Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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762
FXUS04 KWBC 150923
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
422 AM EST WED NOV 15 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 15/1200 UTC THRU NOV 18/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1

PACIFIC NORTHWEST---NORTHERN CALIFORNIA---NORTHERN GREAT BASIN
INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES

THE STRONG CLOSED LOW OFF THE B.C./VANCOUVER ISLAND COAST WILL
PUSH VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD DAY 1 INTO COASTAL B.C.  THIS WILL
MAINTAIN DEEP LAYERED CYCLONIC FLOW TO ITS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND INLAND THROUGH THE
NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.  THE STRONGEST
ONSHORE FLOW AND HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FOCUSED INTO THE OLYMPIC
PENINSULA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BE SHIFTING SOUTHWARD BY THE
BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING DAY 1 PERIOD INTO COASTAL OREGON AND
FARTHER SOUTH BY EARLY AFTERNOON INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE
NORTHERN SIERRA.  RAINFALL RATES WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE IN THE .25-50"+ RANGE INTO THE MID TO
LOWER COAST OF OREGON---SUPPORTING HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED RUNOFF
ISSUES.

PW VALUES THAT HAVE BEEN NEAR SEASONAL NORMS WITH THE HEAVY PRECIP
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BE INCREASING TO MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO
THE NORTHERN SIERRA AS THIS TROF TAPS A POOL OF HIGH PW VALUES
EXTENDING INTO THE SUB TROPICS ALONG 130-140W.
SUBSEQUENTLY---THE MOISTURE FLUX VALUES THAT HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE INTO THE COASTAL PAC NW WILL INCREASE TO MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE---3 TO 4+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA/NORTHERN SIERRA.  THERE IS A STRONG MODEL SIGNAL FOR
VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS INTO THE NORTHERN SIERRA GIVEN
THE MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES/MOISTURE FLUX WITH CONSENSUS FOR
5-8" AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS.  TOTALS ALONG THE NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA
COAST RANGE INTO COASTAL OREGON WILL NOT BE AS HEAVY---BUT 2-4"
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  RUNOFF ISSUES POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST RANGE--ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BURN AREAS TO THE
NORTH OF SFO.  A SLIGHT RISK WAS ADDED ON THE DAY 1 EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK ACROSS THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
RANGE.  RAINFALL RATES OF .25"+ POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
NORTHWARD INTO THE OREGON-WASHINGTON CASCADES AND WEST TO THE
COAST RANGES AND OLYMPIC RANGE---WIDESPREAD HEAVY TOTALS ALSO
LIKELY---ALBEIT WITH VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 1-2" RANGE.  HIGH
SNOW LEVELS---6000 TO 7000 FT--- WILL KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIP AS
RAIN INTO THE NORTHERN SIERRA DAY 1.  RAINFALL RATES HERE LIKELY
TO BE GREATER THAN ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS WITH RATES OF .25-50"+
PER  HOUR.  THIS AND THE HIGH SNOW LEVELS WILL SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR  RUNOFF ISSUES WITH A SLIGHT RISK MAINTAINED ON THE
DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK.  SEE WPCS MESOSCALE
PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION #0932 VALID UNTIL APPROXIMATELY 2100 UTC
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.

INLAND---PRECIP TOTALS WILL DROP OFF SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE EAST OF
THE CASCADES AND SIERRAS WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE TOTALS OVER
THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN.  MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS LIKELY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES FROM NW WY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TO
NORTHERN ID.  THE HEAVY SNOW POTENTIAL WILL BE GREATER ACROSS
THESE LOCATIONS.  PLEASE SEE THE LATEST QPFHSD FOR ADDITIONAL
WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.

GREAT LAKES---MID ATLANTIC---CENTRAL APPALACHIANS---OH
VALLEY---MID MS VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS

THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROFFING PUSHING EASTWARD OUT OF THE
NORTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY THIS
MORNING WILL REMAIN FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE---MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES--OH VALLEY AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC DAY 1.
OVERALL---MODELS WERE SIMILAR IN DEPICTING AN EXPANDING AREA OF
PRECIP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY---OH
VALLEY---ACROSS MOST OF THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC.  THERE IS FAIRLY CONSISTENT MODEL
SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO THE BROAD AREA OF MODERATE PRECIP TOTALS
AHEAD OF THIS FRONT--WITH THE GREATEST TOTALS IN THE .25-50"+
RANGE FROM THE OH VALLEY/MID MS VALLEY INTO MUCH OF THE GREAT
LAKES---WITH LIGHTER TOTALS EASTWARD INTO THE FAR EASTERN
LAKES---MID ATLANTIC AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.  PRECIP TOTALS MAY
BE ENHANCED OFF OF THE UPPER LAKES ACROSS THE U.P. OF MI AND THE
NORTHERN L.P. FROM STRONG NORTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF OF LAKE
SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

EAST CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA

LOW LEVEL EAST NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE DAY 1 OFF THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE FL PENINSULA.  THIS WILL MAINTAIN A SHOWERY THREAT ACROSS
THESE REGIONS WITH MODERATE TO ISOLATED HEAVY PRECIP TOTALS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE EAST CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA.



