Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 200837
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
336 AM EST SAT JAN 20 2018


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JAN 20/1200 UTC THRU JAN 23/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

GREAT BASIN---SOUTHWEST---CENTRAL ROCKIES

HEIGHT FALLS MOVING INTO CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY INTO A CLOSED LOW ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN AND TOWARD THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY.  THIS WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A WIDESPREAD WINTER STORM
THAT WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM THE GREAT BASIN/SOUTHWEST---CENTRAL
ROCKIES DAY 1---EAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DAY 2
AND UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER LAKES REGION DURING DAY 3.  FOR THE
DAY 1 PERIOD---HEAVY SNOWS POSSIBLE FROM THE WASATCH/UINTA---THRU
THE MOGOLLON RIM AND INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES FROM COLORADO INTO
MUCH OF WYOMING.  SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR ADDITIONAL WINTER
WEATHER INFORMATION

PACIFIC NORTHWEST

A RELATIVELY WEAK LEAD SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST EARLY DAY 1---FOLLOWED BY A MUCH STRONGER NORTHEAST
PACIFIC CLOSED LOW PUSHING EASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST
CANADIAN/PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST LATE DAY 1.  GENERALLY LIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER WASHINGTON-OREGON FROM THE CASCADES TO THE
COAST EARLY DAY 1 WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE ORGANIZED FRONTAL
PRECIPITATION AREA AFFECTING THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT
AND APPROACHING THE COASTAL AREAS AS FAR SOUTH AS FAR NORTHWEST
CALIFORNIA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  HEAVIEST PRECIP TOTALS DAY 1
WILL BE OVER THE OLYMPIC RANGE WHERE 2-3"+ TOTALS ARE
POSSIBLE---WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE TOTALS ELSEWHERE IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST FROM THE WASHINGTON-OREGON CASCADES TO THE OREGON-WA
COAST RANGE.

EASTERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

WEAK ONSHORE SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST DAY 1 OFF THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO EASTERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR ANY ORGANIZED PRECIP WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME
AS A WEAK CLOSED LOW INITIALLY OVER NORTHERN LA PUSHES EASTWARD
ALONG THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF COAST.  GIVEN THE WEAKENING
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT---EXPECT ANY SCATTERED PRECIP FROM EAST TX
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE---WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE ON PLACEMENT DETAILS.

NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN QB WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE
MARITIMES DAY 1.  THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO
NORTHERN NY STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE SAT/EARLY SUNDAY.
POST FRONTAL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SUPPORT LIGHT PRECIP/SNOWFALL
TOTALS FROM NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

DAYS 2/3...


...WEST COAST/NORTHERN ROCKIES...

AS A WEAKENING CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW CROSSES THE NORTHERN TIP OF
VANCOUVER ISLAND DURING DAY 2...STRONG SHORT WAVE ENERGY IMPACTS
THE WEST COAST FROM NORTHERN CA THROUGH WA. DEEPENING PACIFIC
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY OVER NORTHERN CA RAISES
THE POSSIBILITY FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE
ENERGY CROSSES THE WEST COAST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING DAY 3.
THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE SHORT WAVE TIMING...AS
WELL AS PLACEMENT OF THE QPF MAXIMUM OVER NORTHERN CA. WITH THIS
IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
THE STRONGEST SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE CLOSED LOW
APPROACHING NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND CROSSES WA/OR EARLY ON DAY
2. AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY...A 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO THE COAST
(GENERALLY BETWEEN 22/12Z AND 22/18Z). THE COMBINATION OF STRONG
UPSLOPE FLOW AND DYNAMIC ASCENT (WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING
MARGINAL INSTABILITY...DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO STEEPENING LAPSE
RATES) IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AXES OF 1.50 TO 2.50 INCHES OF QPF
OVER THE OLYMPIC RANGE AND CASCADES IN WA. LESSER AMOUNTS
(GENERALLY BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES) WERE PLACED OVER THE OR
COASTAL RANGE. LOWERING SNOW LEVELS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY FLASH
FLOOD THREAT HERE ON DAY 2.

