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000
FXUS64 KJAN 122009
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
309 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 307 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Tonight through Friday: Surface high pressure will shift east
across the forecast area tonight and then east of the area
Saturday. This will bring dry and quiet weather conditions with
temperatures tonight quite cool, and there could be a few areas
of fog given the ideal cooling conditions over eastern/southern
MS. Temperatures will rebound strongly Saturday under mostly
sunny skies in what will be a well-mixed airmass. /EC/

Saturday night through Thursday night: An upper-level ridge and
surface high pressure will continue to migrate over the
southeastern CONUS for Sunday and into the new week. Quiet
conditions and above average temperatures will be ongoing until
the pattern starts shifting eastwards. As the aforementioned
pattern shift takes place, southerly flow will push gulf moisture
towards our area and a cold front is expected to move through
northern portions of the CWA. Isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible, primarily in northern portions of
the area on Tuesday. On Wednesday, a brief drying period will take
place in between disturbances. A more potent cold front is
expected to move into the region Thursday, resulting in shower and
thunderstorm chances to close out the forecast period. With
sufficient moisture in place, increasing deep layer shear,
increasing lapse rates, and the potential for greater CAPE values
ahead of the front, we will be monitoring for the potential of
severe weather. however, confidence is low at this time. As the
time frame gets closer, updates on the severe weather potential
will be provided. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Gusty
norhtwest surface wind this afternoon will diminish quickly this
evening, and then we`ll see wind shift to a more southerly
direction Saturday morning. /EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       49  80  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      45  82  52  83 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     50  81  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   45  82  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       48  82  55  82 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    52  80  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     50  80  57  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

EC/SW/EC