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000
FXUS62 KFFC 111848
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
248 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024

500mb longwave trough moving through the Gulf States this afternoon.
At the surface, low pressure stretches from the Ohio Valley back to
northern MS/AL. The low will continue to push off to the NE through
the period dragging a cold front through the CWA. A secondary dry
front is right along the Mississippi River. This is a dry front.

Regional radar shows scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
moving east along with the upper and surface lows. Can`t rule out a
strong storm, especially where full sun comes out and a little
surface instability can be realized. Lapse rates remain marginal.

The pressure gradient will remain tight through tomorrow with gusty
winds. Frequent gusts to around 30 kt will be possible today then
gusts between 25 and 30kt tomorrow.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024

No major changes made to the extended forecast.
This period will feature dry weather and a warming trend that
should push high temperatures into the mid 80s by next Monday. On
a synoptic scale these trends will be driven by the departure of
the upper level trough this weekend, and the emergence of upper
level ridging early next week. Guidance from the EPS and GEFS
strongly supports this pattern shift, with 95% of their respective
members keeping the region dry through next Wednesday. Even the
rebellious members who generate precipitation only spit out a
couple of hundredths on Wednesday. Due to these strong trends in
the ensemble guidance, forecast confidence in dry weather and
warmer temperatures is high.

Albright/01

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 124 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue for
much of the afternoon as a strong upper level system moves through
the area. Thunder chances remain too small to mention, but will
leave in a tempo for reduced vsbys with the shra. Wind gusts have
become to pick up, and should gusts to around 30kt, especially
where clouds clear. MVFR conditions are expected again for the
first part of the overnight hours. VFR tomorrow.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med-high confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          51  68  48  75 /  30  10   0   0
Atlanta         51  67  48  74 /  30   0   0   0
Blairsville     45  60  45  68 /  60  20   0   0
Cartersville    47  67  45  75 /  30  10   0   0
Columbus        51  72  48  79 /  10   0   0   0
Gainesville     50  65  49  73 /  40  10   0   0
Macon           53  71  48  77 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            48  67  45  76 /  20  10   0   0
Peachtree City  49  69  47  76 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         54  73  51  77 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...NListemaa