Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 160952
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
452 AM EST THU NOV 16 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 16/1200 UTC THRU NOV 19/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1


...CALIFORNIA...

A POTENT AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT CONTINUES
TO EVOLVE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA EARLY THIS MORNING. PER THE
ESRL ARDT ANALYSIS AND 6 HOURLY GFS-BASED FORECAST...AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER WITH AN ATTENDANT ANOMALOUS PLUME OF INTEGRATED
WATER VAPOR TRANSPORT (IVT) WAS DIRECTED INTO NORTHERN CA...
COINCIDENT WITH THE 125+ KT UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK AND 500-300 MB
LAYER PW VALUES ~0.25".

THE ELONGATED NATURE OF THIS AR...SAFELY TUCKED UNDERNEATH THE
LONGWAVE UPPER LOW AND FURTHER FUELED BY ADDITIONAL
DAMPENED...FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE ENERGY ASSOCIATED ALONG THE NEXT
UPPER JET STREAK...WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPLY ANOMALOUS PWS OF
1-1.25+ INCHES AS IT SLOWLY DIPS SOUTH THROUGH CENTRAL CA IN
RESPONSE TO THE TROUGH PASSAGE/HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE PAC NW AND
NORTHERN CA. PW STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES PER BOTH THE SREF AND GEFS
ENSEMBLE MEANS CONTINUE TO BE A ROBUST +2 TO +3...THROUGH THE
PERIOD...TO GO ALONG WITH EQUALLY HEALTHY 850-700 MB MOISTURE FLUX
ANOMALIES OF +3 TO +4 WITHIN THE EXPANSIVE WSW-ENE ORIENTED WARM
CONVEYOR BELT. MOREOVER...MUCAPES OF 100-200 J/KG (BOTH OBSERVED
PER THE LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS AND PROGGED PER THE GFS/ECMWF WILL
CERTAINLY HELP THE ALREADY-HEALTHY 1-3 HOUR RAINFALL RAINS IN
AREAS OF FORCED OROGRAPHIC ASCENT -- I.E. FROM THE BAY AREA INTO
THE CENTRAL CA COASTAL RANGES AND ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN SLOPES OF
THE SIERRA WITH THE ORTHOGONAL W-WSW LOW-LEVEL FLOW. HOURLY
RAINFALL RATES OF 0.50-0.75" AND 3HR RATES UP TO 1.5" CONTINUE TO
BE NOTED ACROSS THESE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS PER THE BEVY OF
AVAILABLE HIGH-RESOLUTION CAM GUIDANCE. FORECAST AVERAGE
EVENT-TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.5 TO 3.0 INCHES (LOCALLY
GREATER) ACROSS THE COASTAL RANGES AND 3-6+ INCHES OVER MUCH OF
THE SIERRA. THESE AMOUNTS WERE SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST GEFS-BASED
RE-FORECAST DATA...AND COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
IN AND NEAR THE CLUSTER OF BURN SCARS. WPC QPF NUDGED TOWARD AN
ENSEMBLE OF THE 00Z HIGH-RES GUIDANCE (ESPECIALLY THE
WRF-ARW...HREF MEAN...AND NBM... WHICH WAS CLOSE TO CONTINUITY
(PREVIOUS FORECAST).


...REST OF PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY EVEN TOTALS OF RAIN AND SNOW ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES FROM NW WY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TO
NORTHERN ID. THE WEST COAST ATMOSPHERIC RIVER WILL FOCUS ON THE
SOUTH FACING SLOPES IN IDAHO AND WEST FACING SLOPES IN WESTERN
WYOMING...THEN EVENTUALLY ACROSS THE UINTAS AND WASATCH MTNS.
AGAIN...LEANED TOWARD THE ENSEMBLE OF HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE
GIVEN THE HIGHER SENSITIVITY OVER THE TERRAIN. PLEASE SEE THE
LATEST QPFHSD FOR ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER INFORMATION.


...NORTHEASTERN U.S...

