Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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741
FNUS51 KALY 121848
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level low will depart the region tonight with rain
showers ending along with partial clearing. Warmer weather
returns early this week with continued chances at some showers
and possible thunderstorms each day through midweek. Drier and
seasonable weather may return for late week.

NYZ206-130800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-5)      64 (+10)     50           71
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+3)      59 (-7)      99           60
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    S  5 G21                  S  7 G20
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      S  9 G21     S  8 G20     SW  9 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.17         0.21
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4880                      4230
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  78080                     67680
LAL                   1            2            3            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             5 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor  44 Gen Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  49 Gen Good  12 Poor      50 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       5            7            6            5
Max LVORI late        7            3            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-130800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      39 (-5)      68 (+11)     50           75
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+7)      51 (-15)     99           53
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  7 G20
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      S  8 G20     S  8 G19     S  9 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.07         0.12
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4640                      4610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  60320                     78370
LAL                   1            1            2            2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3            3
ADI early             5 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  11 Poor      59 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        7            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-130800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-6)      69 (+13)     49           76
RH % (24H TREND)      98 (+6)      50 (-15)     95           53
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  8 G24
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      S  7 G20     S  8 G19     S 11 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         Continuing   10 AM
PRECIP END                         Continuing   4 AM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5120                      4520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  66560                     81360
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            3
ADI early             5 Very Poor  41 Gen Good  17 Gen Poor  49 Gen Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  58 Gen Good  8 Poor       65 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-130800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)      37 (-3)      66 (+15)     48           72
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+3)      53 (-16)     93           55
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 10 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  8 G21    SW  9 G23    S 12 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM                      10 AM
PRECIP END                         6 PM                      Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4990                      4590
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     S 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  69860                     87210
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            5            4
ADI early             5 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  18 Gen Poor  46 Gen Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  61 Good      12 Poor      60 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            5            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            2

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-130800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      39 (-4)      68 (+14)     50           75
RH % (24H TREND)      96 (+7)      45 (-21)     92           49
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  8 G23
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  7 G18    S  9 G24     SW 10 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.08         0.07
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4970                      4750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  54670                     104500
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
ADI early             5 Very Poor  40 Fair      14 Gen Poor  62 Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  52 Gen Good  12 Poor      89 Good
Max LVORI early       5            6            4            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-130800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      37 (-3)      66 (+15)     48           73
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+6)      49 (-19)     96           54
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  6 G20
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  6        S  6 G20     SW  9 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.05         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5910                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  65010                     109200
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
ADI early             4 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  58 Gen Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  54 Gen Good  12 Poor      77 Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-130800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      39 (-3)      67 (+12)     49           76
RH % (24H TREND)      98 (+12)     46 (-12)     98           49
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  5 G18
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      S  6         S  5         S  8 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            12 AM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 6170                      4690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  61700                     89110
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3            4
ADI early             3 Very Poor  44 Gen Good  16 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good
ADI late              3 Very Poor  76 Good      8 Poor       82 Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            5            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-130800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      37 (-5)      67 (+14)     48           74
RH % (24H TREND)      95 (+3)      44 (-17)     88           47
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S 10 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  8 G20    S 10 G25     SW 13 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.03         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         2 PM         Continuing   11 AM
PRECIP END            9 PM         Continuing   5 AM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5120                      5350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  56320                     117700
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
ADI early             7 Poor       40 Fair      17 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good
ADI late              6 Very Poor  64 Good      13 Gen Poor  83 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            4
Max LVORI late        6            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-130800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-4)      67 (+14)     49           74
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+6)     49 (-17)     95           50
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S 10 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  8 G19    S  9 G21     S 13 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       1            0            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         2 PM         Continuing   2 PM
PRECIP END            9 PM         Continuing   3 AM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5280                      5090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  63360                     106890
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
ADI early             7 Poor       40 Fair      14 Gen Poor  53 Gen Good
ADI late              6 Very Poor  62 Good      11 Poor      77 Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            5            5
Max LVORI late        8            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-130800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      None         Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-4)      68 (+14)     49           74
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+4)      51 (-18)     98           54
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  9 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  8 G18    S  8 G19     S 12 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       0                         0            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM                      6 PM         2 PM
PRECIP END            9 PM                      9 PM         Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5360                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  64320                     87400
LAL                   1            1            1            2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            4            4
ADI early             6 Very Poor  46 Gen Good  19 Gen Poor  44 Gen Good
ADI late              5 Very Poor  77 Good      10 Poor      64 Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        7            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-130800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
247 PM EDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      39 (-4)      67 (+12)     48           74
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+6)      50 (-17)     100          53
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   S  7 G24
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SW  7 G18    S  7 G17     S 11 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM
PRECIP END                                                   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5120                      4380
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  66560                     74460
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3            4
ADI early             5 Very Poor  53 Gen Good  20 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good
ADI late              4 Very Poor  81 Good      8 Poor       60 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            5            6
Max LVORI late        8            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 70.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$