Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 151755
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1255 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Patchy drizzle was occuring across portions of the area early this
morning, mainly north of Interstate 44. Gusty west to northwest
winds were ushering in colder air with many locations near to
slightly above freezing. Upper level low was currently over
Northern Missouri with wrap around precip from Nebraska into
eastern Kansas and Northern/Central Missouri. The farther south
one goes to less cloud ice is present with areas near KC
experiencing some light snow/flurries at times.

As we go through the morning hours, some patchy drizzle/freezing
drizzle and light snow/flurries will continue to be possible
mainly along and north of Interstate 44. No accumulation or
impacts are expected. The Freeze Warning will continue until 9am
since temps will fall into the upper 20s to around 30 in the
western half or so of the area by sunrise.

The upper low will move ever so slowly today therefore expect
cloudcover, cold air advection and gusty northwest winds almost
the entire day, making it feel miserable outside today. High
temperatures will struggle to climb through the 30s today with
many locations staying below 40 all day. This is roughly 30
degrees below average for mid April.

High pressure will build into Kansas Overnight into Monday morning
with skies slowly clearing. Low temperatures will fall into the
middle to upper 20s and a hard freeze is expected. A Freeze
Warning will be in effect for the entire area Overnight into
Monday morning.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

A warming trend will then commence toward Tuesday as a mid level
ridge moves in from the west. High temps on Tuesday will make it
back into the lower to middle 70s. A fast moving upper level
disturbance will move to the north of the area late Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning and it appears that a dry cold frontal
passage will occur Wednesday morning since moisture will be sparse
with this system.

A stronger upper level disturbance will approach from the west
late Friday into Saturday and track through the area. GFS and EURO
models both keep the surface low just south of the area therefore
widespread rain and maybe some general thunder will occur for
next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

MVFR ceilings will persist this afternoon across the area. Clouds
will then slowly clear from west to east tonight. VFR conditions
will return by morning, although the exact timing of VFR is still
in question as weather models are showing variability.

Surface winds will remain brisk and gusty out of the west-
northwest for much of the period. Gusts over 25 knots will
continue this afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Monday for
     MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Monday for
     KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Schaumann



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