Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
506
FNUS51 KBUF 032034
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will settle over the New England coast this evening,
supporting mainly dry and warm conditions through late this
afternoon. Meanwhile, a weakening cold front will approach from the
west late this afternoon before stalling out and falling apart over
far western NY. This will bring an uptick in shower and isolated
thunderstorm activity to far western NY very late this afternoon
into tonight, with mainly dry weather continuing from the Finger
Lakes east. Shower chances steadily decrease later tonight into
Saturday with just scattered showers and dry time built in. A slow
moving cold front will then pass across the area Saturday night
through Sunday bringing the next round of more widespread showers
and possibly a few rumbles of thunder. High pressure then returns
Monday, allowing for a dry start to the new work week.
NYZ201-040800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
433 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip chc (%) 30 30 50 70
Precip type Tstms Showers Showers Tstms
Min/Max Temp 52 67 48 64
AM Wind (mph) SE 8 S 13
PM Wind (mph) E 6 SE 9 SE 10 S 10
Precip amount 0.02 0.01 0.11 0.30
Precip duration 2 1 2 9
Precip begin 7 PM Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%) 99 45 100 67
Haines Index 3 2 2 2
LAL 3 3 3 3
Mixing height (ft-AGL) 70 6010 70 3330
Transport wind (kt) SE 12 S 18 S 20 S 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 840 108180 1400 76590
Dispersion Index 1 108 1 77
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-040800-
Southern Tier-
433 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip chc (%) 40 40 60 70
Precip type Tstms Showers Tstms Tstms
Min/Max Temp 50 64 47 64
AM Wind (mph) S 9 S 17
PM Wind (mph) SE 7 S 11 S 14 S 14
Precip amount 0.07 0.04 0.13 0.13
Precip duration 2 2 5 8
Precip begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 52 100 64
Haines Index 3 2 2 2
LAL 4 3 3 3
Mixing height (ft-AGL) 70 4470 260 3370
Transport wind (kt) S 13 S 24 S 27 SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 910 107280 7020 57290
Dispersion Index 1 107 7 57
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 70.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northeast around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$