DAY 2/3...

...WESTERN CONUS...

A PLUME OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE DIRECTED INTO
THE COASTAL RANGES/NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADA RANGE THURSDAY...WITH
THE FOCUS SHIFTING SOUTHWARD TO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA BY SATURDAY.
THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL RANGE FROM 30 TO 45 KNOTS THAT WILL SLOWLY
WANE TO 20 KNOTS BY FRIDAY MORNING.  ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL JET
DYNAMICS WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH
MOUNTAIN SNOWS SPREADING INTO PARTS OF WY/CO LATE THU AND FRIDAY
BEFORE THE SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING SHFITS OUT OVER THE PLAINS.

THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST QPF IN THE DAY 2/3 PERIOD WILL BE ON DAY 2
IN THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE WHERE THE NOSE OF A PRECIPITABLE WATER
PLUME GETS DIRECTED PERPENDICULAR TO THE SPINE OF THE MOUNTAINS AT
ABOUT THE SAME TIME THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAKES ITS
WAY INLAND.  THE RESULT IS A STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL JET ACROSS
CA THAT EXTENDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN.  H85 FLOW WILL NOT BE
TERRIBLE STRONG...BUT H70 WINDS AT OR ABOVE 50 KTS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF DIRECTING THE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IN AN UPSLOPE FASHION TO THE
SIERRAS.  MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR 4 TO 5 INCHES OF LIQUID
PRECIPITATION IN THIS REGION...AND WPC VALUES WERE ROUGHLY IN THE
SAME RANGE.  SNOW LEVELS SHOULD START OUT FAIRLY HIGH IN THE
CENTRAL SIERRAS AND THEN COME DOWN ONCE HEIGHTS/THICKNESS VALUES
LOWER. AS A RESULT...SOME OF THE PCPN AT MID MOUNTAIN LEVELS WILL
INITIALLY FALL AS RAIN AND THEN CHANGE OVER.  THIS PRESENTS A CASE
WHERE THE EASTERN BOUNDARY OF A MARGINAL RISK OCCASIONALLY
OVERLAPS WITH SNOWFALL LATER IN THE PERIOD.  REFER TO THE WPC
WINTER WEATHER DESK FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND
PROBABILITIES.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL JET HEADS EAST...PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAKING
ITS WAY INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND TO THE WEST ASPECT OF
THE ROCKIES.  THE GFS/ECMWF HAD SIMILAR QPF IN THIS PART OF THE
COUNTRY AND WPC FOLLOWED SUIT.  THINKING WAS THAT THE NAM WAS
CHARACTERISTICALLY HEAVY WITH ITS QPF HERE.

...NY AND NORTHEAST...

THE MODELS TRENDED WETTER AND SLOWER IN MOVING A SYSTEM ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA THAT HAD EARLIER RUNS.
CONSEQUENTLY...THE WPC MANUAL QPF GRAPHICS HELD ONTO PRECIPITATION
OVER THIS REGION INTO THE NEW DAY 2 PERIOD AS LOW PRESSURE
FORMS...WHICH ALLOWS MORE MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE REGION.
WHILE THERE A COUPLE OF MODEL SOLNS WHICH KEPT THE DEVELOPING
SYSTEM FAR ENOUGH OFF SHORE TO LIMIT PRECIPITATION OVER NY/NEW
ENGLAND...THE ECMWF/GFS/UKMET ALL HELD ONTO PRECIPITATION INTO DAY
2.  THE 00Z RUN OF THE NAM APPEARED TO BE TOO AGGRESSIVE IN ITS
AMOUNTS AND WAS GIVEN MINIMAL CONSIDERATION.  THE RESULTING WPC
QPF WAS IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF...ALTHOUGH IT WAS FELT THAT ITS
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE TOO LIGHT AND WE ALLOWED FOR SOMEWHAT
HIGHER TOTALS ALONG THE COAST. ENOUGH ONSHORE FLOW MAY BE ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT RAINFALL RATES HEAVY ENOUGH TO PRODUCE PROBLEMS WITH
RUN OFF...LEADING TO A LOW CONFIDENCE MARGINAL RISK ALONG THE
COAST OF ME.


...UPPER GREAT LAKES...

HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL
RESULT IN FALLING SURFACE PRESSURE...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL SOUTH
TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND A GROWING AREA OF GENERALLY LIGHT
PRECIPITATION OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY.  AS THE SYSTEM
TRANSLATES EASTWARD BY SATURDAY NIGHT...THE APPROACH OF A 130 KT
TO 145 KT UPPER LEVEL JET PROVIDES UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND
DIFLUENT FLOW...WHICH HELPS SUSTAIN AND EXPAND THE AREAL COVERAGE
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LAKES BY EARLY SATURDAY.
THINKING WAS THAT THE GFS WAS TOO QUICK MOVING THIS SYSTEM AND ITS
ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION EASTWARD.  IN ADDITION...THE GFS TENDED
TO PRODUCE A QPF MAX OVER/NEAR THE SOUTH END OF LAKE MI WHICH HAD
LITTLE SUPPORT FROM OTHER GLOBAL MODELS OR THE ENSEMBLE MEANS. WPC
MANUAL QPF GRAPHICS TENDED TOWARD A ECMWF/UKMET/NAM COMPROMISE.


A SHORTWAVE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA RESULTS
SECOND BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.  A PLUME OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RANGING FROM 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES.
MAXIMUM QPF WILL DEVELOP OVER THE LAKE SUPERIOR COAST OF MICHIGAN
WITH MAXIMUM QPF AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 0.25 TO 0.40 INCHES ON LATE
FRIDAY.  WPC USED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS/NAM EARLY ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING INTO THURSDAY THAT TRANSITION INTO GFS/NAM BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY EVENING AS THE STARTING POINT FOR
THE MANUAL QPF.


...FLORIDA...

WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
FROM THE START OF THE DAY 2 FORECAST ON THURSDAY MORNING INTO
EARLY FRIDAY.  NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL STREAM MOISTURE INTO THE
EAST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WHICH FOSTERS SCATTERED
SHOWERS.  WPC CONTINUED TO USE A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS AS A
STARTING POINT FOR THE MANUAL QPF GRAPHICS.

