Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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842
FNUS28 KWNS 241951
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Valid 261200Z - 011200Z

Persistent mid/upper-level troughing is expected to remain over the
eastern 2/3 of the CONUS through the extended forecast, which will
continue to reinforce below average temperatures along/east of the
Rockies. Meanwhile, mid/upper-level ridging is forecast to return to
the Southwest and Great Basin by Day 4/Tuesday before a series of
Pacific troughs come onshore mid-to-late next week and into the
weekend. Some wetting rainfall may accompany the troughs -
especially across portions of the Pacific NW into northern
California.

Overall, Critical fire weather concerns are forecast to remain low
across much of the CONUS through at least Day 8/Saturday. The one
exception might be across portions of the Florida Peninsula, where
little antecedent precipitation is forecast along/ahead of a mostly
dry cold front that is expected to move through the area Day
3/Monday. A dry and breezy post-frontal regime is forecast to remain
over the area through much of the week, which may promote periodic
Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions, especially as
fuels remain receptive owing to ongoing drought conditions. At this
time, fire weather conditions appear too brief/spotty to introduce a
40% Critical fire weather probability.

..Elliott.. 01/24/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$