Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
842 FNUS28 KWNS 241951 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Valid 261200Z - 011200Z Persistent mid/upper-level troughing is expected to remain over the eastern 2/3 of the CONUS through the extended forecast, which will continue to reinforce below average temperatures along/east of the Rockies. Meanwhile, mid/upper-level ridging is forecast to return to the Southwest and Great Basin by Day 4/Tuesday before a series of Pacific troughs come onshore mid-to-late next week and into the weekend. Some wetting rainfall may accompany the troughs - especially across portions of the Pacific NW into northern California. Overall, Critical fire weather concerns are forecast to remain low across much of the CONUS through at least Day 8/Saturday. The one exception might be across portions of the Florida Peninsula, where little antecedent precipitation is forecast along/ahead of a mostly dry cold front that is expected to move through the area Day 3/Monday. A dry and breezy post-frontal regime is forecast to remain over the area through much of the week, which may promote periodic Elevated to locally Critical fire weather conditions, especially as fuels remain receptive owing to ongoing drought conditions. At this time, fire weather conditions appear too brief/spotty to introduce a 40% Critical fire weather probability. ..Elliott.. 01/24/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$