ORAVEC/BANN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 16/12Z
 0.01 379298 387294 393287 404274 409269 415265 424262 433261
      441260 445259 451260 454259 458260 468263 472263 476264
      486269 496283 500285 503283 509274 511269 513266 517256
      518249 518244 517238 516232 512223 511217 515217 520218
      524218 528219 531214 533209 533202 532191 532184 531180
      527171 517155 509149 502143 495138 489132 481127 473122
      471124 469129 468135 469140 461143 452142 448134 446130
      448125 451122 455118 456110 456106 456101 453096 450093
      445092 442089 438087 435091 428085 423085 423087 426096
      427100 424102 423111 421116 422121 425145 422146 417146
      414146 410150 407153 406156 405162 403166 399173 397178
      396184 395191 392193 382188 379186 375184 371182 366182
      363184 363187 365188 371194 373198 373203 373206 371208
      367210 364212 358211 356211 355214 355222 356232 357236
      360238 364240 367243 371245 372249 380257 379261 377265
      373279 371287 372294
 0.01 533747 533735 532729 531724 523710 519702 515697 506704
      496712 486721 477731 474733 471733 464732 451730 444731
      437731 424730 418728 414722 408710 404703 398700 393697
      387697 376696 364705 362707 358709 354710 352714 351717
      348720 344725 339735 336738 336742 338751 340757 342759
      345759 356764 360763 363761 368757 371751 377754 381759
      384769 388775 391777 388781 380788 376792 374798 372804
      370812 367818 363825 360832 359837 365835 369834 369837
      365844 362850 351875 345886 342893 341902 337917 335923
      332925 330923 328924 326926 322933 319941 317944 315946
      309949 305953 301956 296962 286968 281974 278979 276986
      276990 278992 284991 286990 289991 294994 303994 311994
      316989 321984 326984 330986 336980 339976 344972 348972
      350969 354965 357959 361954 370943 377930 381924 386919
      391915 396913 404911 412910 423905 429903 433899 443889
      446888 450888 456891 458892 459896 459902 461906 464914
      468921 473934 477952 489952 496952 500948 502944 503941
      505932 507923 509913 511894 514872 517856 519837 521814
      523796 528781 532768 533747
 0.01 485151 484150 483150 482150 483151 484151 485151
 0.01 475199 476194 474191 471189 469190 467192 464194 462196
      463200 464204 466205 468204 470202 473201 475199
 0.01 468674 468669 466667 459664 453663 446663 437665 431668
      429672 430675 435681 442684 449683 452684 456683 464681
      468674 468674
 0.01 299804 298799 295796 290793 288791 284790 276790 269789
      260790 246796 242801 239807 238816 238820 239824 242826
      245825 250819 252812 255810 260809 269809 277809 284812
      288812 295811 299804
 0.25 525203 526199 526194 526187 525181 523174 512156 508152
      504148 500147 495143 488136 483135 482138 488147 497154
      501157 500160 498160 490157 480155 476154 470155 467159
      468165 476172 480176 483181 484184 489188 498187 503188
      507191 516198 523205 525203
 0.25 512260 514250 513241 512234 510228 504217 501212 498208
      489198 487199 483204 475207 469209 464209 446215 440214
      434212 426203 423197 416196 410193 405190 403189 401190
      401194 397197 391196 387193 375186 370185 372192 376201
      378208 376212 374213 370215 366221 365229 367236 386249
      386256 384263 379277 378284 380287 383288 388285 392281
      399271 407264 415260 426256 447251 456250 461250 468252
      475254 480258 489265 496273 501277 504276 508265 512260
 0.25 524765 524751 521738 518731 513727 507724 502725 498725
      495727 492733 488742 484748 480754 475760 469766 464771
      460776 457781 454789 451794 448796 436804 429807 422808
      419808 416810 414812 412814 411820 409823 401826 390833
      378862 365890 358904 356911 354921 355925 358928 362929
      365926 369910 374903 379899 385897 392897 401897 409894
      414890 418885 425879 431876 436873 442868 447869 456867
      459869 461873 462878 462884 462895 463902 464906 466910
      469911 475909 482910 487904 491898 494890 497868 499850
      504830 508813 514800 520784 523773 524765
 0.25 491237 490231 491225 489223 487225 481223 476222 470224
      468226 468229 473228 475226 478227 481233 483235 486236
      490237 491237
 0.25 468230 467227 465228 464229 466230 468230
 0.25 461183 455174 454160 452154 449151 443142 441137 438132
      435128 435121 436118 439118 443121 446120 449114 446102
      445097 440093 437095 434094 431090 426088 427093 429097
      431102 430108 425120 425134 428146 431157 446172 451181
      454184 457185 458183 461183
 0.25 429168 429166 428165 426163 426165 427168 429168
 0.25 423176 423172 421171 419170 418166 420162 421157 420152
      417151 413156 410164 409170 405172 403174 402179 403183
      405184 408182 411181 416184 419182 423176
 0.25 390728 389722 386719 382716 379715 373715 368718 359720
      356723 353728 350736 350742 352747 356749 361747 367741
      371739 376738 383733 390728
 0.25 289803 287799 281796 277794 270793 266794 259796 253799
      253802 254805 261805 269804 274804 280806 285807 289803
 0.50 511255 512248 511243 511238 509232 506229 504225 501218
      498211 495209 491207 486206 483207 476210 470212 461211
      456215 449216 440216 437217 433215 427212 422217 421222
      425225 428228 430231 424235 420233 419230 415229 418220