A WELL MODELED MEDIUM WAVELENGTH TROUGH WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW TRACKING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WILL EVENTUALLY GIVE WAY TO
COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS LATER TODAY ALONG THE SHARPER BAROCLINIC
ZONE. THE SYSTEM WAS INITIALLY DRAWING ON MODIFIED GULF
MOISTURE...YIELDING FAIRLY UNIFORM LIGHT RAIN AMOUNTS JUST UNDER A
HALF INCH OVER THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS YESTERDAY...WITH
SOMEWHAT GREATER AMOUNTS IN THE REGION OF STRONG HEIGHT FALLS AND
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THE COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPMENT AND ASSOCIATED FRONTOGENESIS SHOULD THEN LEAD TO A
HEAVIER PCPN EVENT...ALTHOUGH STILL MODEST IN DURATION AND
INTENSITY...OVER NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT (SOME OF WHICH WILL
LIKELY FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW ALONG THE DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE
AMPLIFYING TROUGH/DEEPENING LOW). THE HI-RES GUIDANCE ONCE AGAIN
EMPHASIZES OFFSHORE CONVECTION...WHILE THE GFS...ECMWF...AND RGEM
GUIDANCE SEEM TO DO A BETTER JOB CAPTURING THE PRECIPITATION SWATH
THAT IS LIKELY TO OCCUR JUST NORTH AND WEST OF THE DEEPENING
COASTAL LOW (NAM AND UKMET WERE NOTABLE WET OUTLIERS).



DAY 2/3...

...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL COME TO AN END
OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING AS RIDGING COMMENCES IN
THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING TROUGH/LOW.  ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS IN THE
DAY 2 PERIOD SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT BEFORE PRECIP COMES TO AN
END.

...CALIFORNIA EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...

WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN OPENING MID/UPPER
LEVEL WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
AND THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES EARLY ON DAY 2...BEFORE THE WAVE
CROSSES THE ROCKIES AND EMERGES OVER THE ADJACENT WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS AND MID/UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT RISES BRING AN END TO THE PRECIP
FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.  BY 18/00Z...THE
MOISTURE BECOMES SCANT BUT STILL SUFFICIENT TO BRING SNOWS TO
PARTS OF THE ROCKIES THANKS TO A 135 KT TO 150 KT UPPER LEVEL JET
CROSSING THE AREA AND ASSOCIATED HEIGHT FALLS IN EXCESS OF 90
METERS PER 12 HOURS AT H50.  WPC TENDED TO FOLLOW A GFS/ECMWF
COMPROMISE HERE WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF
MOUNTAINS AND WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW WOULD ENHANCE OROGRAPHIC LIFT.
REFER TO GRAPHICS AND DISCUSSIONS FROM THE WPC WINTER WEATHER DESK
PERTAINING TO SNOW/ICE HAZARDS.


...GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO PARTS OF THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY/NEW YORK...

AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE EMERGES FROM THE
ROCKIES...THE HEIGHT FALLS AND THE NOSE OF THE 130 KT TO 150 KT
UPPER LEVEL JET WILL RESULT IN LOW PRESSURE TAKING SHAPE OVER THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY.  SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
INCREASES AND BEGINS TO DRAW AIR WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AT
OR ABOVE 1.25 INCHES TOWARD THE OH VALLEY AND SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
ON SATURDAY MORNING.  BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...THE WAVE IS
FORECAST TO GET INTO A POSITION IN THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WHERE IT
WILL SHARPEN/STRENGTHEN.

THE MODELS WERE STRUGGLING WITH THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN LATE DAY
2/EARLY DAY 3 WITH THE NAM SHOWING LITTLE PRECIP IN THE 6 HOUR
PERIOD WHERE THE GFS BLOSSOMED A QUARTER OF AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN/EASTERN GREAT LAKES.  WE TENDED TO FOLLOW THE ECMWF
IDEA GIVEN ITS RELATIVELY GOOD CONSISTENCY...ALTHOUGH WE DID
EXPAND ITS PRECIP FIELD A BIT DUE TO THAT MODELS PROPENSITY TO BE
TOO DRY.  BY SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY...TENDED TO FOLLOW THE
ECMWF IDEA WITH INCREASING WEIGHT.

DEBATED ABOUT THE NEED FOR A DAY 3 MARGINAL RISK ACROSS PARTS OF
THE TN/OH VALLEY WHERE BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS SHOWED SIGNALS OF
PREFRONTAL CONVECTION.  THE GFS SHOWED H85 WINDS APPROACHING 60
KTS OVER THE TN VALLEY IN THE HEART OF A PW AXIS WHERE VALUES WERE
AROUND 1.5 INCHES.  OTHER MODELS WERE NOT AS ROBUST AND THERE WAS
A LOT OF SPREAD IN THE MODEL SOLUTION.  SPAGHETTI PLOTS OF VARIOUS
ENSEMBLE ALSO SUGGESTED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS BUT HAD
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A COHERENT SIGNAL.  WILL RE-EVALUATE IN
SUBSEQUENT FORECAST CYCLES.