FURTHER SOUTH...A 30/40 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST SOUTHWEST FLOW
TRANSPORTS 1.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER TO THE NORTHERN CA
COAST...WITH THE BEST UPSLOPE BETWEEN CAPE MENDOCINO AND POINT
ARENAS. THERE IS NOW A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 2.50/3.50 INCHES OF
QPF HERE (WITH THE 00Z CMC CONTINUING TO SHOW 4.00+ INCHES OF QPF
HERE). WHILE THE 00Z CMC AND GFS AMOUNTS APPEAR TOO HIGH (DUE TO
THE TRANSITORY NATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW)...WPC QPF AMOUNTS
NEAR 2.75 INCHES WERE PLACED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. BASED ON THE
STRONG MODEL SIGNAL...A MARGINAL RISK WAS PLACED OVER A PORTION OF
THE NORTHERN CA COAST FOR DAY 2.

FINALLY...AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY REACHES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
LATE...THE PACIFIC MOISTURE PLUME IS NOT AS ROBUST AS FURTHER
WEST. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND DYNAMIC LIFT
SHOULD PRODUCE LOCAL 0.40 INCH QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE BLUE MOUNTAINS
IN OR...AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN BITTERROOTS IN ID.

DAY 3...
THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW WEAKENS AND DROPS SOUTH OF NORTHERN CA DURING
DAY 2. THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE IN THE UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE STRIPES OF 0.25/0.50 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE COASTAL
RANGE...AS WELL AS THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE. FURTHER EAST...AS THE
SHORT WAVE ENERGY EXITS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
AID IN PRODUCING 0.25 INCH QPF AMOUNTS OVER THE NORTHERN
BITTERROOTS IN ID...AS WELL AS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN
MT...AND THE GRAND TETONS IN WY,

ADDITIONAL WEAKER SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST EARLY ON DAY 2. THE INFLOW IS WEAKER THAN DAY 2...BUT
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 0.75 INCHES...COMBINED WITH THE
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT...COULD PRODUCE 0.50/1.00 INCHES OF QPF
ACROSS THE NORTHERN WA CASCADES.

HEAVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 2. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY ON DAY 2
EXITS TO THE NORTHEAST. UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOCUSES MOISTURE ON
THE HIGHER TERRAIN...RESULTING IN QPF ACROSS MUCH OF CO. THERE WAS
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC
QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE FORMING OVER SOUTHEAST CO (IN THE PRESENCE OF
THE EXITING MID LEVEL LOW) TRACKS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING
THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2. THE LOW LEVEL EAST NORTHEAST FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE SYSTEM FOCUSES MOISTURE (AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FLIRT WITH 0.50 INCHES OVER KS/NE) OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST WY AND CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST CO.
THE BEST UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE FRONT RANGE IN
CO...WHERE A LARGE AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED.


...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY ON DAY 2
TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY DURING DAY
2...REACHING THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY THE END OF DAY 3. SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL SYSTEM CROSSES THE SAME
AREA...AS ITS WARM FRONT EXTENDS INTO NEW ENGLAND ON DAY 3. THE
00Z ECMWF CONTINUED THAT MODELS SOLUTION OF BEING SUPPRESSED WITH
THE SURFACE LOW AND NORTHWARD EXTENT OF ITS QPF ACROSS THE UPPER
VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...MAINLY ON DAY 3. WITH THIS IN
MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MORE CLOSELY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
GFS/NAM/UKMET.

DAY 2...
AS THE MID LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEMS TRACK FROM THE FOUR CORNER
REGION TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING DAY 2...THERE IS A MULTI MODEL
SIGNAL FOR A MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED BAND TO FORM FROM
NORTH CENTRAL NE ACROSS SOUTHEAST SD INTO NORTHWEST IA AND
SOUTHERN MI. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THE 00Z ECMWF REMAINS
SUPPRESSED AND SLOWER WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE MID LEVEL
LIFT...AND THE 00Z GFS WAS USED A TEMPLATE FOR THE PLACEMENT OF
THE BEST LIFT. AN AXIS OF 0.35 TO 0.65 INCHES OF QPF WAS STRETCHED
OVER THIS AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST NE AND
SOUTHEAST SD.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED ELEVATED INSTABILITY EXTENDING OVER CENTRAL
NE...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 1.00 INCHES OF
QPF...NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK. ADDITIONALLY...LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SURFACE LOW
ACROSS EASTERN IA SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR LOCAL 0.75 INCH QPF
AMOUNTS.

