Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 210624
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
123 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017


PRELIM DAY 1 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 21/1200 UTC THRU NOV 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...

A STRONG LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MOISTURE ON THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 1...THEN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. THE
COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE...STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW AND SYNOPTIC
SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVES IN THE MID LEVEL FLOW
WILL PRODUCE HEAVY TO LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS...MAINLY
OVER WESTERN WA. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE
OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A
BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF.

THE MOST RECENT IR IMAGES SHOWED A PLUME OF DEEP MOISTURE
STRETCHING FROM NEAR 20N 140W TO A POSITION OFF WELL WEST OF THE
NORTHERN CA COAST. THE BLENDED TPW PRODUCT SHOWED PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES NEAR 2.00 INCHES IN THE HEART OF THE PLUME. AS MID
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS ALONG CA COAST DURING DAY 1...THE DEEPEST
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER IS SHUNTED TOWARD
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. A 45 TO 65 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTH
SOUTHWEST TRANSPORTS 1.25/1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR (WHICH
IS BETWEEN TWO AND THREE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) TO
THE WA COAST...MAINLY BETWEEN 21/18Z AND 22/00Z (DURING THE BEST
DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 110 KNOT JET STREAK
APPROACHING THE WA COAST TOWARD 22/00Z).

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW TARGETS THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN WA DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD...AND THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 5.00+ INCH
AMOUNTS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. IN FACT...THE 00Z HREF MEAN AND
00Z NBM SHOWED LOCAL 6.00+ INCH AMOUNTS...AND GIVEN THE STRENGTH
OF THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW...THESE AMOUNTS SEEM PLAUSIBLE. HOURLY
RAINFALL RATES OVER 0.50 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OLYMPIC
RANGE BETWEEN 21/18Z AND 22/03Z. A SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS PLACED
OVER THE OLYMPIC RANGE DURING DAY 1.

FURTHER EAST...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW FOCUSES THE DEEPER MOISTURE ON
THE WA CASCADES...WITH LOCAL 2.50 TO 4.50 INCHES EXPECTED OVER THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE RANGE. SOME OF THE HIGH
RESOLUTION GUIDANCE (SUCH AS THE 00Z NAM CONUS NEST...00Z HREF
MEAN AND THE 00Z NBM) SHOWED LOCAL 6.00+ INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE
SOUTHERN WA CASCADES...BUT THESE AMOUNTS SEEM HIGH...BASED ON THE
ORIENTATION OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. SNOW LEVELS RISE DURING THE
STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW...SO A MARGINAL RISK WAS PLACED OVER THE WA
CASCADES FOR DAY 1.

THE MOISTURE...WHILE NOT AS ROBUST AS IT IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER
WESTERN WA...REMAINS AT LEAST PARTIALLY INTACT ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 1. UPSLOPE FLOW (AUGMENTED
BY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY OVER
WESTERN MT INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL WY) AND SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT
MAKE THE MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN TO PRODUCE LOCAL 1.25
TO 1.75 INCH QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN BITTERROOTS IN ID AND
THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE IN MT. SNOW LEVELS RISE IN THE WARM
AIR ADVECTION IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW...SO MOST OF THE QPF IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN. THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD
GUIDANCE VALUES ARE AS LOW AS 1.00 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
BITTERROOTS...SO A MARGINAL RISK AREA MAY BE NEEDED HERE FOR DAY
1.


...GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST....

A DEVELOPING LONG WAVE TROUGH PUSHES A COLD FRONT FROM THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY TO THE EAST COAST DURING DAY 1. MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON A STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW COULD
PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT QPF WITH THE FRONT. ADDITIONAL QPF IS
POSSIBLE IN THE LAKE EFFECT THAT FOLLOWS THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT...MAINLY OVER THE LOWER LAKES. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD
MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND PLACEMENT OF THE
QPF MAXIMUM...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE
00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF. THE 00Z NAM/NBM WERE USED OT AID IN BETTER
DELINEATING THE PLACEMENT OF LAKE EFFECT QPF.

AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AND ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT
CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES...OH VALLEY AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST US...A
LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER
AIR INTO THESE REGION. INSTABILITY IS NEARLY NON EXISTENT WITH THE
FRONT...SO MOST OF THE QPF AMOUNTS WITH THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO
BE LIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT AND LONG WAVE TROUGH...THE WEST TO
NORTHWEST BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW SETS UP CONDITIONS MORE CONDUCIVE TO
LAKE EFFECT CIRCULATIONS. THE BEST FETCH IS EXPECTED OVER THE
LOWER LAKES...WHERE LOCAL 0.25 TO 0.35 INCH QPF AMOUNTS WERE
PLACED DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.


...SOUTHEAST/MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN THE DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW ALONG THE SOUTHEAST
AND MID ATLANTIC COASTS WILL SPIN UP LOW PRESSURE ON A FRONT
BOUNDARY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY
1. MOISTURE AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT COULD
SUPPLY LOW TOPPED CONVECTION THAT PRODUCES LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE 00Z GFS APPEARS TO BE TOO FAST
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SPINNING UP LOW PRESSURE ON THE FRONT
FURTHER OFFSHORE. THE 00Z NAM/12Z ECMWF ARE CLOSER WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND SURFACE LOW...SO THESE MODELS COMPRISE
THE BASIS FOR THE WPC QPF.

SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN THE DEEP MID LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW EXTENDING
FROM FL ACROSS NEW ENGLAND INTERACTS WITH A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE SECOND HALF OF DAY 1. AHEAD
OF THE SHORT WAVE AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW...A 30 TO 40 KNOT LOW
LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.00+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR
ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC INTO PORTIONS OF
NJ...NYC AND LONG ISLAND IN NY...AS WELL AS FAR SOUTHEAST NEW
ENGLAND. THE BEST SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT WITH THE SHORT WAVE IS
EXPECTED BETWEEN 22/06Z AND 22/12Z FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST...COINCIDING WITH MUCAPE VALUES RANGING BETWEEN 100-250
J/KG. THE RESULTING LOW TOPPED CONVECTION TAPS THE DEEPER
MOISTURE... PRODUCING A SWATH OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF
EXTENDING FROM EASTERN NC/SOUTHERN DELMARVA INTO SOUTHERN
NJ...CENTRAL AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND...AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST NEW
ENGLAND. THERE WAS A HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL SIGNAL FOR AN AXIS OF
0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF OVER FAR EASTERN LONG ISLAND DURING
THIS PERIOD,


...GULF COAST...

INFLOW AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT DROPPING TX AND OVER THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO DURING DAY 1 COULD SUPPLY LOW TOPPED CONVECTION THAT
PRODUCES CONVECTION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.  THERE WAS SOME
SPREAD WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE INFLOW...WHICH RESULT IN
DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS. DUE
TO THE SPREAD...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z
GFS/12Z ECMWF...BUT HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE WAS ALSO USED IN AN
ATTEMPT TO BETTER PLACE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

AS THE FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH TX DURING DAY
1...A LOW LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 1.25/1.50 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER TO UPPER TX COAST AND SOUTHWEST LA...WHERE 00Z
GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED LOCAL 500-1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE NEAR THE
COAST. THE RESULTING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 0.25 TO
0.50 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE UPPER TX COAST AND NEARBY SOUTHWEST
LA...BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE AFTER 22/00Z. WHILE THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT IS FAIRLY CONSISTENT AMONG 00Z MODEL
SOLUTIONS...THE AMOUNT OF INFLOW (AND ITS POSITION AHEAD OF THE
FRONT) VARIES BY A FAIR AMOUNT. SOME OF THE HIGH RESOLUTION
SOLUTIONS (SUCH AS THE 00Z NAM CONUS NEST...00Z NBM AND THE 00Z
WRF ARW) SHOWED AXES OF 2.00 INCHES OF QPF SPANNING FROM THE UPPER
TX COAST TO WEST OF NEW ORLEANS BEFORE THE FRONT EXITS.

THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SUGGEST THESE ARE
PLAUSIBLE...THOUGH IT NOT CLEAR WHERE THEY WOULD OCCUR. THREE HOUR
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE FAIRLY HIGH (GENERALLY ABOVE 3.00
INCHES)...SO AT THIS POINT IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER FLASH FLOODING
WOULD OCCUR IF THE HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS WERE REALIZED.


HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 533219 535205 536191 533175 535159 537127 539111 537101
      531082 525071 523066 521060 516050 515046 512044 507037
      504034 502034 494038 492040 490045 487051 486057 487072
      496089 499098 503106 506114 510123 514137 514143 514147
      512148 504143 499135 493129 487125 477122 467121 457123
      449126 441131 436135 433139 431144 429155 428158 430163
      432169 431176 427180 424185 424191 427194 432198 434201
      436206 436210 429206 424205 421206 415205 413207 408215
      402223 398235 398241 396245 391253 390259 386263 382267
      379270 377274 375281 376285 381288 386287 394286 402285
      405285 409287 426298 440309 450315 455318 459320 467319
      472314 479310 484305 495291 503289 511283 513280 516275
      520266 527244 533219
 0.01 539802 538785 537770 533741 531737 531733 530726 524718
      516710 512708 510710 508708 504709 501712 496714 494717
      494722 493725 493733 489736 486736 485733 484718 481705
      479703 476701 470698 456707 448714 445717 443722 439727
      432729 427731 426735 437732 442731 447731 447734 446735
      441737 430739 426742 421744 418747 415752 413756 412761
      411766 413769 414772 413776 411779 404784 399785 396788
      389793 378806 376810 373812 371806 364806 363804 364802
      377789 388775 394768 400760 405753 408749 411745 414739
      417731 422723 427716 433708 438701 440694 439685 436683
      431680 415677 405676 401676 397677 392676 386677 373680
      357688 339693 328696 323697 320700 301708 267730 262733
      259737 254743 249750 247759 246764 247767 251768 255766
      263763 271760 277760 281761 280765 277767 274771 268773
      262778 258782 255787 253792 251796 246803 247809 249813
      254815 259813 263812 267813 269818 269823 263832 257838
      251841 245846 241851 238860 240864 243865 248866 249869
      247871 241875 235886 234892 234898 235923 236933 237944
      239954 235956 233961 232967 233973 237974 242974 245973
      250973 253974 265975 275975 281974 285973 296973 301971
      306968 308967 309964 311959 312954 312947 312941 310935
      304916 302911 299907 296905 292901 291898 290891 291883
      291877 289873 289868 290864 299860 302857 304855 310852
      315852 318844 316838 315832 314830 317828 321826 327825
      330826 331829 335839 341848 350851 354846 357835 359830
      364829 369824 374817 380812 387807 392808 394812 394816
      393819 393824 394831 396836 402843 400848 400854 399857
      402863 407866 412866 415864 418865 419867 424867 427864
      430861 429854 429850 428850 424851 423838 425833 428830
      430825 432822 436821 440822 447827 450831 449837
 0.01 449837 440844 438856 440861 443863 448860 453857 458861
      460868 460877 459883 459892 461900 463903 467900 471895
      474890 476884 478880 481877 484877 486879 488883 489890
      490894 492894 500891 506883 517863 523852 527841 530835
      533828 534823 536816 539802
 0.01 499116 496107 490101 486093 482093 479097 478102 473102
      463101 460103 459108 461111 466114 476114 481115 484118
      492119 497118 499116
 0.01 454115 455106 454098 451093 447091 431090 427086 424089
      426095 427100 423102 419106 419112 414113 411112 410109
      411099 410095 407095 405100 405108 403111 400113 390116
      393117 399116 411118 418119 421126 421130 420134 416139
      418143 417151 421151 421147 423143 424137 424132 426129
      429124 434122 444119 448117 453116 454115
 0.01 427058 427050 425046 422041 417038 413038 411042 409048
      406053 399052 395054 392058 389061 388065 389070 390077
      393081 406082 413078 415075 417074 418071 421069 424066
      425060 427058
 0.01 373812 371810 369811 368813 370815 371815 373812
 0.25 523192 522188 522183 521173 517166 514163 510160 508164
      506163 498159 494156 497154 498149 495146 492140 487133
      480129 471127 469133 466137 468141 471143 474141 478141
      482142 482147 473148 468145 466142 461142 455145 454150
      450151 447149 439147 436149 434152 435156 437159 443166