...NORTHEAST...

THE LAST VESTIGES OF PRECIPITATION FROM DAY 1 WILL BE EXITING THE
NORTHEASTERN STATES EARLY ON DAY 2 WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS BEING
LIGHT.

HURLEY/BANN

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 17/12Z
 0.01 486614 495623 500630 504639 506649 506658 507669 506675
      507682 506691 504699 498707 496709 492711 488711 485710
      482713 481718 479724 480736 484743 487751 491762 491767
      489771 487780 484786 475798 470802 466808 464811 461817
      458825 457833 454842 453848 446853 445846 445841 447838
      449828 447824 442823 431821 428819 426815 426811 429807
      434803 436801 438797 438790 437787 435788 431791 428795
      426803 423805 420808 417814 413818 411815 410810 408800
      405798 400798 395800 392802 386804 382805 381803 386797
      389792 402785 409780 410774 408770 411763 411759 409758
      411753 415751 416748 414743 411743 403745 394748 390749
      386748 384747 385743 386736 384731 383729 375727 361726
      353726 347725 346721 348713 350705 354701 347699 344699
      341698 337694 333691 330686
 0.01 547178 545169 542160 538155 535157 533161 531166 529169
      526168 524166 521162 518158 516157 516153 512145 508138
      505130 502121 501116 503111 504101 506091 510084 512076
      512070 511067 509063 505062 500065 496072 493082 491089
      490097 489104 490109 493118 493121 492124 490126 484125
      477122 473121 464121 461124 458120 460113 463109 464105
      463101 462097 461092 461086 462079 463075 464069 464065
      462062 456056 451056 448052 445048 444043 443038 440039
      442047 441060 438067 434069 432073 437074 445077 448080
      449082 451085 450089 436088 432085 429083 426076 425071
      426065 429062 430058 428055 423054 419052 415052 401051
      390057 383055 379053 375053 370050 366052 363052 359054
      363072 365077 367080 371087 380091 383095 387096 393101
      391109 385113 380115 371117 361116 357116 352117 352119
      357122 361125 360128 357129 357133 359140 366144 374139
      379134 381130 385129 389128 394129 395132 394135 392137
      388138 386141 385147 386150 388156 385161 383165 382169
      380173 378175 363175 356178 350181 348179 346178 346175
      343168 339168 341173 341180 340191 339202 337213 336216
      334221 333232 330239 335249 338252 339256 341259 344262
      349263 352262 357255 362247 368244 375238 378234 381233
      390245 394249 401251 417253 426256 432255 439254 448257
      459268 464276 465282 462286 461292 462300 462304 464308
      466313 470316 479319 480316 481311 478303 476299 480298
      484299 486298 487296 489294 491294 494293 497294 499294
      500288 501282 501277 499272 497269 496264 499262 504261
      506258 508253 510248 512240 513237 512231 510220 509216
      506213 503210 503205 505204 508206 514211 519217 527228
      531228 535224
 0.01 519263 517262 516259 515258 513258 514261 515264 517265
      519263 519263
 0.01 514282 514279 513277 511273 509272 508269 506269 504273
      503275 505279 506280 508283 511285 513284 514282
 0.01 491191 491188 489186 484186 482185 479181 477177 473175
      466177 461187 456192 453196 451203 452206 454207 457204
      461203 465203 472200 481199 488196 491191
 0.01 504924 504916 500911 500898 499892 498884 494873 488862
      480857 470855 463851 454872 454877 454881 456884 463888
      463894 464896 467896 469892 472896 474901 475903 476908
      475913 475920 477927 479933 481942 481947 482950 485950
      487949 489947 494939 498936 501932 504924
 0.01 398961 398959 398958 396956 395958 393958 393959 391961
      389963 391965 391966 393966 393965 395963 396961 398961
      398961
 0.01 381062 381059 379056 377055 374053 370053 368055 365054
      363056 364058 368057 372058 375060 377061 378063 381062
 0.01 366160 366157 366155 365153 363152 361152 359152 357153
      357154 355155 357158 359158 360161 362161 364160 366160
      366160
 0.01 375927 372922 363923 361924 357925 353927 348932 343937