DAY 3...
THE MID LEVEL LOW MOVES FROM SOUTHEAST NE TO SOUTHERN MI DURING
DAY 3. THE MID LEVEL FRONTOGENETICALLY FORCED BANDING IS EXPECTED
TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN MN ACROSS MUCH OF WI INTO THE LP OF MI.
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITHIN THIS
BAND...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE QPF AMOUNTS NORTH OF THE
SURFACE LOW. THERE WAS A GOOD MODEL CONSENSUS (EXCEPT FOR THE 00Z
ECMWF...WHICH REMAINS SUPPRESSED WITH THE BEST MID LEVEL FORCING)
FOR AN AXIS OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE ABOVEMENTIONED
LOCATIONS...WITH LOCAL 1.50 INCH AMOUNTS NEAR THE WARM FRONT
ACROSS SOUTHERN MI.

LIFT ALONG THE WARM FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS QUEBEC INTO NORTHERN NY
INTO NEW ENGLAND IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE QPF AMOUNTS BETWEEN 0.25
AND 0.50 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER NORTHERN NY STATE.

SNOW AND ICE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION DURING DAYS 2 AND 3.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SUITE OF WPC WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS
FOR MORE INFORMATION.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MS INTO THE OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM LOW PRESSURE TRACKING FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL BECOME THE FOCUS FOR DEEP
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...FEEDING CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES HEAVY
TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DURING DAY 2 ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY. THE 00Z ECMWF WAS SLOWER WITH THE FRONT THAT THE
CONSENSUS...AND THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MORE CLOSELY ON A BLEND OF
THE 00Z GFS/NAM/UKMET.

DAY 2...
A CLOSED MID LEVEL TRACKS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MID MS
VALLEY DURING DAY 2...PUSHING ALONG A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ALONG THE SAME TRACK. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE
SURFACE LOW CROSSES EAST TX INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...AND
THE FRONT BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR DEEPENING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
FOR LOW TOPPED CONVECTION. AHEAD OF THE FRONT (MAINLY DURING THE
22/00Z TO 22/06Z TIME FRAME)...A 50 /60 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH IS BETWEEN
TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) ACROSS EAST TX
AND AR INTO FAR SOUTHEAST MO. MODEL SOUNDINGS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME SHOWED SBCAPE VALUES OF 250/500 J/KG...WHICH SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW LOW TOPPED CONVECTION TO INITIATE IN THE
MOISTURE PLUME.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED STRONG SHEAR ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF THE
MID LEVEL LOW...AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT. WHILE THE MODEL CONSENSUS HERE
PRODUCE AN AXIS OF 1.25/1.50 INCHES OF QPF EXTENDING FROM FAR
NORTHEAST TX INTO WESTERN AR...THE 00Z ECMWF/NAM/UKMET SHOWED
AREAS OF 2.00+ INCHES OF QPF ON THIS AXIS. IN ADDITION...850-300
MB MEAN WINDS BECOME BETTER ALIGNED WITH THE PROPAGATION
VECTORS...OPENING A WINDOW FOR TRAINING BEFORE THE COLD FRONT
EXITS FOR THE TN VALLEY. GIVEN THIS SETUP...THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES...ESPECIALLY AFTER
22/00Z...SO A MARGINAL RISK WAS PLACED OVER NORTHEAST TX ACROSS
WESTERN AR ON DAY 2.

DAY 3...
AS THE MID LEVEL AND SURFACE SYSTEMS LINE UP DURING DAY 3...THE
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE TN AND OH VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES. WHILE THE STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...THE GULF OF MEXICO PLUME IS NOT QUITE AS ROBUST OVER THE
TN AND OH VALLEYS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE OH/TN VALLEYS INTO THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT LOW TOPPED CONVECTION. STRIPES OF
0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WERE PLACED OVER TN/KY INTO EASTERN
OH...AS WELL AS THE TERRAIN OF WESTERN VA INTO EASTERN PA. BY THIS
TIME...THE CONVECTION SHOULD BE MOVING STEADILY ENOUGH TO MITIGATE
MUCH OF A FLASH FLOOD THREAT DURING DAY 3.


