259
FXUS62 KTAE 271043
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
643 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 253 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Surface high pressure situated along the east coast of the US will
be in full control of the sensible weather through tonight. The
local area will be situated along the southwestern periphery of this
surface high which will lead to breezy east and southeasterly flow
this afternoon and into the overnight hours as the Atlantic
seabreeze makes its way west. No rain is expected but abundant upper
level clouds streaming in from the west and southwest will help keep
temperatures a few degrees lower than observed values from Friday.

No weather concerns are anticipated outside the breezy southeasterly
flow leading to a higher threat for rip currents and rougher seas
for this afternoon and extending into the short/long term period
below.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 253 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Ridging will prevail across the area through Monday. The center of
the surface high will be off the east coast with east to southeast
surface winds prevailing. Dry conditions will prevail with highs
generally in the 80s except upper 70s along the beaches. Overnight
lows are expected to range from the upper 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 253 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

The forecast still looks dry through the week. Although upper level
ridging may weaken some at times, there are no major systems
expected to affect the area. Afternoon highs will generally be in
the 80s and possibly near 90 by the middle of next week. Overnight
lows will generally be in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 643 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Only concerns
will be breezy east and southeasterly winds with occasional gusts
of 15 to 20 knots at all terminals through the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 253 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Elevated southeast winds will continue this weekend with advisory
level conditions expected this morning into early this afternoon for
the water west of Apalachicola. The strongest winds are likely to be
via nocturnal easterly surges, and advisory conditions are expected
areawide tonight. Winds and seas will relax to more favorable
conditions early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 253 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Fire weather concerns will be somewhat elevated through the weekend.
This is mostly due to dry conditions over the last week or two and
the combination of breezy southeasterly flow over the weekend. This
will allow high dispersions as well. Relative humidities will stay
high enough to keep more elevated fire weather concerns at bay. The
easterly flow regime and cloudy conditions this afternoon will keep
conditions cooler as well. No rain is expected over the weekend and
into early next week but we will likely lose the breezy conditions
by the early to middle part of next week as surface high pressure
weakens and at least an isolated chance for showers is possible next
week, though widespread wetting prospects still remain low through
the next 7 to 10 days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 253 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Little to no rain is forecast for the next several days. Minor
flooding continues along the middle and lower Suwannee River.
However, the minor flooding will be ending from north to south with
the lack of rainfall over the next several days. Luraville is
expected to drop below flood stage later today.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   83  65  85  63 /   0   0   0   0
Panama City   80  68  82  66 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        83  65  84  62 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        82  63  84  60 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      82  63  84  61 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    83  63  85  60 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  77  69  77  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for FLZ108-112-
     114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to noon EDT Sunday
     for GMZ730-755-765-775.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ750-
     752-770-772.

     Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Sunday
     for GMZ750-752-770-772.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Dobbs
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...Dobbs
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...Dobbs
HYDROLOGY...DVD