      418214 415212 412212 409210 408205 406201 396199 390196
      383192 375188 372189 373193 379206 379211 377215 372215
      369218 368224 367230 368233 371236 383239 385240 387243
      389247 389252 382274 381279 382283 386285 389282 398269
      404264 408261 415257 422255 435251 448247 455245 462245
      471248 479252 485257 490263 496270 499272 502271 502266
      501262 497255 494247 493243 489239 486238 484239 479232
      475230 472231 468232 465231 460232 457229 463228 469223
      471221 475219 483221 487221 490219 492219 492225 494235
      498242 502249 506256 510257 511255
 0.50 517188 518182 515179 510175 504171 498165 490163 483164
      482169 484173 486175 490176 498179 506181 512185 517188
 0.50 515772 515758 512748 508742 502739 499739 497742 493749
      490754 484761 478766 474771 470777 467786 465794 461800
      452811 447817 444820 444825 443833 440842 439847 437849
      433850 429852 425858 427867 455859 463856 468853 475854
      477855 478852 481849 485843 488836 490828 495820 508792
      511787 513781 515772
 0.50 495148 495147 493145 492145 492147 493148 494148 495148
 0.50 482887 481879 478872 474872 470878 466883 465889 464898
      465902 468903 473903 478900 480894 482887
 0.50 451163 449158 447151 444147 441142 438135 433131 431133
      430137 430144 432152 435157 439161 444161 449164 451163
 0.50 446114 445109 444103 441099 436099 433095 431091 429091
      429094 431097 434102 434107 433110 435114 440114 445115
      446114
 0.50 423205 423204 422202 421201 419200 418201 417203 417204
      419205 421205 422207 423205
 0.50 417203 416203 414201 412200 410202 412203 414203 416203
      417203
 0.50 416161 417158 416158 415158 414159 414160 414161 416161
      416161
 0.50 416868 416862 413860 411858 406858 399861 392863 387868
      384875 384879 388881 393880 398880 400878 407875 414871
      416868
 0.50 365735 365733 365730 364728 362728 361729 361730 360731
      359733 359734 359736 360737 362737 363737 365735 365735
 0.50 278801 277800 277799 275798 273798 272797 270799 270800
      272801 274801 275801 276801 277801 278801
 1.00 508248 507243 506237 503233 501230 499224 498221 495221
      494227 495232 497236 499240 502244 504248 507250 508248
 1.00 493259 494256 493254 493253 492251 492250 492248 491246
      491245 490244 488243 486243 486246 487249 487250 488252
      490255 491256 493258 493259
 1.00 489216 489215 487215 485217 487218 488216 489216
 1.00 480241 480239 479236 478233 476233 474234 473234 473236
      473239 473240 475242 476243 478244 479243 480242 480241
 1.00 480802 480795 476795 468801 461809 454818 454824 455833
      454841 452845 450848 452848 457847 466841 471833 476822
      481812 480802
 1.00 465221 463217 460218 453220 447219 442219 439221 439224
      441228 440232 437234 434237 431237 425237 417234 414232
      413228 415220 415215 413214 409214 407211 404205 397201
      389198 376190 374191 375194 380201 381205 381209 380215
      379217 371219 370224 371227 382234 389237 393243 397250
      404253 411253 417251 432249 444245 456240 458239 457235
      453233 451230 454224 458224 463224 465221
 1.00 443154 443152 442148 440145 439141 438139 436137 434140
      433143 433147 433150 434152 436155 439157 442156 443154
 1.00 405229 406224 406222 402220 399219 397217 394216 391215
      388215 386217 386221 388222 391224 394225 398225 401226
      404229 405229
 1.50 502241 502240 502238 501235 500233 500232 499229 498226
      497226 496223 495225 495228 495229 496231 496233 497234
      498236 498237 499238 501239 502241 502241
 1.50 450239 450236 448234 444234 437237 430239 421237 412235
      406233 403230 398228 389225 382220 379220 375221 373220
      372223 374226 380227 386233 392235 398241 404245 412246
      418247 426247 434247 440244 447241 450239
 1.50 438153 439151 439148 438146 438143 437141 436143 436145
      435148 435150 436152 437153 438153 438153
 1.50 413224 414217 410216 407213 404208 398202 389199 384196
      381195 377194 379197 382202 382206 383211 383214 385214
      389213 393214 401218 406220 407223 408229 410229 412226
      413224
 2.00 448239 444236 441238 437239 433240 429241 424240 419240
      424243 427245 431245 436245 440244 442242 445240 448239
 2.00 411223 412219 410218 406212 402207 398203 393201 387198
      384197 383200 383207 384211 387212 394214 399217 406218
      408220 408225 411223
 2.00 403240 404238 404235 403235 402233 401231 399231 397230
      395231 396233 396234 397236 398237 399238 401239 401240
      403240 403240
 2.00 392230 390228 390227 389226 387226 386226 386228 386229
      387231 388231 389231 390231 392230 392230
 2.00 379224 378223 376223 376224 378224 379224
 3.00 404214 403212 401209 399206 397205 395203 392202 389201
      385200 385203 385205 386208 389210 391211 394213 397215
      399216 402216 404214
 4.00 402214 401211 400208 397206 396204 392203 389202 387203
      387205 389208 391210 394212 396213 400215 402214
 5.00 400213 400212 400211 399209 398208 397207 396205 394204
      392203 390203 389203 390206 391209 393210 395212 396213
      398214 400214 400213
 6.00 399213 399211 398210 398208 397207 395206 395205 394204
      392204 391206 392207 393209 393210 395211 396212 397213
      398213 399213
 7.00 398210 397209 396208 395207 394206 393207 393208 394209
      395210 397211 398210

