Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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000
FNUS73 KIWX 211339
FWSIWX

Spot Forecast for Dowagiac rx...BIA/USFS
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
939 AM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (574) 834-1104, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies expected to prevail during the burn period
with light southeast winds late this morning, becoming south and
southwesterly this afternoon. Minimum humidity values expected in
the 30 to 35 percent range. No rainfall expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 3700-5400 ft AGL in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 1 mph shifting to the west 5 to 6
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5000-20200 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........86  88  90  92  94  95  96  98  99  100
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  49  54  56  57  57  55  54  53  52
RH..............54  45  37  36  35  38  39  41  43  47
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5       4       4       5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 4.0 4.0 4.0 5.4 5.4 5.4 3.7 3.7 3.7
Transp wind dir.E   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.1   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6
VRate kt-ft/10005   5   5   5   20  20  20  20  20  20
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   5   5   20  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Becoming partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....35-40.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1100 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........95  90  85  80  77  72  69  65  56  51  50  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  48  46  44  43  42  41  40  40  39  38  38
RH..............50  54  58  65  68  71  73  75  77  79  81  81
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
VRate kt-ft/10002   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....59-64.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Heat index..........MISSING.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 4600-5200 ft AGL in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 2 mph increasing to 14 to 17 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (18100-64300 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........28  26  23  22  20  17  15  15  15  15  16  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  44  49  54  57  59  60  60  61  60  59  57
RH..............70  60  49  41  37  36  35  34  35  36  37  41
Heat index (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.6 4.6 4.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   14  14  14  14  14  14  17  17  17
VRate kt-ft/100018  18  18  18  18  18  64  64  64  64  64  64
SDspl kt-ft/100018  18  18  18  18  18  64  64  64  64  64  64

$$
Forecaster...FISHER
Requested by...Chris Loomis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807260.0/IWX
.EMAIL csloomis@fs.fed.us



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