      341940 337940 334936 326936 321941 317945 314951 311956
      306962 301966 296968 289970 282972 277972 275973 268974
      267977 272982 277985 282988 285989 288990 292991 294991
      302990 304988 308988 313986 319982 327973 338965 340964
      343965 346967 352963 356958 363954 366950 370945 373938
      375927
 0.01 299792 298787 296785 293785 289787 285786 279787 275789
      269790 265789 260789 258787 259785 261781 260778 258777
      255777 250780 244785 241787 238791 233798 229808 228813
      229819 230823 232825 235824 241818 246811 249807 252805
      265804 272808 277808 281807 286807 289805 292802 295798
      299792
 0.25 455625 476627 484633 490641 491645 491650 490657 485669
      483676 480681 474688 470693 468698 459706 454716 451722
      450728 445732 439731 433732 428733 423732 422730 419730
      410734 405733 400730 399721 397717 393717 388721 384723
      380721 376718 371718 357719 356715 356712 360710 367709
      374707 379705 382701 391691 395689 399689 406689 411690
      416689 420687 425681 426674 425670 427667 431664 434661
      436656 434651 430648 422649 416650 406653 395658 385662
      380660 380655 381652 386649 392646 403642 418638
 0.25 511183 510178 507172 505166 501160 503152 498149 491137
      487132 483130 477128 472128 469135 467138 464139 459139
      455141 451141 446138 444132 445127 447125 450119 452117
      454110 456103 456096 431089 427084 423084 420085 418086
      419090 422091 424095 422098 417101 411101 408098 392114
      396117 402120 406123 412123 417128 419134 418141 414144
      409146 403148 400151 399160 399166 397169 394171 390170
      386170 385173 385178 386182 402187 405192 405197 404202
      401201 398196 380182 372179 365178 358180 353184 355189
      359193 363197 364202 359202 354203 350202 349203 350208
      352214 352221 351229 350234 351236 352239 351244 351246
      353249 356247 366239 374231 378227 382222 385218 390216
      397218 402221 403226 399227 392228 389233 390237 393239
      399243 405246 426249 438247 450247 460248 471247 477247
      482249 484251 489256 493258 495257 496253 495247 500245
      502241 504231 503224 501217 498211 494207 489204 483204
      478205 472207 466208 462207 459208 455212 450212 446214
      434211 429200 427193 429187 431179 434173 436168 442167
      453174 457167 459164 462164 473165 479168 484171 490174
      495177 501183 504186 508186 511183
 0.25 482145 482143 480142 478141 477141 475141 475142 474144
      474146 475146 476147 478148 479147 480147 481146 482145
 0.25 473708 473705 472704 472703 470703 469703 469704 468707
      468709 468711 468712 467714 467717 467719 467722 468722
      469722 470721 471720 472718 472717 473715 473713 473710
      473708 473708
 0.25 448746 448741 447741 444744 443745 439747 438748 435751
      435754 433757 433761 436761 438760 440757 441755 444753
      445751 447749 448746
 0.25 446072 445070 443069 441069 441071 441072 443073 444075
      446072
 0.25 436727 435726 433726 432726 430727 428728 427729 426729
      427729 429729 430728 432728 434729 435727 436727
 0.25 431759 431757 431754 430752 429752 428754 428755 427757
      427760 428762 429763 430762 430760 431759
 0.25 425791 425789 425786 424786 424787 423788 422789 421791
      421792 420794 419794 418797 418798 418799 418802 419802
      420801 421799 422798 423796 423795 424794 425792 425791
 0.25 411183 410180 408181 407182 408184 409184 411183
 0.25 420074 417068 416061 412060 408059 403058 403063 400066
      396066 393065 386062 384070 383072 378072 376067 374064
      370062 367063 368066 372072 373075 373080 375082 377082
      382083 386084 386082 385075 391078 393076 397076 400076
      403074 406074 410074 417075 420074
 0.25 291797 290795 287795 283797 271796 266795 260795 254797
      249795 243797 240799 237803 238809 243807 246803 250800
      254800 259801 265801 270802 275803 281804 285802 291797
 0.50 501235 501233 501230 501227 501226 500225 499223 499221
