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000
FNUS73 KUNR 252313
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Schenk Canyon Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
513 PM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mainly dry weather is expected tonight, though there could
be another shower or thunderstorm passing by the area early this evening.
North winds will be gusty through early evening as a cold front passes,
but diminish overnight. Humidity recovery will be excellent tonight. Chances
for showers will increase Friday morning and persist into Saturday. A
thunderstorm is also possible. Rainfall amounts are expected to be
relatively light Friday and Friday night, a few hundredths to possibly two
tenths of an inch. Northerly winds will increase Friday morning, with gusts
to around 25 mph late in the morning through the evening. Any additional
rainfall on Saturday is expected to be light as well.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms possible before 900 PM.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph through
                    900 PM, then decreasing to 6 to 12 mph overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........47-51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near any thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600 to 5100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 30 mph increasing to around 40 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good to excellent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    and evening thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300 to 1800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 30 mph decreasing to around 15 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........62-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts
                    to around 20 mph.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400 to 3900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

$$
Forecaster...ST
Requested by...Josh Behlings
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412505.0/UNR
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.behlings@usda.gov