000
FXUS64 KSHV 230553
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1253 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 948 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

For this evening`s update, no major wholesale changes are needed.
Another quiet night is in store, with mostly clear skies,
providing optimal viewing conditions for the waxing gibbous moon,
which will become truly full tomorrow evening. This month`s full
moon is known as the Pink Moon, named for the pink creeping
phlox, one of the earliest blooming flowers of Spring.

Temperatures are cooling into the upper 50s and lower 60s as of
the 03Z hour with dewpoints in the mid 40s, allowing for another
full night of radiational cooling to lows in the mid to upper 40s
across the ArkLaTex. Ingested the most recent several hours worth
of temperature and dewpoint observations and interpolated through
to 12Z.

/26/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Quiet, slightly cooler weather will continue into the middle of
the week across the Four State Region. This is due to a broad
ridge axis that currently extends across the Mississippi River
Valley into the Appalachian Mountains. This ridging will gradually
progress eastward, reintroducing southerly winds, a chance of
precipitation (north of I-30) and increased fog potential by
tomorrow night. Temperature-wise, this means a gradual warm-up to
near-normal with maximums/minimums in the 70s/50s, respectively.
/16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Chances of rain will accompany a warming trend across the Four
State Region through the rest of the week into the weekend. This
is due to northwesterly flow aloft that transitions to
southwesterly flow by the weekend, steering more disturbances
across the Southern Great Plains that graze parts of our area with
precipitation by midweek (along and north of I-30) with some
potential for severe thunderstorms by Friday and Saturday (mainly
for our western zones). This relatively active pattern will
maintain precipitation chances and continue into early next week.
In the process, temperatures will gradually increase from
maximums/minimums in the lower 60s/lower 80s into the lower
70s/upper 80s, respectively. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

For the 23/06Z TAF period, VFR conditions are expected to continue
with mostly SKC through the first half of the period. Expect a cu
field to develop by late morning across our western airspace and
gradually expand east throughout the afternoon and early evening.
This may result in some low VFR cigs late in the period, mainly
across our western terminals. In addition, some mid-level altocu
may also spread into our airspace from the W/NW by late Tuesday.
Near calm to light S/SE winds overnight will increase to between
10-15 kts with higher gusts starting around 23/15Z through 24/00Z
before decreasing to around 5 kts through the end of the period.

/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  79  62  83  65 /   0   0  10   0
MLU  77  57  81  61 /   0   0  10   0
DEQ  76  58  75  60 /   0  20  30  30
TXK  78  61  78  63 /   0  10  20  10
ELD  77  57  78  59 /   0   0  20  10
TYR  78  62  82  65 /   0   0  10  10
GGG  78  60  82  63 /   0   0  10   0
LFK  80  60  83  63 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...19