      498220 497219 495219 494220 493222 493225 493228 493230
      494230 494233 495234 496236 497238 499238 500238 501235
      501235
 0.50 483656 483647 481642 478640 468639 457638 452638 450642
      448650 445656 441661 437665 434669 436676 434682 432688
      414703 413706 414709 411714 410719 409724 410728 414726
      420723 423718 427717 439719 448714 452709 455703 459697
      462694 476674 481665 483656
 0.50 485215 484212 482211 481211 481214 482214 484215 485215
 0.50 489142 490139 489138 488136 487136 486135 484134 482135
      484138 485140 487141 488142 489142
 0.50 467222 469216 465212 461211 458214 451215 444216 428218
      425219 421221 422225 425227 429230 429234 422234 415232
      411233 409237 408239 411243 418244 428246 434242 435237
      440238 449239 457240 463237 465228 467222
 0.50 465151 465149 464148 463149 462151 464152 465151
 0.50 446157 437136 434132 433124 436118 440115 444119 446118
      448115 451110 450105 452098 450097 447096 438093 435094
      433092 428087 425086 423089 424091 427096 429101 422102
      419104 415107 410103 408101 406103 403107 399110 397113
      399114 403117 409119 421124 423129 426134 428138 432142
      435155 442159 446157
 0.50 411221 413217 412214 407211 401204 398199 394195 385189
      376183 367180 362180 357183 356185 357187 361190 364194
      366199 367205 366206 363205 360204 358205 353207 356216
      357222 356230 355238 355241 357243 365237 372230 379221
      380216 385214 389213 395214 403219 406222 408223 411221
 0.50 418161 420157 419152 417149 413150 411151 409154 408156
      407161 407166 408168 411169 413169 415165 416163 418161
 0.50 401702 401698 399696 396695 392697 389700 386704 384708
      382713 383717 386719 390716 393713 396710 399706 401702
 0.50 390073 391070 391069 389068 387070 387072 388074 390073
      390073
 0.50 269798 268797 266797 264798 263798 264799 266799 268799
      269798
 1.00 472660 468656 465655 460659 456663 451667 449670 451674
      454678 459680 464678 468671 470666 472663 472660
 1.00 462223 463221 463218 463217 461218 459219 459220 459222
      460222 460223 462224 462223
 1.00 449222 448220 447219 445220 444220 444223 446224 446223
      448223 449222
 1.00 443703 443701 442699 440697 439698 437698 435699 434701
      432702 431703 430704 430707 431709 433710 435710 437709
      438708 440707 442706 443704 443703
 1.00 446111 445104 443100 440099 436100 433095 430092 428090
      426091 428094 431099 432102 430105 424105 423109 424113
      421114 414114 412115 418118 424118 427114 432114 437112
      442113 444113 446111
 1.00 426240 426239 424239 423238 422238 423239 424240 426240
      426240
 1.00 400213 400208 399204 392197 385192 378187 370182 364181
      361183 360184 360187 363190 368196 372204 376208 380210
      386211 390211 398214 400213
 1.00 410110 410108 409106 408105 407105 405107 404109 403111
      403112 405113 406114 408112 410110
 1.00 376219 375214 371211 366210 362208 362211 358211 356212
      358217 360221 362225 365227 368228 373225 375221 376219
 1.50 444108 443106 442105 441105 440106 439107 438107 437108
      435109 437110 438110 440110 442111 442110 444109 444108
 1.50 431094 429093 428091 428092 428094 429095 431094
 1.50 399211 398206 396202 388196 385193 381191 375186 370183
      366182 362183 362187 368194 373201 379208 386210 392210
      396212 399211
 1.50 374218 374215 371214 367213 365216 364216 361215 361217
      363219 364222 366223 367223 369225 371224 373220 374218
 2.00 397210 397206 395203 389199 384193 378189 371185 367183
      364184 363186 365188 367191 371197 375202 378205 381207
      389208 393208 396210 397210
 2.00 371220 371218 370215 369217 369219 370221 371220
 3.00 392204 389201 386198 383194 379192 375189 371187 368185
      366187 369190 372195 373198 376201 381204 383204 388205
      392204
 4.00 385200 384198 383196 382195 381194 379193 378193 376192
      374192 373193 374195 375197 376198 377199 378200 380201
      382202 383202 385200