24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 485614 494623 501632 504638 506648 507667 507677 507685
      504699 497709 491711 487712 485710 479709 477708 475710
      472716 469719 465725 462731 456742 443764 435791 431791
      428794 426800 425807 423810 420813 418817 417823 415826
      413824 414819 413808 413801 411796 410793 407792 395799
      391799 390801 385804 381811 378814 380807 388797 398788
      401783 405779 409775 410772 408768 407760 407755 408754
      410751 410747 409745 406743 401744 399743 395739 392734
      391727 389722 387720 381719 368719 353723 340725 336723
      331718 327714 324708 322702 322697 324692 328687
 0.01 553966 553945 552939 552933 550925 549921 545910 537893
      533887 528882 517871 509868 501865 496865 492863 480863
      473863 471865 467863 469858 468840 465839 463842 460865
      459873 457876 458881 459887 460893 461896 465903 474906
      476911 475917 475928 475935 476941 475954 481961 482969
      481974 479982 478989 478994 477998 473001 471006 468011
      464018 461028 458037 457042 455044 453040 451037 448036
      443039 442051 441054 438054 433054 429051 424050 420050
      419053 416053 404052 398053 395056 391059 387059 384061
      383063 383070 385083 387087 392086 396079 407081 409084
      409090 408093 405096 393104 388113 386118 389122 393124
      395128 397133 397138 394148 395153 395156 393159 389168
      387173 386180 385183 381182 377178 373176 369176 362175
      358176 355179 352181 349185 348190 345193 343202 345210
      347217 347224 347228 348233 350238 355246 358249 362249
      372246 378247 383251 392256 395261 400263 404263 410264
      413263 419265 428268 433269 435268 443267 456263 465261
      469260 474262 488270 492270 495274 500280 504284 507285
      508283 510278 512268 514266 515262 516252 512242 507222
      506218 503215 498208 483201 479200 475200 468202 459202
      455203 453197 453194 454191 457188 460186 463182 466177
      469178 475180 479183 489189 500191 505193 507196 510200
      515202 520209 523212 526212 530211 532209 534204 534198
      531188 529175 528166 525163 521159 519153 520141 524131
      525127 526121 529114 529108 530089 531080 529076 524070
      522067 518069 512074 506080 501085 497091 493101 492118
      490124 486125 474123 468126 466123 465117 464111 465104
      466098 466092 465088 466085 469079 474071 476064 477059
      479055 480052 479046 479039 481032 483029 486020 487009
      487003 486999 492993 495990 497985 504978 510972 515971
      517973 519974 530973 534972 539971 544971 547969 553966
 0.01 467935 467932 465930 464927 462925 460922 459923 457925
      455928 455932 457935 459937 460937 464937 467937 467935
 0.01 456852 456842 454837 451843 449845 446846 444848 441849
      437851 434857 436861 440866 447865 450862 453857 456852
 0.01 427860 427857 425855 424855 422857 420858 419860 419863
      421863 422860 424860 426860 427860 427860
 0.01 398961 398959 398958 396956 395958 393958 393959 391961
      389963 391965 393966 393965 395963 396961 398961 398961
 0.01 380936 380931 377927 371925 362925 359918 355914 353914
      347919 344923 343927 343930 344933 344936 340939 338939
      338936 337927 334917 331908 326908 324911 324916 322920
      320930 318935 316939 306950 303955 303958 305961 305966
      297970 290968 286966 281966 277966 275970 277978 283983
      292987 301988 310988 317984 332976 338971 345967 352963
      355961 357964 357967 357970 359970 364970 370966 375961
      375947 376942 378940 380936
 0.01 283804 283798 281796 275790 270789 271785 272781 271775
      267775 264778 257783 253784 249785 245784 241781 238779
      235780 231782 230787 228791 229796 230808 231820 232827
      234830 235834 238836 245831 247823 251814 256809 260806
      265805 282806 283804
 0.25 456625 470625 477628 481632 486640 488649 489662 487671
      481685 476692 471697 465702 459705 454710 450718 446725
      441729 433732 424733 409734 406731 404726 401720 396713
      391709 385708 379704 365701 363698 360695 358692 360689
      367677 377666 382660 382654 388649 395646 407642 415640
      420637
 0.25 526198 526191 525185 524181 519179 515178 510178 509181
