Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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553
FXUS64 KLZK 300528 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1228 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A weak and dissipating cold front is presently located in the
northwest part of Arkansas, and will slowly make its way across much
of the state overnight. A wind shift will be barely perceptible on
this weakening front, but dewpoints will lower notably.

Showers and thunderstorms have developed along and ahead of the
front this afternoon, at present extending from north central
Arkansas into western Arkansas in a few bands.

Another point of concern tonight will be the development of fog as
the weak cold front rolls into areas that recently received rain.
With light winds and clearing skies, patchy fog will be present over
a good portion of the area, with potential dense fog in some
areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 236 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast at
times through the period across the state. Prior indications of at
least a couple of days of dry weather and cooler temperatures appear
more unlikely attm. At the sfc, warm/humid conditions will persist
across much of the region with above normal temperatures expected
each day.

Aloft, H500 flow will largely be out of the SW ahead of a trough
swinging across the Northern/Central Plains toward the Great Lakes.
Mid-level ridging is expected to build across the SE US which will
further influence the amplified flow across the region.

From Thu-Fri as a leading shortwave lifts north across the area,
showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. This activity
will be aided by a cold front set to move across the state. The
front will only briefly linger before retreating back to the north.

Some additional disturbances are likely to lift north in the SW flow
aloft and help to provide periodic rain chances across the state
through the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Expect VFR condns over the next few hours at area terminals, with
areas of dense fog expected to develop around much of the state.
MVFR to IFR VISBY`s are anticipated, w/ lower VIS over Cntrl to
Srn terminals. Shortly after daybreak Tues mrng, fog should begin
to mix out w/ the onset of diurnal heating/mixing, and VFR condns
should resume thru the day, w/ winds bcmg Srly.

/72/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     82  61  87  64 /   0   0  10  10
Camden AR         85  60  88  65 /   0   0  20  10
Harrison AR       82  59  85  64 /   0  10  10  10
Hot Springs AR    84  60  87  65 /   0   0  20  10
Little Rock   AR  85  63  89  66 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     83  62  88  66 /   0   0  10   0
Mount Ida AR      85  60  87  65 /   0   0  20  10
Mountain Home AR  82  59  87  64 /   0  10  10  10
Newport AR        81  60  86  64 /   0   0  10   0
Pine Bluff AR     83  61  87  64 /   0   0  10  10
Russellville AR   84  60  88  64 /   0   0  10  10
Searcy AR         82  59  87  62 /   0   0  10  10
Stuttgart AR      82  62  86  65 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for ARZ007-008-
014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-123-141-223-
241-341.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...72