 mph shifting to the southeast 16
                    to 17 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........85     95     84     83     85     77
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     20     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............50     46     43     42     41     40
RH..............50     58     62     65     67     76
20 ft wind......N 5    E 6    E 8    E 10   E 10   E 14
20 ft wind gust.       7      9      12     13     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   500    500    500    600    500
Transport wind..E 6    E 8    E 12   E 13   SE 15  SE 17
Haines index....3      3      3      3      2      2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely early in the afternoon. Chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 23 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........78     86     86     87     89     90
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     40     50     70     50
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............39     39     41     42     43     43
RH..............79     79     76     76     73     76
20 ft wind......E 16   SE 16  SE 16  SE 16  SE 14  SE 12
20 ft wind gust.17     18     20     18     15     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   1200   1300   1400   1300   1300
Transport wind..SE 20  SE 21  SE 22  SE 22  SE 20  SE 18
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Lahiff
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410967.2/BTV
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.a.goulding@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