ORAVEC/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 494611 503629 510647 513657 517669 519682 520686 521691
      523704 522712 521718 518724 514731 508739 503746 491755
      488755 484751 482748 482743 487737 489734 490729 487723
      483722 478723 464720 448729 443727 440721 439717 441713
      445705 451701 456695 460692 462692 465689 469691 470695
      472696 474692 473685 471678 469674 466670 464665 461657
      457650 455643 456637 459624
 0.01 535215 537207 538199 537193 536188 532181 530177 528174
      526169 523166 517160 506150 505153 510162 511165 509167
      501163 497162 493160 487153 488150 492150 495149 495145
      491136 484130 481127 478126 474125 471125 469130 470135
      472140 477141 479143 479146 478149 475150 473148 470144
      466142 459143 457146 457150 461158 464161 466164 469169
      472171 477172 481174 483177 489183 494185 497188 502194
      507200 518214 522221 528223 533219 535215
 0.01 520266 522259 522251 522245 520240 517232 513224 507217
      500210 493205 485204 470209 463210 456213 427222 423222
      423227 424233 421234 416233 413235 407239 405243 405250
      409258 411262 414263 423266 443271 445275 445279 447288
      451297 454307 459314 461316 464316 468315 471312 477307
      483302 485300 487299 489301 492303 495301 502296 507292
      512284 517274 520266
 0.01 463178 461175 458177 456174 455171 451171 452176 452180
      448180 450185 451185 455184 459182 462178 463178
 0.01 454752 453742 452738 451738 444739 440740 439742 432744
      430750 432757 435763 438765 442759 443757 446756 451755
      454752
 0.01 450097 449094 447092 440091 438089 438083 442082 446082
      450080 449073 449062 448053 448042 447032 446021 447015
      448010 452976 451973 447971 445971 443973 438978 433985
      426994 423999 418005 409016 404019 397023 394028 392034
      388040 383044 371049 366049 363050 357053 344055 329053
      324054 321056 322057 326059 329061 334061 338067 339069
      338072 333074 320076 316077 314079 309085 305092 305102
      307107 310113 314116 320115 327114 334118 337119 339123
      344129 350139 354143 358149 361154 363157 367158 374155
      381155 389155 394154 397148 399141 400136 403133 407128
      412122 417117 426110 437105 445101 450097
 0.01 419919 418912 417905 414902 410905 408910 403912 400915
      396920 394924 391927 389929 389933 391938 394942 398943
      403947 405950 409952 411947 414935 417929 418924 419919
 0.01 401797 400795 397795 391796 381802 379807 382814 383820
      384827 380839 378844 379852 379857 378859 378869 372877
      368882 367887 365900 366909 371909 375907 376904 375900
      375896 376891 376884 377880 379880 382882 392886 397876
      398871 398862 397846 395814 399804 401797
 0.01 368115 367110 364108 361105 357102 352100 349098 348103
      350108 352110 355113 360114 365115 368115
 0.01 357187 355184 353183 352183 351184 350185 349185 347187
      347189 346191 346194 348194 349192 349190 351188 353187
      355187 357187 357187
 0.01 359930 359925 357920 354916 350916 343920 334921 330919
      324919 320917 316914 314911 313906 313894 313888 310885
      307882 303880 297881 294889 295893 295896 293897 289899
      287903 284920 276938 274945 270953 268956 264958 256962
      255966 257968 266968 274964 280964 283964 285966 290964
      292962 293965 291968 291974 292979 293986 295990 298989
      300986 300975 304966 309959 319948 323945 327944 336946
      342951 343951 346948 349942 354938 359930
 0.01 331171 331166 328163 324161 320159 317157 311156 308155
      307160 310163 314166 317169 322170 327172 330171 331171
 0.01 295801 294797 292795 290794 288792 284792 282791 280792
      278794 279797 280800 282802 285803 287804 289803 292802
      295801
 0.25 517267 518262 518256 516248 513236 506223 503218 499214
      486210 479210 474212 469214 463215 458217 456219 457222
      460225 464226 467227 465228 455232 450234 445239 444243
      447245 453247 454251 452254 451259 452262 455268 458272
      461279 461286 461293 463299 469301 473298 482292 488291
      493290 499290 503288 508284 512278 517267
 0.25 486228 486226 484225 482227 483229 485228 486228
 0.25 471223 471222 469223 468225 468226 470225 471223
 0.25 439059 440045 440038 438034 434028 431026 427027 421032
      415039 412048 410056 405063 401066 398068 393067 389067
      385072 382071 379067 372062 367062 364064 362067 362070
      367077 372084 374088 377089 379088 382086 384088 384090
      385093 387094 390097 393100 397106 396110 394112 379119
      373123 370126 371131 372140 375145 380144 385142 388139
      389134 392124 395120 399118 406117 409117 412113 416106
      420097 423094 428094 430094 432090 434079 437073 439059
 0.25 367124 367122 366121 365120 363119 361121 363122 364123
      365124 366124 367124
 0.25 357122 356118 353115 348110 344105 344100 342096 340092
      337089 335085 332084 332088 334091 335095 334102 334105
      335107 340113 347119 350123 355124 357122
 0.50 516264 516258 514250 512242 502222 499217 496215 492217
      491220 492228 493234 494237 492238 488236 482237 480231
      477229 469235 465236 465240 468244 470248 469254 467257
      465265 465272 468276 472279 476281 480282 487283 493285
      497285 504284 508280 511276 515266 516264
 0.50 431066 432061 432058 431054 430051 427050 425051 422053
      422058 421062 421067 422072 423074 424077 426077 428075
      429072 431068 431066
 0.50 411103 412101 411099 411096 411094 410091 409089 407090
      406091 406093 406095 406098 406100 405102 406104 406105
      407106 409107 410105 411104 411103
 0.50 378078 378076 379074 378072 378071 376069 375066 373065
      371064 369066 370068 371069 371071 372073 373073 373075
      374077 374078 375080 376080 377079 378078
 0.50 352119 353117 352117 351115 350115 349114 347113 346114
      347115 348116 349117 350118 352119 352119
 0.50 344109 343107 343106 341107 342109 342110 344110 344109
 0.50 339102 340100 340098 340097 339098 339100 339102 339102
 1.00 506276 508263 509258 509251 508242 504235 500227 496222
      494224 494227 495233 498240 499244 499248 497249 492243
      489240 485240 483243 481242 480237 477233 473234 473240
      475243 477247 478251 479260 483266 495276 499278 503279
      506276
 1.50 502275 503267 501261 498255 494249 491245 488243 486243
      485248 484253 486259 490265 494269 499273 502275
 1.50 503238 502238 501235 500232 499229 497227 496229 496231
      497232 497234 498235 499237 501239 502240 503238
 2.00 500269 500266 499261 498258 497255 495253 494251 492248
      489246 487248 487250 487254 488257 490260 492263 493265
      496267 498269 500269
 3.00 497262 497260 496258 496257 495255 494254 494253 492251
      492250 491250 490251 490252 491255 491256 492258 493259
      494261 495262 495263 497262