24HR QP VT 18/12Z
 0.01 521269 523263 523257 521249 516244 513236 505221 502214
      498208 494206 492203 486205 480206 471205 466208 459209
      452211 446211 433215 426218 423224 423228 425232 432235
      435234 434238 433242 434245 447243 455242 461243 464244
      467247 471252 480265 484272 486280 492295 495299 498301
      502302 505301 509296 513288 521269
 0.01 531200 532190 531183 528179 527174 516161 511154 507151
      504152 500149 496144 491137 485129 478123 474122 470124
      462130 457130 453127 453125 455123 458121 460114 463112
      467115 471115 471108 470103 464097 461094 459091 460088
      463080 465072 465067 465052 463047 460042 456035 459024
      460016 462011 464000 466988 467983 466978 465974 464971
      459971 456973 455979 452988 450997 448002 444011 440021
      439027 439033 440040 443044 443049 440052 432073 430077
      428078 427075 426072 425068 426066 429060 430055 428050
      424048 420048 419043 418038 417033 413026 418017 426998
      429987 431983 431978 430973 427969 419964 418961 418957
      421952 426947 428942 428938 427935 430933 434931 437932
      439934 442938 446941 450942 454940 458939 461937 464932
      469927 474920 479917 481918 482922 485933 486945 487949
      491952 492955 496955 500954 507947 512942 517934 528916
      529911 531907 534896 533882 532875 529869 527865 525859
      528855 529849 529843 527840 527835 525831 522827 517822
      518816 519811 520805 520795 518790 514787 506783 499781
      491780 486774 481771 477771 474770 467770 457771 448772
      438773 432774 428776 419783 413789 408795 403803 397811
      393819 390824 388828 386838 384848 382859 380869 379875
      379883 379895 381900 383903 383907 379910 378912 375911
      374905 371904 368905 366907 362909 357916 352923 348930
      345934 343938 341943 343946 347948 351945 357939 361931
      366923 371918 374918 375921 375928 380940 372945 368949
      364952 361956 361961 363964 367965 384961 387959 392960
      389972 392993 388000 385011 384022 386034 385042 383047
      380044 378040 374037 369037 365038 362043 360047 362050
      363054 360055 357057 359058 364059 364069 366081 373087
      371106 372111 371117 368121 367127 368133 369138 373141
      377141 382143 386143 392139 397133 400129 405129 409129
      413129 415134 415139
 0.01 415139 413144 411143 400140 394143 391148 390155 385163
      383167 384170 387178 390183 393184 401183 404182 405185
      406189 411197 420200 422197 423191 422186 423179 424171
      424166 424160 427156 426146 425141 422138 420135 421131
      423126 427123 431123 434120 436119 439122 441125 443126
      442130 441135 435141 431147 433159 438168 446170 449170
      451174 454177 458177 461173 464170 468170 472169 477170
      481168 485171 487175 490178 494178 502177 504178 503181
      501183 501188 504189 506188 509189 514191 519197 526202
      531200
 0.01 507672 505655 504647 501642 496635 490628 476621 470622
      467625 460631 452639 448642 446646 446653 448656 449662
      452666 457676 460689 463694 466698 472705 478711 482713
      487712 490708 492704 498696 503688 505683 506677 507672
 0.01 511162 508160 505158 500157 494153 489151 485146 481148
      482153 484155 487156 488162 491165 494163 497159 502161
      508164 511162
 0.01 480226 479223 477222 476224 474224 475226 477226 478228
      480226
 0.01 469137 469136 468135 467132 466130 465132 465134 466134
      466137 467138 468139 469137
 0.01 458709 456705 453703 450704 447709 444712 441712 440714
      442718 445720 449722 452721 454715 456712 458709
 0.01 409218 407214 404212 398206 386196 375183 372180 368179
      360179 346187 344190 345195 345201 347204 349206 354208
      357207 356205 353200 354194 356192 358193 363194 371198
