Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 161731
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1231 PM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

Upper level low continues to slowly churn east across Illinois.
Wrap around moisture and clouds continue across the entire area
with even some flurries still across Central Missouri. Temps were
in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Freeze Warning remains in effect
until 9am. Clouds will likely hang pretty tight until mid morning
when the low moves further away and increasing sun angle can help
out with mixing. Thicknesses will be on the rise in earnest today
with high temps ranging from the upper 40s in Central Missouri to
the upper 50s in the Joplin and Pineville areas. Plenty of
sunshine expected by afternoon however winds will still be around
10 to 15mph creating a little chill, but nothing like Sunday.

Surface high axis moves overhead tonight and winds will become
light before switching to the south by Tuesday morning. Temps will
be tricky and there will be some frost potential across Central
Missouri as temps fall into the lower to middle 30s there with
light wind and clear sky. A Frost Advisory may be needed for this
area and this will be evaluated Today. The rest of the area should
see lows around 40.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

Gusty southwest winds will occur on Tuesday ahead of an
approaching upper level disturbance. Temps should soar into the
70s as a result on Tuesday. A dry cold front moves through
Wednesday morning around sunrise. Winds will be gusty out of the
west on Wednesday as low pressure moves to the north and east of
the area. Drier air will usher in behind this front and create
elevated to locally significant fire weather conditions. Will need
to monitor RH trends on Wednesday.

Models have slowed down the approach of the upper level low for
the weekend a little with precip not expected until very late
Friday night or Saturday morning. Models show the surface low
tracking south of the area with a widespread rain expected for the
area as instability looks very low. Plenty of clouds and precip
will also keep the area cool with highs around 60.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

With the exception of a few high clouds moving across the Ozarks
region through Tuesday morning, no impacts to aviation concerns
are expected. Surface winds will shift from the north to the south
through the overnight hours.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Hatch



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