24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 405307 411307 416306 421306 427304 438302 449301 459298
      469297 474297 481298 487301 491300 496299 502297 510290
      513287 517281 518277 533233 534219 537212 539203 538196
      537189 536182 532173 528166 522157 514152 499144 494142
      490139 479137 475138 472136 465136 460137 455136 448142
      437140 430141 424140 419142 410145 398154 392160 389165
      388169 391174 395175 402180 409185 412186 413189 410194
      407198 403198 396195 387191 375189 372190 372195 372201
      370207 363211 360215 358221 358226 359231 361235 361241
      362252 361260 361265 360273 361277 364289
 0.01 489767 488757 484747 480739 478735 477728 476724 473723
      466724 463725 462719 463711 465700 466692 465687 462684
      459683 457687 452693 450704 447718 446729 447751 449756
      450763 451776 452787 450789 449787 447785 443779 439774
      432768 426767 420768 410770 407771 403774 386802 385805
      385811 386823 387829 386833 384834 379839 372849 373858
      376866 373870 368871 357876 341882 326887 309894 294899
      286902 279906 274909 270914 266919 266923 264925 261932
      261945 261957 261962 263965 268974 270977 274978 279980
      281985 285985 288987 290992 289997 293004 295006 299004
      302002 303999 305993 310988 324984 355966 361963 365956
      368954 372954 377954 380958 382962 382967 382974 380979
      377989 374996 373007 371015 363025 361029 360034 359046
      357050 354053 350057 346066 351068 352069 351074 345079
      343083 342089 347092 353098 363099 367099 369096 369092
      366090 363089 360087 360084 362083 364082 369086 373089
      375093 381099 389096 392098 393102 391105 384108 380108
      378112 377118 376124 375127 376130 382129 389124 395120
      402116 407114 411110 415103 417094 419088 421086 427078
      432072 435064 443043 445039 445032 445027 445019 449999
      450991 452981 455972 457964 461949 470928 474920 474905
      474898 472894 471883 470877 469869 467866 467858 462839
      458816 460815 461817 466824 475828 475836 478842 480847
      482845 486835 489826 488810 487803 486799 484795 483788
      485781 489767
 0.01 476177 475175 473175 472174 470174 469175 470177 471177
      473177 475178 476177
 0.01 314768 313763 313758 311754 310753 305757 302770 295777
      291782 288787 285799 284802 286803 290803 292805 297805
      303803 310792 312779 313775 314768
 0.01 269769 268760 267755 265751 262749 255748 244747 237747
      229748 225749 224751 221755 214765 210775 211784 213791
      217802 219810 220819 221828 220833 220842 220851 220855
      222857 222861 224862 227864 230864 233864 235862 238856
      239850 242845 246841 250829 251822 251818 253816 257804
      264794 266787 265780 268774 269769
 0.25 530194 529191 527188 525180 522175 518171 492161 486159
      480158 474158 477163 481169 483173 484177 484183 482189
      479195 475201 470205 461208 448211 435214 423215 412211
      397208 390205 386205 384207 381216 378222 374226 373232
      375239 374245 374250 377265 378281 380287 383290 389289
      393289 401291 404292 406291 410288 414282 418276 421273
      426269 432265 444261 453255 458254 465255 473257 480261
      485267 489273 493279 499283 505284 508282 513277 518270
      519265 521259 522248 522239 520230 515219 512212 509204
      507195 506192 510192 516195 521196 527198 530194
 0.25 471158 472156 470154 469153 469152 467150 466149 464148
      463149 462149 461151 460153 462155 463156 464156 465157
      467157 468157 470158 471158
 0.25 456177 458172 457168 455165 454163 453160 451157 450155
      448156 447160 449162 450166 449170 448175 448180 450181
      452181 455179 456177
 0.25 450966 451963 451960 449956 448944 445923 442912 438902
      433893 431883 427875 424866 418850 416846 413845 411847
      406854 394867 384880 378884 370887 354893 344897 335900
      320906 314909 308913 301918 295924 290943 301974 304975
      309976 319973 327969 334964 347955 351950 357946 364940