      512185 515189 518192 521195 524200 526198
 0.25 498232 499226 498222 495217 491211 487208 482206 476207
      471210 465211 459210 453212 443214 436212 432211 429209
      422198 421181 417182 414187 408198 403198 395195 389192
      384188 375181 371180 367179 362179 356182 354186 355189
      356193 358196 357199 354200 351201 350203 350209 354215
      356221 363231 381225 380222 381217 385214 397219 402224
      398225 393227 390230 391237 393244 397248 403252 411254
      416255 428256 440256 452255 464252 475252 487252 490246
      487240 484241 481239 480231 475229 471230 468227 470225
      471223 475222 481226 489227 492230 494233 497234 498232
 0.25 501170 502165 501162 498159 493156 494149 492142 489138
      485134 479133 471140 462139 451139 448137 445131 450122
      452118 455115 458110 459103 457096 452094 447094 443092
      434089 426084 423082 421083 419086 418090 418095 417099
      412100 410099 407100 404103 400106 397110 395112 395115
      399119 414127 418132 419139 416143 413146 408148 405151
      402154 402159 401167 399172 399180 402184 406184 407182
      410178 414177 418175 421160 422153 423150 425150 427156
      428160 427164 426167 428169 432168 434166 437166 441169
      447178 450180 454180 457176 457168 460165 471164 477166
      481169 486173 492175 498173 501170
 0.25 413692 413687 412682 410676 409674 405675 400676 393679
      392683 395690 398695 402699 407702 412701 413694 413692
 0.50 484214 484213 483212 482211 481211 479212 477212 478215
      480216 482216 484215 484214
 0.50 481662 480653 478647 474642 470639 465637 461636 456637
      451640 442647 441651 442656 443664 442670 439675 427680
      424684 421689 420695 420704 419710 416714 409715 406715
      405719 409724 413727 424727 429726 432723 438719 441716
      444710 447706 456698 466694 471689 474685 477679 479674
      481662
 0.50 466244 465239 463235 462231 464227 466222 467216 463213
      460213 452216 444216 435216 430216 426217 422219 420222
      416224 416218 413209 410206 406207 397201 392197 387194
      385191 377186 373183 368181 360182 356184 357188 359192
      363195 365201 365203 357204 353206 355209 359217 367223
      371226 374225 377218 378212 384212 392214 400217 408222
      408226 407228 403230 398230 395233 395240 402247 405248
      410248 429250 446250 457248 464246 466244
 0.50 454231 455228 454227 453226 451227 450227 449228 447228
      445229 444228 442228 440229 439231 440232 441232 443233
      444233 445233 447232 448232 450232 451232 452232 454231
      454231
 0.50 456105 453099 447098 444096 440094 436095 431091 424087
      423091 424093 426096 429100 428102 423102 420105 415106
      411103 408101 399115 407118 414120 428126 432124 433120
      436117 439117 443118 446118 448114 452112 456105
 0.50 449163 450156 448152 443150 442146 440141 438136 435137
      434140 434148 434153 437157 440159 444162 446164 449163
      449163
 0.50 414169 414167 413166 413165 412162 410160 409161 408161
      408163 408165 408166 409169 411170 413172 414169
 1.00 449689 448685 447682 444682 440684 435686 431691 428696
      426703 426707 428712 430713 433711 436707 441701 444697
      447692 449689
 1.00 445223 445222 443220 441220 440220 438221 436222 434222
      433222 434223 436224 437224 439224 440224 441224 443224
      444223 445223
 1.00 432224 432223 430223 429223 430224 432225 432224
 1.00 446109 445108 445106 444104 444103 442102 441101 439101
      437101 436101 434100 433102 433104 434105 435105 436107
      435109 437111 438111 440111 442111 443111 444111 445109
      446109
 1.00 400211 396204 389199 387197 385194 379190 373186 369183
      364183 361184 359185 360188 365192 370197 374203 377205
      381208 390209 398212 400211
 1.50 392206 389200 384196 379192 376189 371185 364184 362187
      366191 370195 375200 378204 384207 392206
 2.00 389206 389202 387200 383195 378192 373188 370185 364186
      365189 370194 374198 378202 383205 389206
 3.00 384202 384201 383200 382198 381197 380197 379196 377196
      377198 378200 379201 380202 382202 383202 384202
 3.00 374193 374192 373191 372190 371188 369187 368187 368189
      369190 370192 372193 374193 374193

