Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 251250
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Kufrin...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
750 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service in Aberdeen SD.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds at the burn site should stay out of the west and gradually increase
throughout the day. However, scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
later this afternoon so winds near any storms could be gusty and erratic.
Relative humidity is forecast to bottom out in the low to mid 30s
by peak heating this afternoon as temperatures rise to around 90
degrees.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent cloud). A slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....90-95.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near any thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1800, then 1.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft agl increasing to 10400-11400 ft agl
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph increasing to 19 to 24 mph in
                    the late morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent (175300-222000) in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........7   9   11  12  17  22  27  22  17
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............80  83  85  87  87  89  90  92  92
RH..............51  44  40  36  35  33  31  30  31
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  12  13  15  15  14  13
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent cloud).
Min temperature.....62-67.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......8400-8900 ft agl decreasing to 100-600 ft agl
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 19 to 24 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph in
                    the late evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (1900-2400) in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........12  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............90  86  81  75  71  69  67  66  66  65  64  64
RH..............33  37  46  55  63  66  70  73  70  73  75  75
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  8   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10              10  10  10  10  10  10

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....91-96.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl increasing to 9100-9600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400-29800) increasing to very good
                    (116800-131200) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........5   5   4   4   3   3   2   3   4   4   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  70  76  81  85  88  90  91  91  92  93  93
RH..............70  66  56  47  40  34  30  28  27  26  25  26
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.10              10  10  15  15  15  15  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Lueck
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810647.0/ABR
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov



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