Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 180453
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1153 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...Update to Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

A warm front continues to lift north across the region this
afternoon. Temperatures south of the front have spiked into the
upper 70s and lower 80s across southwestern Missouri while areas
of central Missouri were still in the lower to middle 60s.

Heading into tonight, that warm front will lift into the I-70
corridor. Brisk and somewhat gusty southerly winds will persist
and keep overnight lows in the 50s. The coolest temperatures will
actually be across extreme southeastern Kansas and western
Missouri as a dry cold front enters this region late tonight.

Brisk and gusty west to northwest winds will then develop on
Wednesday as that cold front quickly pushes east across the
Ozarks. Temperatures will be quite a bit cooler as cold air
advection kicks in along with the presence of cloud cover. Highs
should range from the upper 50s across central Missouri to the
lower and middle 60s across southern Missouri.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

The main concern early in the period will be frost potential.
Conditions look favorable for frost both Wednesday night and
Thursday night as winds become light and temperatures drop into
the lower and middle 30s.

Dry weather will continue through Friday before the next storm
system begins to approach the region for the weekend. Global
models continue to depict a closed upper level low tracking
through the Arklatex with a shield of rain impacting at least
southern Missouri. There is no polar airmass available to this
system, thus no frozen precipitation potential.

Quiet weather should then return to the region early next week.
Temperatures from this weekend into early next week are expected
to be slightly below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1150 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

Surface low pressure is currently west of the area late this
evening. The low will track east through towards and through the
area tonight and tomorrow. Gusty south to southwesterly winds will
occur tonight, becoming more westerly tomorrow morning before
becoming northwesterly Wednesday afternoon and evening. Low level
wind shear will be a concern tonight.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Wise



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