      376204 383209 391213 397217 404218 409218
 0.01 379060 379058 378058 377056 375056 374055 372056 370057
      368057 366057 365059 366061 368060 370060 372060 373060
      375060 377061 379061 379060
 0.01 275799 274799 272799 270798 270797 268798 268800 270802
      272802 274802 274801 275799 275799
 0.01 263798 260794 258792 255793 252798 247800 244805 243811
      244818 248817 249814 247809 252806 256803 262801 263798
 0.25 517262 516257 515254 512247 509240 505235 500230 498223
      496220 493220 493223 493228 499240 503246 503251 500253
      496247 493244 490244 488247 489252 489260 492268 495275
      499280 503282 504281 507276 507270 507264 509265 514266
      517262
 0.25 526190 526188 525185 524183 522182 521182 519183 520185
      521186 522188 523189 523190 525191 526190
 0.25 494658 491649 487642 481641 474644 467649 465652 465657
      465663 467669 472673 477677 480679 483680 487679 489676
      493669 494660 494658
 0.25 490219 488218 488219 490219 490219
 0.25 479238 477237 477238 479239 479238
 0.25 482216 480212 476212 472214 469215 465217 461218 457219
      454221 456223 458223 462223 467222 471222 474219 478218
      482216 482216
 0.25 496871 495865 493860 491855 492849 491835 490828 488823
      484813 484807 483802 481797 479794 471791 453793 449792
      445794 441794 437793 428792 421797 414805 410812 405820
      402831 402846 402857 401864 400869 396877 393886 394899
      398909 402911 407910 411909 413913 415917 421917 427912
      432904 442887 449884 453884 452881 455878 459878 463882
      465888 465894 467898 470897 474893 480887 487881 493876
      496871
 0.25 477159 475155 472151 469148 466144 464144 460146 457150
      459155 463158 466160 471161 475161 477159
 0.25 455223 454221 452222 451222 452223 453223 455223
 0.25 443108 442107 442106 441103 442101 441100 439100 437101
      436101 435102 434103 433104 432105 431106 432107 433107
      435107 437107 439108 440108 442108 443108
 0.25 418116 417111 413108 411104 408102 405105 402108 393110
      387113 383116 381119 380125 386125 392121 397120 401120
      408121 415118 418116
 0.25 414071 414064 414061 412059 410054 407051 402054 395055
      386061 384063 384067 380070 375066 370066 373072 374078
      377083 383085 395085 398083 405081 413073 414071
 0.25 376194 376191 374189 372186 370184 366183 363182 359183
      357185 358188 362189 365191 369192 370192 374194 376194
 0.50 503273 503270 502265 501262 499259 498257 496254 494254
      493256 493259 494262 496265 498268 499271 501272 503273
 0.50 478666 478663 478661 477659 476659 475658 473659 473660
      474662 475664 476665 477666 478666 478666
 0.50 481872 481867 480864 478862 476860 474858 472857 470860
      469863 468866 469870 470873 473875 474875 476874 479874
      481872
 0.50 470155 470153 469151 467150 466149 465152 467154 468155
      469155 470155 470155
 0.50 473813 472810 469810 464814 460817 454818 448820 443822
      438820 435815 431815 428816 425820 421824 417829 411840
      407845 408852 409867 408871 406873 401876 399881 397888
      397892 400894 406892 414884 418881 422877 428867 433854
      438842 441836 444835 447836 454833 458830 468824 471818
      473813
 0.50 411115 410112 407110 403111 401111 398111 394112 392114
      392116 396116 399115 401115 405115 408117 411115
 0.50 411070 410066 408063 407058 404057 401059 402062 398059
      393062 388062 386065 384074 386077 389079 392080 395078
      402078 408074 411070
 0.50 389118 388117 387117 386118 385120 386120 388119 389118
 0.50 372190 371190 369188 369187 368186 366186 364186 365188
      366189 367189 369190 371190 372190
 0.50 383081 383080 381078 379077 378077 377078 377079 379080
      380081 381081 383081 383081
 1.00 391070 391069 390070 390071 391070

