Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
409
FNUS54 KMAF 122040
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
340 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Stiff westerly winds out west around 15-20kts sustained have
brought very dry air in as well and near-critical to localized
critical conditions have developed. With today`s dry conditions,
ERCs have quickly responded to the 50th percentile. Beyond today,
critical humidity sets up each afternoon, mainly west of the Pecos
River, each afternoon this week. However light winds keep RFTIs
and fire concerns low. Outside of a few storm chances on Wednesday
and again on Thursday, dry conditions serve to cure fuels a bit
more each day.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-130930-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
240 PM MDT Sun May 12 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 47 (-2) 80 (+3) 48 86
RH % (24h trend) 51 (-41) 13 (+2) 51 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 14 NW 7 S 6 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 NE 9 W 6 SW 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 16 15 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11660 13680
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 12 SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 139920 218880
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 4 0 0 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-130930-
Chaves Plains-
240 PM MDT Sun May 12 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 48 (-7) 84 (+1) 51 91
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-26) 13 (+2) 63 10
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 13 N 7 E 7 S 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 9 N 8 E 6 S 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 3 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 14 17 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11620 14300
Transport Wnd (kts) N 14 SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 162680 185900
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 0 0 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-130930-
Eddy Plains-
240 PM MDT Sun May 12 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-5) 86 (0) 54 93
RH % (24h trend) 53 (-39) 13 (+4) 51 9
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 14 N 8 NE 7 S 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 10 N 9 W 6 S 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 16 13 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12390 16480
Transport Wnd (kts) N 13 SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 161070 230720
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 0 0 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-130930-
Lea-
240 PM MDT Sun May 12 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-7) 86 (+2) 51 91
RH % (24h trend) 67 (-30) 12 (+2) 67 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 N 10 N 7 SE 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 N 10 E 6 S 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 3 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 18 9 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12310 15470
Transport Wnd (kts) N 18 S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 221580 232050
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 0 0 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-130930-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
340 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024 /240 PM MDT Sun May 12 2024/
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-2) 80 (+5) 54 85
RH % (24h trend) 32 (-61) 11 (+2) 31 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 N 8 NW 8 SW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 12 W 11 SE 6 SW 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 14 17 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12860 15730
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 13 SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 167180 235950
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 1 1 3
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-130930-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
340 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-7) 91 (+4) 54 95
RH % (24h trend) 26 (-64) 6 (-1) 44 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 13 NW 7 N 8 S 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 8 NW 10 E 6 S 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 21 14 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13600 15250
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 15 S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 204000 183000
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 2 2 2
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-130930-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
340 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-6) 89 (0) 55 95
RH % (24h trend) 71 (-24) 12 (-3) 78 10
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 NW 8 N 7 SE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 6 N 10 E 5 S 8
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 22 16 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11410 13840
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 18 S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 205380 207600
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
$$