Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 250509
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1209 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.AVIATION...

Overall VFR flight conditions are expected while some ceilings will
be seen toward Wednesday morning. Patchy fog will be possible in
spots Wednesday morning. Winds will be light north at 3 to 8 mph or
light and variable Tuesday night. On Wednesday, rain chances will
increase as a weather system approaches AR. Rain and showers will be
seen initially, then isolated thunderstorms later on Wednesday. VFR
ceilings will be widespread, with patchy MVFR with the convection.
Winds will become north to northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 915 PM CDT Tue Apr 2018)
Discussion...

Overall forecast on track. Increasing clouds will be seen tonight as
the next weather system approaches AR on Wednesday. Patchy fog may
develop in spotty locations. All rain is expected to hold off until
later on Wednesday. Light north winds will be seen over most of AR,
while light and variable elsewhere. Lows will mainly be in the 50s.
Rain chances come up significantly on Wednesday with the system, as
well as isolated thunderstorms. Strong to severe storm threat will
remain low with limited instability available. (59)

Prev Discussion.../ Issued 615 PM CDT Tue Apr 2018/
Aviation...

Overall VFR flight conditions are expected while some ceilings will
be seen toward Wednesday morning. Patchy fog will be possible in
spots Wednesday morning. Winds will be light north at 3 to 8 mph or
light and variable. On Wednesday, rain chances will increase as a
weather system approaches AR. Rain and showers will be seen
initially, then isolated thunderstorms later on Wednesday. VFR
ceilings will be widespread, with patchy MVFR with the convection.
Winds will become north to northwest at 5 to 15 mph. (59)

Prev Discussion.../ Issued 315 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday

Low clouds in eastern Arkansas should erode this
evening. Any clearing tonight will be brief as clouds
increase again late tonight/Wednesday.

A cold front will push into the region from the Plains Wednesday
and Wednesday night. Widespread showers will surround the front,
with a chance of thunderstorms. Rainfall is expected to average a
quarter to three quarters of an inch.

As one front passes to the south, a secondary front will
be on the horizon to the north on Thursday. This will
keep isolated to scattered showers in the forecast.

For the most part, temperatures will be a little below
average in the near term.

LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Wednesday

Another upper level low/shortwave trough embedded in the large scale
cyclonic flow passing through much of the northern and eastern
United States, and associated cold front will sweep through the
region late this week. In response, our temperatures will remain
mild and rainfall chances will persist through Friday.

Dry weather and sunny skies will return to the forecast for the
weekend as a ridge of high pressure builds into the area from the
west. Expect temperatures in the 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s.

Unfortunately, the pleasant weather conditions will be short lived,
as another storm system is expected to approach Arkansas early next
week and bring showers and thunderstorms to the region for
Tuesday.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$


Aviation...GOUDSWARD


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