Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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074
FNUS75 KPSR 100121
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Horse Fire...USFS National Weather Service Phoenix
AZ 554 PM MST Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on May 09. If
conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Typical diurnal and valley wind tendencies are expected through
Saturday, with northerly downvalley winds overnight and southerly
upvalley winds during the day. Wind speeds will be light, generally
at or below 10 mph through Friday morning. Slightly stronger general
westerly winds in the afternoon may occasionally gust to around 20
mph. General winds will be a bit stronger Saturday afternoon with
potential for a few peak gusts up to 25-30 mph. Minimum RH values in
the afternoons will fall between 5-15%, with overnight recoveries
only to 25-30%. The dry conditions and breezes Saturday afternoon
may lead to brief elevated fire weather conditions. Temperatures
Friday and Saturday will be seasonal with afternoon highs in the
middle to upper 80s. Skies will remain mostly clear with no rain in
the forecast.

Extended Outlook: Sunday through Tuesday, winds will continue to
follow typical diurnal and valley tendencies, similar to Friday and
Saturday. Wind speeds will be light during the overnight and morning
hours and daily afternoon west to southwest wind gusts will be
capable of reaching 20-25 mph. Temperatures warm slightly, with
afternoon highs near 90F Monday and Tuesday. Minimum RH values will
continue to fall below 15% each afternoon.


Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in
the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 3 to 6 mph after 2100-2200MST tonight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........6-11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the morning
                    shifting to the south to southwest 6 to 11 mph
                    by 1000-1100MST with afternoon gusts as high as
                    20 to 25 mph.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........27-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the morning shifting
                    to the southwest 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon, with
                    gusts as high as 25 to 30 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SB
Requested by...Kate Johnson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413667.0/PSR
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kate_johnson@firenet.gov