Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 210751
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Periodic rain/rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect
most areas from the Flint Hills westward across central Kansas
early this morning where the better lift will reside just ahead
of the upper low moving across the central/southern high Plains.
The higher precip chances will gradually shift east with the
upper low into southeast Kansas tonight, though scattered areas of
light rain will linger across central Kansas. Little diurnal
recovery is expected under the clouds with rain today with highs
close to the going forecast. The upper low is still progged to
drift southeast across the Ozarks during Sunday with some light
rain or rain showers lingering across the Flint Hills and
southeast Kansas. While clouds look to linger on Monday, dry
weather is expected across the area between the departing low and
the next upper shortwave approaching from the northern Rockies.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

The aforementioned upper trof is progged to drop southeast across
the northern Plains and Midwest Tuesday through Wednesday. This
will push a modest cold front south across the region. Rain
chances also look rather modest with limited moisture. Another
trof will follow in its wake for the latter half of the week which
may carve out a deeper longwave across the eastern CONUS. This
could also provide a limited chance for precip with the passage
of another cold front.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1134 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Rain showers have made their way into central and south central
Kansas as of 06Z, and will continue to spread eastward over the
next 24 hours. Ceiling heights will slowly come down for the rest
of tonight and into Saturday morning. Expecting MVFR or IFR cigs
at most sites by sunrise (with the exception being KCNU) and
throughout the morning. LIFR cigs are possible in central Kansas
(KRSL and KGBD) Saturday evening. Fairly light to moderate
easterly winds will prevail throughout the period. Will continue
to monitor the showers and cloud ceilings and update TAFs as
needed.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Widespread wetting rains are expected today and tonight, before
gradually ending from west to east across the area on Sunday. This
in combination with higher daytime humidity levels the next few
days will keep the fire danger at low or moderate levels.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    53  44  61  46 /  90  60  20  10
Hutchinson      51  42  61  43 /  90  50  10  10
Newton          51  43  60  44 /  90  60  20  10
ElDorado        53  45  60  46 /  90  60  30  10
Winfield-KWLD   54  45  61  46 /  90  60  20  10
Russell         49  39  61  41 /  80  40   0   0
Great Bend      49  39  60  41 /  80  40  10   0
Salina          52  42  61  43 /  80  50  10  10
McPherson       51  42  60  43 /  90  50  20  10
Coffeyville     57  48  60  48 /  90  80  40  20
Chanute         56  47  59  47 /  80  70  40  20
Iola            56  46  59  47 /  70  70  50  20
Parsons-KPPF    56  48  60  48 /  80  80  40  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...TAV
FIRE WEATHER...KED



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