      370935 374932 378930 387927 395927 398928 402931 407934
      409936 409942 409951 407956 402964 399972 397977 394980
      387996 385003 385013 385020 382023 377028 378034 384034
      387033 389033 391036 389044 390051 388057 386058 388060
      389068 392070 395070 398067 401062 403057 409053 418051
      421049 423045 428037 434023 442003 445992 447981 448971
      450966
 0.25 382078 381076 381074 381072 380069 378069 377069 376069
      375071 376073 376074 377076 377077 378078 379080 379081
      380081 381080 382078
 0.25 299794 297792 295793 294794 294796 294797 295797 297797
      298796 299794 299794
 0.25 254789 254782 253776 253770 250763 244763 239766 235770
      233776 230787 228792 229801 232814 233821 234824 237825
      241821 242815 246811 248805 253794 254789
 0.50 515267 518259 518251 517240 516234 514229 511223 508219
      502211 495207 492202 487199 483200 480203 473209 466212
      449217 440219 434222 429224 425225 419223 415220 411218
      408215 398212 389208 386219 381225 379229 380233 383243
      385249 388253 389265 389275 394274 400275 405275 409273
      416267 422263 430259 438255 454252 463250 473252 482255
      489261 495270 499273 504273 511271 515267
 0.50 438995 439984 438971 436964 434960 431958 419965 415969
      410975 406981 400986 392998 390005 392014 396019 401020
      406020 412018 418015 430007 435003 438995
 0.50 431921 431914 429909 423905 421899 423894 423887 423881
      419870 415863 413862 409863 407866 400874 394881 388886
      379891 367893 362894 357896 351899 333908 325914 319919
      312926 306933 310966 316971 323968 337956 352945 359939
      365932 370924 373922 378920 387917 394909 400909 404910
      411910 414913 417918 423926 426927 429926 431921
 0.50 405219 404219 403218 401217 399218 397220 398222 399222
      400222 402221 402220 404219 405219
 0.50 248792 245788 243785 243781 241780 239781 236787 234792
      233798 233806 234812 238812 240809 242805 244801 247794
      248792
 1.00 511263 513256 513250 511239 508231 504223 500216 496214
      491213 486211 483211 481216 483220 489224 492228 493233
      493242 486236 480231 473231 469235 467238 468241 473244
      479246 488252 493257 496260 499260 502257 506260 511263
 1.00 473219 473218 471216 470215 469215 468215 466215 465215
      463216 461217 460218 459219 458219 459220 460221 462222
      464222 465223 467223 469222 471222 472221 473220 473219
 1.00 458239 456237 455237 453237 452237 451238 449238 447238
      447239 449241 451241 452240 454241 456241 458239
 1.00 447241 446239 444240 443240 444241 445242 447241
 1.00 425251 425246 422241 416236 412233 406231 397229 393226
      387225 384227 384232 387236 388240 396247 401254 404257
      408258 416257 423253 425251
 1.00 406003 408000 408998 406996 405995 403994 401994 400995
      399996 399998 398000 399002 399003 400005 401005 403005
      404004 406003 406003
 1.00 375905 374901 371900 368903 366905 364906 362908 359910
      357911 354912 357912 360912 364912 368912 369911 373910
      374907 375905
 1.00 358930 353927 349930 345933 340936 336939 332943 332946
      334948 339946 345943 349941 353936 356932 358930
 1.00 350914 350913 348913 346914 344915 346916 348915 350915
      350914
 1.00 345917 344915 342916 342917 344917 345917
 1.50 508253 508245 507237 505231 502225 500219 497217 494216
      488216 488219 490221 493228 496234 498239 500246 504250
      508253
 1.50 492248 491245 488242 485241 483240 481236 479235 476233
      473234 472239 475242 478243 481243 485245 486247 489249
      492248
 1.50 413243 412239 409236 404234 399232 394230 390229 387231
      389236 391239 395242 398244 403246 409246 412245 413243
 2.00 504239 503236 502233 501230 500227 498224 497221 495220
      495225 495228 498232 499235 501237 502239 504239
 2.00 478241 478240 478238 477237 475236 474237 475239 476240
      477240 478241 478241
 2.00 408241 407238 403236 402235 398234 396233 393233 390234
      391237 394239 395241 399242 402243 405243 408241

