Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 251947
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
247 PM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 246 PM CDT WED APR 25 2018

While this rainfall is nice, and much needed, these temperatures
are not as great compared to the last two days. Temperatures did
make it into the 50s and 60s early this morning, but since the
rain moved in, temperatures have dropped a few degrees. So far,
those in far western MO and far eastern KS have received up to
three tenths of an inch of rain with another two tenths possible
before everything is said and done. The rain will continue moving
southeast, really only impacting those south and west of
Kirksville. The rain should exit the KC Metro around sunset and
the rest of our area by midnight tonight.

Thursday should be a pretty nice spring day as a shortwave ridge and
surface high pressure move through the area. Some clouds will move
in in the afternoon, but temperatures should still get into the
upper 60s. Thursday night, a weak boundary and a quick moving
shortwave trough, currently over MT, will move southeast across
the Midwest. All models depict pretty dry air at the surface as
this system moves through, so with that and the weak boundary, we
don`t anticipate rain chances anymore.

The well-advertised upper level ridging and surface high are still
on track to bring us gorgeous weather for Friday through early next
week. Temperatures will start off in the upper 60s to low 70s Friday
and should warm into the upper 70s, approaching 80, by Monday.

On Monday, we should transition to the warm sector of a developing
low. This will be in conjunction with a deep upper level low moving
through the western U.S. While there is still time for things to
change, this looks to be our next chance for storms.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT WED APR 25 2018

Light rain will continue moving to the southeast today, affecting
those south and west of Kirksville. MVFR visibilities and ceilings
are accompanying this rain, with some periods of IFR ceilings,
mainly in KS. The MVFR ceilings and visibilities should move with
the rain, with the visibilities coming back up this afternoon and
rain and lower ceilings exiting the area tonight around sunset.
Skies should clear quickly and will remain VFR for the rest of the
period. Winds will be light this TAF period, and will shift to
the northwest overnight as the surface high pressure moves through
our area.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...Grana



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