24HR QP VT 19/12Z
 0.01 452325 456322 460318 464315 468311 473308 478306 483306
      489306 495308 500309 504305 508298 511293 513291 527250
      525227 523217 521210 518207 513202 502199 495198 491196
      488196 484196 482201 476209 474211 473216 476220 477223
      476227 469230 463236 461240 460246 460252 458257 448273
      439290 435302 433308 432315 433317
 0.01 532203 534196 533189 531178 525171 518164 516161 514161
      505158 490160 491164 489166 488164 484156 481152 479150
      477151 473152 471150 479165 484168 486171 490175 491178
      499179 504181 506185 521196 527201 530204 532203
 0.01 526756 525738 524730 522726 518716 515709 512706 506698
      503694 499690 496686 491680 483669 472654 466647 459640
      453633 444641 437644 435646 432648 427651 423655 418666
      414672 411677 408681 403690 390710 377729 372738 367745
      356762 345780 338790 335795 330800 309831 296852 286869
      281877 279881 279887 280900 280908 282912 286922 291932
      295931 299927 306929 309930 308933 306937 307941 309942
      319941 326941 331939 334938 338936 345929 352921 362912
      367911 371910 373912 385927 391932 394936 400938 406938
      412936 421931 428925 436914 448901 451897 455894 457890
      461888 463892 465896 468898 474888 476872 485862 488858
      490851 490846 489841 495832 500825 506815 509811 512805
      522779 523773 525768 525761 526756
 0.01 499154 496148 493145 492140 490139 486133 481132 474131
      472133 475134 478137 482141 486146 491149 496151 499154
 0.01 496949 494942 492934 491929 487922 484917 480917 479924
      480927 480932 482939 485944 486947 489948 491950 494950
      496949
 0.01 264800 261800 258799 255799 254800 251802 250805 248806
      249809 253809 254807 256805 259803 261802 264800
 0.25 518271 520262 519255 517240 516234 514227 511222 507217
      499211 492208 486207 483209 482215 487226 471236 470240
      470244 469252 467260 463266 459277 453293 453297 455298
      458299 464300 469297 476290 480286 484284 505286 510286
      513282 518271
 0.25 509760 507748 505739 502731 500728 496725 481720 473718
      470717 465715 463704 461693 458685 456674 454666 451662
      448661 444664 440671 436681 434690 431697 428704 424712
      420716 416719 409722 403727 398737 394745 390750 387756
      386766 389771 390776 386783 373795 367800 362805 353816
      349822 346832 341842 336850 332855 329861 325867 321875
      322879 324883 326886 326892 325896 328899 336893 347884
      360878 368873 375873 379870 384870 389876 391887 394893
      396897 399898 403895 404892 411875 416868 419869 423873
      426874 431874 437872 449864 457859 463853 468847 472835
      477820 487807 492800 497791 506774 508768 509760
 0.50 517270 518264 518259 515248 510228 506222 500217 496215
      493217 490227 488230 485233 481234 478234 475236 473242
      473249 472256 464274 464279 465283 467285 470284 472282
      478277 481275 485275 493278 501280 506282 511281 513278
      517270
 0.50 497758 495748 493741 488736 485735 482735 478737 475740
      469746 462749 458757 456760 451761 449755 454741 455735
      453730 449724 447721 445715 444708 447705 448701 448695
      444690 441690 439693 438697 438704 438707 435710 430716
      419730 413744 408758 407768 404776 400784 397788 394790
      384798 375808 363819 358824 353832 349837 346843 343849
      341857 355863 357868 360871 362869 366865 369860 371853
      375848 382848 397850 398854 397859 396869 394879 394883
      396885 399886 401883 404876 406867 408858 412850 414846
      418843 421844 423846 427852 431855 440856 445853 451847
      456840 461834 468821 474807 483793 488786 491777 495769
      497758
 1.00 514266 514259 512252 508238 506232 502228 498224 496223
      494227 493232 489236 481242 479243 479248 479256 480262
      483263 494271 498274 504274 508273 513269 514266
 1.00 478769 478767 478764 477762 475763 474764 472766 471768
      470769 469770 469771 468774 468776 468779 468780 470780
      472779 473778 474778 475776 476775 476774 477772 478771
      478769
 1.00 463795 462792 459789 454786 449780 446779 441781 439782
      436786 439792 443799 446807 449814 453814 455811 459805
      463797 463795
 1.00 439738 438737 438736 437734 436733 434732 432732 431733
      429735 429736 428738 429740 430741 432742 433742 434742
      435742 437741 438739 439738
 1.00 425794 425789 424787 420781 417777 413777 410782 407789
      405794 399797 396802 396808 398815 399823 399829 400833
      403834 406833 410828 418820 421815 423808 425794
 1.50 509259 509254 507250 506239 501234 498233 497239 494241
      490241 487241 485244 483248 484253 489259 493266 499271
      502269 504262 509259
 2.00 506255 504249 502250 497249 494246 490244 487246 487252
      490256 493259 495264 500264 501261 503258 506255

$$





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