Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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002
FNUS73 KMPX 230622
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Maiden Rock Bluff State Natural Area...WDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
122 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Good morning Dean,
Expect Monday`s weather conditions to be very similar to Sunday`s
weather conditions with sunny skies and light winds. Still expecting
primarily a southerly direction, but the speeds will be very light
so you will probably end up seeing more of a variable direction.
Minimum RH values will be in the upper 20s to near 30 this afternoon.
No precipitation is expected. If you have any questions you can call
us at 952-361-6671.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........51 at ignition...Max 67.
RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 1 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 5200-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph shifting to the east around
                    2 mph.
Mixing winds........North around 0 mph shifting to the east around
                    2 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /10600 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............51  56  60  63  65  66  66  67  67
RH..............63  46  37  32  31  30  28  26  26
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5                   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.5 4.4 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1   1
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E
Mixing wind spd.1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10003   4   5   11  6   6   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5300-6300 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 6 mph.
Mixing winds........Northwest 1 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............65     55     48     46     44     41
RH..............30     57     78     81     86     94
20 ft wind......SE 3   E 2    SE 2   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3
20 ft wind gust.5                    5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....6300   4300   2300   300    300    300
Transport wind..E 1    NE 2   N 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
Mixing wind.....E 1    NE 2   N 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      3
SDspl kt-ft/10006      9      9      2      1      1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 10 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 2700-3900 ft AGL
                    early in the morning, then increasing to
                    5200-6400 ft AGL late in the morning increasing
                    to 6000-7600 ft AGL in the afternoon decreasing
                    to 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 23 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing winds........North 5 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 23 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1000-50800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (110500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to or low.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............41     51     60     64     62     60
RH..............89     71     53     46     44     44
20 ft wind......NW 2   NW 2   N 4    N 6    N 9    N 10
20 ft wind gust.              5      10     15     20
Mix hgt (ft)....300    2700   5200   7600   6800   6000
Transport wind..NW 5   NW 7   NW 10  N 14   N 18   N 22
Mixing wind.....NW 5   NW 7   NW 10  N 14   N 18   N 22
Haines index....3      3      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10001      18     51     100    116    116

$$
Forecaster...BEITLICH
Requested by...Dean Edlin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807402.0/MPX
.EMAIL dean.edlin@wisconsin.gov



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