Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FNUS74 KLIX 251041
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for Deer Island Prescribed Fire...MS Dept of Marine Resources
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
541 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will remain over the area today, but a cold
front will approach the burn site tonight.  Winds will shift from the
northwest to the southwest tonight.  The front will move through
tomorrow morning and winds will shift back to the northwest.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Heat index..........76.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 3100-3900 ft AGL in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...244 meters AGL increasing to 945-1189 meters
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest around 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   7   6   3   3   4   7   7   7   6   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  61  63  66  68  70  72  73  74  74  75  75
Dewpoint........57  57  57  57  57  57  58  58  59  59  60  60
RH..............81  84  78  73  68  61  59  57  57  55  56  58
Heat index (F)..62  61  63  66  68  71  72  73  74  75  76  76
20 FT wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  NW  WNW WNW W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.3 3.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   9
Trans wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Dewpoint............61.
Heat index..........74.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1006 meters AGL decreasing to 152-305 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 7 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest around 4 meters/second shifting to
                    the southwest 3 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   7   5   7   8   13  31  36  43  57  65  70
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............74  73  71  70  69  68  67  67  66  66  66  66
Dewpoint........60  61  61  62  62  62  62  62  62  61  61  61
RH..............62  66  71  73  76  81  84  90  90  87  87  87
Heat index (F)..74  73  71  70  69  67  66  64  64  64  64  64
20 FT wind dir..W   WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW  WSW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.WNW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.9   7   7   7   7   7   7   12  12  12  15  15
Trans wind dir..WNW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   7   7
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Dewpoint............59 decreasing to 56 early in the afternoon.
Heat index..........73.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
Mixing height.......800-2100 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...244-640 meters AGL increasing to 1067-1311
                    meters AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 7 to 9 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Rainfall amount.....0.11 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  86  80  68  62  56  43  37  31  18  12  13
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  50  50  50  50  50  50  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............65  65  66  66  67  68  69  70  72  73  73  73
Dewpoint........61  60  60  60  60  59  58  57  56  56  56  56
RH..............87  87  84  81  76  73  68  66  64  59  59  59
Heat index (F)..64  64  65  66  68  69  70  71  72  73  73  73
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   WNW WNW WNW W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..11  12  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  10
20 FT wind gust.16  17  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.3 4.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.WSW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW WNW
Transp wind spd.15  20  20  20  17  17  17  16  16  16  15  15
Trans wind dir..WSW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WNW WNW
Trans spd (m/s).7   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...NWS NEW ORLEANS
Requested by...James Davis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807664.0/LIX
.DELDT 04/25/18
.EMAIL james.davis@dmr.ms.gov


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