      443192 448194 453189 455187 458188 462191 464193 464198
      457203 455208 452211 447215 441215 435218 426220 425227
      423230 420231 417230 415227 415222 413221 410226 412235
      413244 410250 407253 402258 397264 396268 397271 399274
      404275 411278 419280 425283 435288 442292 449296 456299
      463300 468298 473294 479291 485286 491284 498282 503279
      505276 507273 509264 513257 514248 514242 512237 509228
      506220 505210 503204 503198 506196 523192
 0.25 521734 520729 519726 517724 515724 514728 514730 514736
      515741 515746 517745 518742 519740 520737 521734
 0.25 517801 517790 515781 512775 509779 507785 506792 504800
      502807 502816 505821 511821 515817 516809 517801
 0.25 485228 486225 484225 482224 481224 480224 481225 481226
      482227 484228 485228 485228
 0.25 463171 462169 461168 460167 459166 457166 457167 456169
      457171 458172 460173 462172 463171 463171
 0.25 442757 440757 439759 439760 441760 442757 442757
 0.25 444111 443106 440105 436105 434102 430103 427104 423106
      424110 428113 431114 435114 439112 443112 444111
 0.25 434097 433096 432094 431094 429093 429094 429095 430097
      431098 432099 434098 434097
 0.25 417714 415711 411713 406717 393729 383739 380741 380739
      383733 392722 397714 398709 397705 394706 391709 387713
      382718 378721 374721 370722 367720 364717 365715 363710
      360706 357704 353704 346708 339713 333717 329722 325727
      321734 315740 311746 307753 303758 293767 288772 284778
      280780 277780 273781 271784 268798 270804 278807 283810
      285813 286818 288828 286831 282833 274834 266839 261843
      257848 256851 256856 259860 262860 270857 274855 279856
      287854 292851 294843 291836 290832 291828 298824 302818
      304814 308812 333798 338793 342786 347779 350772 354764
      361763 366757 368756 370761 375764 381763 389758 394752
      397745 401739 410728 415720 417714
 0.25 424798 424796 423795 421795 420796 419797 418799 417802
      416802 417802 419803 420802 421801 422801 423799 424798
 0.25 405070 406068 405067 403066 401066 400067 399067 399069
      401070 403070 405070 405070
 0.25 395064 396062 395060 393061 392064 392066 393066 394065
      395064
 0.25 374749 374748 372748 370750 369752 371753 373753 373751
      374749 374749
 0.25 298943 299937 296931 294928 292922 287914 286910 286904
      285897 284891 282886 280883 277882 274883 270886 264892
      255897 249901 246905 245911 245923 246935 249945 253955
      251959 253964 264966 274967 282963 290958 292955 295950
      298943
 0.50 508248 510242 509237 506225 504216 500209 495204 490201
      485200 471203 469208 465208 460207 457210 453215 449217
      445216 441216 440218 440222 442224 445227 450228 452230
      447233 441236 435242 430242 427240 421239 420247 414254
      404264 404267 409268 413267 416268 420269 423269 429267
      444264 449264 453267 457269 460271 460281 463291 466292
      469291 474288 487280 500274 503270 504260 506253 508248
 0.50 511186 511181 511178 510173 509170 508167 506166 503165
      500164 498167 501169 502171 503176 503179 504182 506185
      509187 511186
 0.50 487231 488228 487227 487226 486224 484223 483222 481222
      479222 478223 478225 479226 480228 481229 482230 483231
      485232 486231 487231
 0.50 491173 489162 487157 484156 481151 476152 472151 469148
      466146 461146 459149 458154 463161 464168 467172 470174
      475175 478178 482178 488174 491173
 0.50 487139 486134 482133 481132 478131 474131 472131 470135
      469137 472140 475140 478139 480140 482140 485141 487139
 0.50 463178 462175 459176 456178 454174 452166 454158 446156
      443154 441155 442162 445165 446169 450175 454181 458182
      460181 463178
 0.50 442108 440107 439107 438107 438108 440108 442108
 0.50 410723 410719 408719 403722 400726 395731 392734 387739
      385741 385745 390744 394739 399735 402731 407727 410723
 0.50 361740 354726 354722 356720 357716 357712 353708 345711
      334719 331724 328731 324737 320741 311753 307758 305765
