Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
096
FNUS53 KGRR 070913
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
513 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
...Afternoon Thunderstorms Today Then Dry Breezy Wednesday...
.DISCUSSION...
Southeast winds expected this morning with gradually increasing
mixing. A period of rain possibly with lightning will arrive in
southwest Michigan around noon and reach Clare by 3 or 4 PM. Then
additional scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop between 4
and 10 PM across much of Lower Michigan. Wednesday will be drying
out with breezy winds from the west.
MIZ037>039-043>045-072015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
513 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 11 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
a chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.69 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
likely until 9 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
until 1 AM. Chance of rain showers after 9 PM
until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....45-50.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.28 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 1
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1010-1350 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-072015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
513 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 11 AM, then partly
sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 PM, then cloudy
(85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2
PM until 4 PM, then rain showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....720-950 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.27 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 AM, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
until 10 PM. Chance of thunderstorms until 12
AM. Chance of rain showers after 10 PM until 1
AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the
west around 9 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.26 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1340-1690 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-072015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
513 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms after 12 PM. Rain showers after 1
PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.30-0.84 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-072015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
513 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 2 PM, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
after 1 PM until 3 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
after 2 PM. Rain showers after 3 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-810 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.84 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
likely until 9 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
until 12 AM. Chance of rain showers after 9 PM
until 12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.33 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1170-1670 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-072015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
513 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 2 PM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 12 PM until 2 PM, then rain
showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....670-730 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.79 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
likely until 9 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
until 11 PM. Chance of rain showers after 9 PM
until 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.21 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1370-1820 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Lows around 50. Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 9 to 14 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 9 to
14 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
$$