Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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620
FXUS63 KSGF 211856
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
156 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

Scattered cloud cover remained over the region this afternoon,
but sunshine was breaking through for all but portions of south
central Missouri. Short term and mesoscale models were showing
showers and isolated thunderstorm development this afternoon
across south central Missouri, but coverage will be limited if
showers do develop. Most locations will remain dry however.

Temperatures have started to climb slowly as more sunshine broke
through the cloud cover. Where this has occurred, temperatures
had climbed into the upper 70s. The expectation is for afternoon
highs to climb to around the 80 degree mark.

The region will be watched tonight for potential fog development.
The residual moisture from this past weekends storms, cooling
temperatures and clearing skies will combine to bring for to the
area. Fog may be dense in some areas especially in valleys and
river bottoms.

Surface high pressure and a building upper level ridge will be in
control of the regions weather Tuesday with ample sunshine, light
winds and dry conditions across the region. Temperatures will be
slightly warmer than normal with most locations seeing highs in
the middle 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 124 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The warm weather will be here to stay for a while as a ridge
builds over the midwest. The ridge will build through the middle
of the week before short wave energy flattens it Friday into the
weekend.

Energy caught under the ridge along with short wave energy
knocking the ridge down towards the end of the week will allow
for summer like storms to develop each afternoon from Wednesday
and into the Memorial Day weekend.

Current indications are that the potential for severe storms will
be very limited, but will not be zero for any day towards the
later half or of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

Areas of scattered to broken cloud cover with some areas of MVFR
ceilings were occurring across the Missouri Ozarks this afternoon.
THe cloud cover will improve through the afternoon and evening
hours with VFR flight conditions across the region. Areas that
received rain over the weekend will likely see fog reducing
visibilities to MVFR will develop across the region early Tuesday
morning and linger through sunrise. The fog will burn off quickly
however with clearing for the remainder of tomorrow morning into
the afternoon.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Hatch



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