      301770 301776 298782 293786 290788 286787 280784 275786
      274789 275793 277799 283803 290804 294805 296807 297810
      300812 304810 307808 314805 319802 324798 330793 336781
      340775 342768 349756 354753 357748 361740
 0.50 296939 289927 285920 281916 279913 278908 277900 274896
      271896 266899 255907 253911 252916 251923 252932 255939
      257946 261953 265960 267961 272961 285955 290949 292943
      296939
 0.50 280848 280846 279845 277845 276844 274844 272844 270844
      269845 268846 268847 267849 269851 271852 272851 274851
      276851 278850 280849 280848
 1.00 505242 505236 505231 502221 500213 495208 491208 487205
      482204 478205 468213 465212 461213 455217 453220 455223
      460225 461228 457231 451234 445237 442239 441242 447244
      455242 459242 463245 465247 466251 468260 469265 471266
      475271 479269 486267 494267 497267 499265 499260 498256
      496249 492240 487234 484236 482234 477228 469228 468227
      470222 472219 475218 483221 489226 495240 497242 501245
      505242
 1.00 485161 483159 482158 482161 483162 485161
 1.00 477164 478162 477159 476159 475158 473157 472156 470154
      470153 469151 467152 465154 465157 466159 468162 469165
      471165 473165 474165 476165 477164
 1.00 480137 479136 477135 476135 474136 473136 474138 475138
      477138 479137 480137
 1.00 450225 450222 448220 447219 445219 443219 443220 443221
      445222 445223 446224 448225 449225 450225
 1.00 433249 432247 430247 429248 428248 426249 424250 424251
      422252 422253 424254 424253 426253 428252 429252 431251
      433249
 1.00 354744 353736 351731 348718 344720 340724 333731 329740
      328742 325743 322747 327754 327761 328764 330766 335765
      338762 337758 341755 350749 354744
 1.00 315794 313792 310793 306795 303795 301797 301800 301804
      303804 305803 309802 310800 312798 314795 315794
 1.00 287941 286935 283929 279926 274923 270920 266924 265931
      264937 266943 270947 274949 278950 280949 284945 287941
 1.50 503236 502228 499219 498214 496212 490211 487208 485207
      478207 474211 474216 476217 484221 489223 491225 494233
      498239 501240 503237 503236
 1.50 497263 497254 494249 490242 489239 486237 484240 482239
      479232 478230 475229 469232 465231 460232 449237 448239
      449240 452240 458239 466240 471244 475250 480251 486255
      490260 495265 497263
 1.50 470220 471218 470215 468214 465213 463214 460215 458216
      456218 455221 457223 460224 463225 467225 468222 470220
 1.50 473161 471160 471158 470157 469155 469154 468155 467157
      468159 469160 470161 471161 473161 473161
 1.50 348738 348732 346725 341729 337731 336734 334739 333744
      334750 336752 340750 343746 345743 347739 348738
 2.00 501235 500227 498219 496215 493215 490214 488211 485208
      481208 476210 475215 478217 485220 490221 492225 494229
      495233 497237 499238 501235
 2.00 496262 497256 495253 491246 489243 487240 485244 482242
      479234 477231 474232 471234 470236 472241 474244 479246
      484246 486249 490256 494263 496262
 2.00 470218 468215 467214 466214 465215 463215 462215 461216
      459217 457218 456219 457221 457222 459222 460222 462223
      464223 465223 467222 468220 469218 470218
 2.00 466234 465234 464233 463233 463236 464236 465234 466234
 3.00 496260 496259 496257 495255 494254 494252 493251 492250
      491249 489249 490252 490253 492255 492256 493258 493259
      494260 496260 496260
 3.00 497231 497229 497228 497226 497223 496222 495220 494223
      494224 495225 495228 496231 497231 497231
 3.00 488218 488216 488213 487212 486211 484210 482210 481210
      479211 477212 477214 477215 478216 480216 482217 483218
      485218 486219 488218
 3.00 479241 479239 479236 478233 477233 476232 474233 473234
      472236 473239 475241 476242 478242 479241
 4.00 484214 482213 480213 479212 478213 479213 480214 482215
      484215 484214
 4.00 478238 478236 477234 476234 474234 474237 475239 477239
      478238
 5.00 476238 476235 475237 475238 476238

$$





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