Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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825
FNUS73 KSGF 200123
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Rock Pile Rx...US Forest Service - USFS
National Weather Service Springfield MO
823 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure will spread east across the region tonight.
Winds will become southeasterly overnight and through the day Friday.
Winds will generally be around 5 to 10 mph d, with gust to around
15 mph possible at times in the late morning/early afternoon Friday.

Temperatures will warm into the low to mid 60s as afternoon humidity value
drop to around 40 percent.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 63.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
DEWPOINT............35 increasing to 40 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........East winds 6 to 8 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 ft AGL increasing to 3900-5400 ft AGL
                    around midday, then increasing to 4900-6500 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon decreasing to 3300 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....East 12 to 20 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (2800-42300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (54100-104100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to good to good
                    (47900-48300 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (2800-42300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (54100-104100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to good to good
                    (47900-48300 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........67  68  70  71  72  73  74  76  80  82  84  87
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
TEMP............44  45  46  49  53  58  61  63  63  62  61  59
DEWPOINT........34  35  35  36  37  39  40  40  40  40  41  41
RH..............68  68  65  61  54  49  46  43  43  44  48  51
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.        10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 2.1 3.9 5.4 6.2 6.5 6.1 4.9 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  15  16  16  15  13  12  14  17  20  18  16
HAINES INDEX....2   3   4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
VRATE KT-FT/10005   3   3   9   27  42  54  75  97  104 80  48

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the evening, then rain showers likely after
                    midnight.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
DEWPOINT............43.
WIND (20 FT)........East winds 6 to 9 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....East 15 to 23 mph increasing to 25 to 28 mph
                    early in the morning.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Fair to fair (19000-26800 knot-ft).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Fair to fair (19000-26800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........89  91  93  95  95  96  97  97  98  98  98  99
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  70  70  70  70  70  70
TEMP............57  55  54  52  51  51  50  49  48  47  47  47
DEWPOINT........42  42  43  43  43  43  43  44  44  45  45  44
RH..............57  61  66  71  74  74  77  83  86  93  93  89
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  15  16  17  18  20  21  23  25  28  28  28
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/100026  20  19  22  21  22  23  24  25  25  26  27

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 64 percent.
DEWPOINT............45.
WIND (20 FT)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2600 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Northeast 21 to 26 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Fair to good (27200-57900 knot-ft).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Fair to good (27200-57900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........99  98  98  97  97  96  96  96  95  94  94  94
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).70  70  70  70  70  70  50  50  50  50  50  50
TEMP............47  48  49  51  53  55  56  57  57  57  58  58
DEWPOINT........44  45  46  47  47  47  47  47  47  47  47  46
RH..............89  89  89  86  80  74  72  71  70  70  68  66
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.26  24  22  21  21  22  23  24  25  26  26  24
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/100029  30  32  35  40  47  53  57  58  55  47  36

$$
Forecaster...WISE
Requested by...Brent Rahn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807126.0/SGF
.EMAIL brentnrahn@fs.fed.us



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