24HR QP VT 23/12Z
 0.01 540205 539197 538191 535185 532181 523172 516163 486128
      480125 474125 469127 467132 466137 465139 463142 462138
      460123 466114 462102 455095 450090 447089 444089 431087
      426086 424089 423093 425100 421106 413115 411119 414123
      417128 417132 415134 412134 411141 412146 412150 410159
      411173 412175 416175 420173 421172 422174 423176 426182
      431185 433191 435193 438194 441192 443186 444177 445172
      447169 452167 461163 464163 466165 469169 474172 480174
      492180 499188 507196 514205 522213 527217 533219 540205
 0.01 523264 523259 522256 521249 516237 510224 503212 503207
      502204 499200 493198 487197 466207 457210 452212 446212
      442215 437218 429211 422209 421205 423203 422197 416196
      411195 407199 406203 403204 396201 377188 366182 366188
      370193 373200 376203 379209 377212 369212 365216 359219
      355220 372235 371245 373252 377263 379270 382274 387278
      393280 399279 403274 407270 410263 413257 414254 418254
      429253 436255 439254 442254 452251 462259 470266 490284
      496287 500291 511294
 0.01 502780 500759 499740 498730 497725 495722 494712 492706
      487691 486686 484684 480679 472671 468666 462663 452660
      448660 443663 424679 416688 414690 412694 410700 409713
      409719 408723 404728 384742 377750 373754 369758 351776
      342785 340787 337788 333789 331787 323779 315772 310770
      302772 294778 278797 273801 267803 262805 254807 247808
      243809 242811 240815 242821 242829 238832 233835 231839
      228846 228854 229872 233884 235891 238896 242898 249897
      261896 267896 271898 271901 269907 269916 273928 274934
      277938 281941 290941 296939 301935 311928 317927 321924
      340912 352908 368905 375905 381903 381907 378916 379931
      380934 380937 383942 382947 381949 380955 380973 385985
      387990 390995 394998 398004 407006 413005 424999 431992
      440985 447976 450971 453964 459951 463946 466940 472928
      475923 478917 481903 484888 486881 489876 492861 494858
      494852 496845 499829 502821 501811 502780
 0.01 453228 449227 446227 440227 437226 436223 435219 433220
      432224 430227 431231 434232 438233 443232 447232 451230
      453228
 0.01 421065 420062 416061 409057 407056 402055 400056 398060
      396063 395069 397078 404080 409084 413085 416083 415076
      416070 419067 421065
 0.01 408114 409112 409110 409108 409105 407105 405107 405109
      406112 406114 408115 408114
 0.25 516275 518266 517259 513247 509235 503223 498213 494209
      488207 479208 469212 464213 460215 457221 460224 466225
      471224 474222 479221 489224 494228 497234 501246 502249
      500252 496249 491245 488244 485246 485249 488254 495264
      498270 499274 500275 510278 514277 516275
 0.25 526190 524184 521180 517174 514171 509166 506164 503164
      499168 500175 503179 508183 512187 517191 523193 525193
      526190
 0.25 481239 481236 479236 478235 477236 476236 474237 475239
      477239 478241 480241 481239
 0.25 485161 483159 483158 482157 480156 479156 477156 475156
      474156 473156 472157 471158 471160 471161 473163 474164
      476165 478165 479165 481165 483164 484164 485163 485161
 0.25 486141 486139 485137 484136 482137 481137 482139 484140
      484141 485141 486141
 0.25 481791 475738 473725 470709 470702 468696 464694 459695
      455697 451701 447708 446713 448717 448722 446727 444730
      439732 434733 429735 423739 419744 415746 407752 401756
      387767 374778 363794 353806 348812 341818 338821 336824
