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000
FNUS72 KGSP 161329
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Shortcut Trail Rx Burn...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
929 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A few sprinkles possible before noon as a band of thicker clouds
moves east across the area. Any afternoon thunderstorms should be
north of the area. Light wind this morning becomes south by
afternoon. Cool temps and high RH values this morning with warming
and drier conditions this afternoon, although RH should remain
above 40 percent. Mild temps overnight with recovering RH but not
as moist as this morning. South to southwest wind conitnues tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and varaible winds this morning shifting
                    to the south 7 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (57800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  73  68  70  73  62  40  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  74  76  78  78  79  79  79
RH..............68  59  53  50  49  48  47  45
20 FT wind dir..N   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   7   7   7   7   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.7   10  10  12  13  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 3.6 4.5 4.3 4.7 4.3 4.8 4.3
VRate kt-ft/10007   25  41  38  47  43  58  47

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (46300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  45  43  38  49  47  44  59  75  69  80  93
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  76  72  69  66  65  65  63  63  63  62  62
RH..............44  46  52  57  60  59  59  60  60  61  62  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  13  13  14  14  14  15  16  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
VRate kt-ft/100046  13  5   4   4   5   5   5   6   5   7   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (79400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  92  80  84  85  84  83  80  76  75  75  74
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  61  62  63  65  69  71  72  73  72  72  72
RH..............66  70  70  69  64  57  53  49  47  48  48  48
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   10  13  15  15  16  16  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.16  17  14  17  22  24  25  26  28  26  26  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5
VRate kt-ft/10006   6   6   16  35  50  69  77  79  78  75  71

$$
Forecaster...Rodney Hinson
Requested by...Mike Santucci
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410859.2/GSP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0