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 531200 531193 530185 529178 527173 521165 515158 509151
      504149 500147 496138 489131 485128 481126 477127 473126
      467128 457129 454128 453126 457122 461113 463112 466113
      468115 471115 471108 470103 466099 463095 459093 457089
      456084 460073 462070 461066 460061 458059 453056 452049
      454044 457040 461030 462016 463010 465006 468004 470001
      469996 456003 452004 450000 448998 446002 442012 440018
      439026 439040 439047 440054 426086 423088 420088 419085
      422077 426065 429060 430055 429051 426048 417045 415041
      416037 418032 418022 422012 424007 425999 426994 426988
      426973 424969 424961 428952 432944 435940 438938 442935
      446935 453935 456933 470923 474925 478928 480932 481938
      482945 482950 486957 498958 502957 505953 509944 511939
      512931 512924 514918 517913 521911 527907 529902 530895
      531881 530875 528870 526864 526860 529859 533859 535856
      538856 541853 542848 541834 539828 539823 535813 532808
      529803 528796 525792 519787 515782 511781 498775 490772
      481771 476770 471770 466771 463774 456779 450782 447782
      445781 435768 430768 424769 418775 403789 398795 393804
      390814 389819 390827 391835 391842 387850 386855 382859
      377864 374867 372872 370881 374891 381898 385906 387909
      388912 387915 385918 388923 384933 382936 381942 381946
      383951 388957 391961 392965 389977 387981 387988 392995
      395000 395006 393012 393018 394026 394032 384051 382055
      379055 374057 373056 374053 373050 368051 363051 361055
      371056 372058 370059 366062 363064 362068 363077 364081
      366082 370085 377090 380091 381094 378097 374099 371102
      381106 382109 382112 378113 375115 373118 371122 366121
      365127 368132 373138 376141 380145 385147 389146 391147
      391150 391156 392159 391162 388166 391174 394177 397176
      405173 408176 412180 413184 411192 410205 415206 419204
      425198 429195 430190 431184 429182 426181 426178 428175
      430171 431166 425160 425153
 0.01 425153 424148 425143 427141 427137 428130 432123 437127
      439125 441126 435136 431149 431155 433161 435167 438172
      441172 446175 449178 447181 443179 441183 440192 441195
      446192 451193 454191 455189 465185 468181 469172 470169
      474169 479172 482171 485172 488175 493176 499180 500186
      500188 504189 505187 509188 514190 520193 522200 524202
      528202 531200
 0.01 518268 520261 521255 521244 519236 515229 499202 496200
      493201 489200 487201 483201 481202 473203 468208 462210
      448211 441212 435215 429216 426218 424222 423226 424229
      425232 429234 435234 433242 435245 438245 445243 451242
      459243 466244 470250 478262 483269 486277 488285 491292
      495299 503302 505302 507299 511292 518268
 0.01 510162 508160 505158 502158 500157 497155 494153 493151
      489152 492155 494157 497159 500160 502161 505162 508164
      510162
 0.01 496675 495667 493662 491655 489649 484639 479632 476627
      473624 470622 464624 457632 452639 449643 447648 446661
      446667 445672 445678 445685 458697 471711 478715 484713
      487710 491701 494689 496675
 0.01 502980 501975 497974 493982 488990 483997 480999 478004
      476009 476017 480018 483017 487015 490011 492007 494003
      497993 501983 502980
 0.01 458709 456707 455705 452703 449707 449709 446712 442713
      440714 441716 443718 446717 450716 453715 455713 456712
      458709
 0.01 416137 415134 414132 412128 409129 407128 403129 400129
      399134 399136 397138 399140 402140 406141 409142 411143
      413143 415139 416137
 0.01 411040 411038 410036 409038 408038 407040 406040 405042
      405044 406046 406047 408048 409047 410045 410042 411040
 0.01 388203 388198 386196 381190 375184 370180 363181 357183
      356187 358190 360193 365195 371199 376203 383207 388203
 0.01 390105 391102 391100 390098 388097 387097 387098 385099
      386102 387104 388106 389106 390105
 0.01 377035 377033 378031 378028 377027 376026 375025 375026
      373027 372028 371029 371030 370032 369034 369037 370039
      370041 371042 373042 373041 374040 375039 376037 377035
 0.01 276799 275799 274798 272798 271797 270797 268797 267798
      267800 268801 270802 272802 274802 275801 275799 276799
 0.01 262799 259793 256792 255794 251798 248799 246801 243806
      243813 243817 246818 248816 248812 247811 247808 252805
      257802 262799
 0.25 516262 517257 517254 515249 511239 501222 498218 493215
      491214 488218 496238 500248 500253 497249 495248 490245
      486244 484238 481234 477232 474234 473239 476245 480248
      488249 491260 495270 498274 503276 505272 507266 509263
      513264 516262
 0.25 505872 495863 490858 488854 487849 486845 487841 489833
      489827 487825 480824 473826 467829 463837 461845 458854
      457862 455866 454872 456876 459879 466879 473877 477876
      481877 486879 489882 493882 498878 503875 505872
 0.25 484215 484214 482212 482211 481210 479210 477211 476212
      475212 475214 475215 477216 478217 480217 482217 483217
      484215 484215
 0.25 480681 479676 478673 476669 475667 472666 469667 467669
      468674 469676 471681 473682 475683 478683 480681
 0.25 484138 484135 482134 482133 481132 479131 478132 477132
      476132 474133 473136 474137 475138 477139 479139 479140
      480140 482140 484138 484138
 0.25 478162 478157 476153 473149 469146 466144 463144 459146
      459152 462155 465158 468161 473163 478162 478162
 0.25 444868 444863 442861 438857 427861 424858 424851 426838
      428831 427825 426817 425808 424798 423791 419788 414791
      410796 408802 405813 402820 401826 401834 403843 403852
      401858 398871 397878 396884 397891 399897 401904 405901
      407896 411891 419885 428881 438874 444868
 0.25 411108 410105 408105 405107 403108 400107 397108 394109
      393111 391114 394116 397117 401116 403116 406115 408114
      410110 411108
 0.25 414071 414061 409056 404055 400055 392059 388060 384063
      380072 378076 379081 384083 388084 397084 406082 411076
      414071
 0.25 413973 413970 412969 411970 411973 412974 413973
 0.50 510257 511248 509242 506237 502230 499225 496223 495227
      497230 499236 502241 505247 507253 510257
 0.50 473860 473858 472857 470857 469858 469859 468861 467863
      467866 467867 469867 470865 470864 472863 472862 473860
 0.50 418870 415856 413847 414839 416835 415829 411824 409826
      408831 408839 411845 412850 409854 407860 405866 404880
      406883 408882 411878 417870 418870
 0.50 411070 409064 405060 398060 394062 388063 385068 385077
      389079 393078 399078 405077 410073 411070
 0.50 400113 399113 398112 397113 398113 399113 400113

$$





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