Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

000
FNUS72 KMLB 251044
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Volusia Bar WF...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
644 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions will continue as an area of high pressure remains
in place across east central Florida. Minimum RH values are
forecast to fall into the mid 30s right near critical thresholds.
Winds are expected to remain below 10 mph near the fire today.
The wind direction, however, is expected to be variable throughout
a majority of the day, becoming easterly late this afternoon into
the early evening as the east coast sea breeze moves inland.
Afternoon smoke dispersion will be generally good. Tonight, dry
conditions will persist with easterly winds becoming southeasterly
between 5 to 10 mph. Fog is not currently forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the north late in
                    the afternoon shifting to the northeast around
                    6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north 6 to
                    7 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 50.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   4   6   8   10  11  13  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  62  68  74  77  79  82  84  85  86  85
RH..............90  84  70  57  54  49  43  38  37  36  37
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5       6   6   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 2.4 3.9 5.3 6.1 6.5 6.7 6.6 6.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..2   2   5   13  24  32  42  45  47  47  50
LVORI...........7   6   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 7 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....48 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........13     9      7      7      9      9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............85     78     72     68     66     64
RH..............37     50     61     70     75     84
20 ft wind......NE 6   E 8    SE 7   SE 5   SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.8      12     10     8      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4600   600    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..NE 8   E 12   SE 12  SE 9   S 6    SE 5
Dispersion idx..48     7      5      4      3      2
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      5      6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph shifting to the east 12
                    to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 87.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........9      8      23     33     38     29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............63     65     73     78     81     81
RH..............87     84     64     54     49     49
20 ft wind......SE 3   SE 3   E 5    E 7    E 9    E 10
20 ft wind gust.5                                  14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    3600   5800   7100   6400
Transport wind..SE 5   SE 6   E 10   E 12   E 12   E 13
Dispersion idx..2      6      52     79     87     70
LVORI...........7      5      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Camaron Greenlund
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412396.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Camaron.Greenlund@fdacs.gov