      336836 333847 333854 325870 312881 310884 313887 317894
      317896 315898 311901 305907 302910 301916 304919 309918
      322909 331905 341902 356896 364892 371887 377882 385879
      393880 399880 403882 409887 414896 418905 421913 422919
      423925 424937 422951 420964 420971 422975 426978 429979
      433978 436975 441968 451954 460935 464927 467917 471907
      473897 478877 477865 477858 478852 478838 477830 478822
      481808 481797 481791
 0.25 465239 465236 462234 459233 455233 453234 451235 449236
      448241 450243 454243 455243 459242 461243 464241 465239
 0.25 442108 440106 439106 437107 436107 435109 435110 437110
      438110 439110 440109 442108
 0.25 416222 416220 414217 412216 409216 407217 408221 408225
      409227 406229 404230 404233 406234 409235 411234 413232
      415229 416225 416222
 0.25 398232 397230 396229 396228 394226 393225 391224 389223
      388222 386222 384222 382222 381222 380224 382226 383227
      383228 385228 386230 388231 390231 391232 393232 395232
      397232 398232
 0.25 395210 394207 392206 390204 387202 385200 382198 379197
      378201 380203 381205 384207 386209 389210 393211 395210
 0.25 291833 290828 287823 287820 284817 272816 269817 267822
      261829 258834 255838 253841 252845 254848 258850 263850
      272846 281841 290835 291833
 0.25 291879 290875 289872 283871 275872 270872 263872 257873
      253877 253881 255883 261884 269883 276883 283882 289881
      291879
 0.50 511265 511263 511260 509261 509262 507264 505265 504268
      505269 506269 508267 509267 510266 511265
 0.50 496218 494216 492212 491211 488210 486210 482211 481212
      478213 480216 482217 485217 487218 490218 493219 496218
 0.50 469220 468218 466218 464219 462220 461220 462221 464222
      465222 467222 469220 469220
 0.50 472801 472792 471783 470768 467754 464751 459749 462744
      462741 460739 455743 449745 447749 442751 438752 436749
      434742 431742 427747 425751 422754 412754 405761 399770
      397776 397782 401783 406780 412774 420766 422763 426765
      431774 433778 434783 433786 430789 423790 418792 413795
      409798 408804 402808 398810 395810 393812 391815 392819
      388827 379833 372838 363844 358846 356844 357841 359838
      359830 357823 352820 347822 344826 342832 345837 349847
      352851 353855 351857 347861 348864 339868 336872 336876
      341876 341879 337882 334885 332887 333891 334896 339897
      350893 358890 367885 371880 374877 376871 372868 369864
      373862 378859 381856 388850 401835 404830 403827 406825
      411822 418822 420829 418835 413844 408854 403862 404866
      408869 411871 415874 420885 422891 424896 426903 426908
      428912 433916 434922 433930 432943 431954 433961 437962
      444954 448951 451946 456934 459929 460923 462910 464897
      465891 466882 465874 464866 461854 458839 460827 467816
      470808 472801
 0.50 401804 401803 399802 397803 396802 395803 394805 394806
      393808 394808 396808 398807 399805 401804 401804
 0.50 387205 385205 387205 387205
 0.50 391789 390787 387785 383786 378791 375795 372799 368804
      368808 371809 378807 381805 386799 389795 391789
 0.50 278826 278825 276825 275826 276827 278826 278826
 1.00 439894 440892 440890 439887 439886 439887 437890 438892
      437893 437895 437896 439894 439894
 1.00 427850 427847 425843 423843 421844 419846 418851 418853
      417856 417861 418863 420865 423867 425865 426862 427857
      427853 427850

$$




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