Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 182014 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
312 PM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.AVIATION...
A cold front will exit Arkansas to the southeast tonight.
Low clouds in the southeast will dissipate as much drier
air arrives behind the front. VFR conditions are expected
through Thursday morning.

Winds this afternoon will be from the west/northwest
at 10 to 20 mph, with gusts over 30 mph in places.
Winds tonight will be north/northwest at 5 to 10 mph,
with some gusts from 16 to 20 mph. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Friday
A cold front was pushing through southeast Arkansas this
afternoon, with much drier air following the front. Gusty
southwest winds were shifting to the west/northwest. Given
the conditions, the fire danger was becoming elevated from
northern into western and central sections of the state.

High pressure will build over the area from the Plains
tonight/Thursday. While there will still be gusts from
the north/northeast on Thursday, winds will not be as
strong.

In addition to the wind decreasing, temperatures will
drop. It will be quite a bit cooler for the remainder of t
he near term, with below average readings expected.

The period will finish with dry conditions on Friday.
That will change in the extended period, with a storm
system arriving from the southern Plains.
&&

.LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Wednesday
An upper ridge will be over Arkansas early Friday night with an
upper low pressure system over the Colorado Rockies. This upper low
will move into the Plains Saturday and into the mid south Sunday
morning. This system will move eastward to the east coast Tuesday.
With an upper ridge over the Rockies and Plains Wednesday, another
upper low will move through the eastern U.S.

High pressure will be over the great lakes Saturday. A low pressure
system will drag a warm front/cold front combination through Texas
Saturday and to northern Louisiana by Sunday. This will bring
showers and thunderstorms to Arkansas Saturday night into Sunday but
severe thunderstorms are not anticipated at this time. One to two
inches of rainfall is expected over a large part of the state. The
system will move east of the area late Sunday bringing the
precipitation to an end. Another cold front will move through the
Plains Monday night and through Arkansas Tuesday afternoon and
night. This will bring small chances of showers to the area. Drier
air will return to the state Wednesday with northwest flow. Below
normal temperautres are expected through the period.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     39  61  38  64 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         46  68  42  68 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       34  59  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    44  66  41  65 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  45  65  41  65 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     46  65  41  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      42  65  40  65 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  35  59  36  63 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        40  60  38  62 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     45  63  40  65 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   42  65  40  65 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         42  62  38  64 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      44  62  40  65 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...51



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