Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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400
FNUS76 KLOX 181529
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Frazier Mt Broadcast Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
829 AM PDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are anticipated today and tonight. However
on Thursday, there will be the chance of snow showers, especially in the
morning hours. Gusty southwesterly winds are expected to develop today
and continue through this evening. Overnight, the winds will shift to
the northwest and strengthen through the day on Thursday. Wind gusts
between 35-45 MPH will be likely during the day on Thursday. Relative
humidity will drop to low levels this afternoon with excellent recovery
tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....48-52.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast 2-5 MPH becoming southwest 4-8 MPH
                    Gust 13 MPH in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast 4-8 MPH becoming southwest 6-12 MPH
                    Gust 18 MPH in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast 4-8 MPH becoming southwest 8-15 MPH
                    Gust 25 MPH in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 ft AGL, increasing to 5500 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South to southwest 10-15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....20-24.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest to west 4-8 MPH Gust 15 mph becoming
                    northwest 8-15 MPH Gust 20 MPH in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest to west 6-12 MPH Gust 20 MPH becoming
                    northwest 15-20 MPH Gust 25 MPH after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 8-15 MPH Gust 25 MPH becoming northwest
                    15-25 MPH Gust 30 MPH after midnight.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL in the evening, decreasing to below
                    1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest to west around 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in
                    the morning. Partly cloudy with a slight chance
                    of snow showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....34-38.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 10-18 MPH Gust 28 MPH.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest 15-25 MPH Gust 35 MPH.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest 20-30 MPH Gust 45 MPH.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 ft AGL, increasing to 4800 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20-30 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...THOMPSON
Requested by...J Abell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1806238.4/LOX
.EMAIL shanesantos@fs.fed.us,jdabell@fs.fed.us,igagnon@fs.fed.us



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